Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$2
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
35
lifetime
Volume
$100
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$32
21 positions
First seen
2026-06-12
last 06-13 15:20
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
58%
Politics
35%
Crypto
5%
Tech
2%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
3 active days in 12wk • peak 32 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No +4 $4 99¢ $4 $-0 06-13 08:40
Netanyahu out by June 30? Yes +225 $3 $3 $-0 06-13 08:59
Will Microsoft acquire TikTok? No +2 $2 99¢ $2 +$0 06-13 08:54
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31? No +2 $2 96¢ $2 $-0 06-13 08:53
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +2 $2 82¢ $2 $-0 06-13 09:00
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? No +3 $2 60¢ $2 $-0 06-13 08:44
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +2 $2 86¢ $2 $-0 06-13 08:41
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? Yes +37 $2 $2 $-0 06-13 08:49
Iran leadership change by June 30? Yes +59 $1 $2 +$1 06-13 08:46
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? No +4 $2 36¢ $1 $-1 06-13 08:38
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? No +7 $2 19¢ $1 $-1 06-13 08:38
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? Yes +125 $1 $1 +$0 06-13 08:59
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? Yes +16 $1 $1 +$0 06-13 08:46
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes +10 $1 10¢ $1 $-0 06-14 01:18
Trump out as President by June 30? Yes +111 $1 $1 $-0 06-13 08:48
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? Yes +17 $1 $1 $-0 06-13 08:48
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? Yes +17 $1 $1 $-0 06-14 01:15
Trump out as President before 2027? Yes +9 $1 10¢ $1 $-0 06-13 09:00
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +6 $1 16¢ $1 $-0 06-13 08:46
Will US withdraw from NATO by June 30? Yes +333 $1 $1 $-0 06-13 08:48
Will Elon Musk buy OnlyFans? Yes +114 $1 $1 $-0 06-13 08:55