Realized P&L
+$38
Unrealized P&L
+$0
Hit rate
57.7%
Resolved
76
Trades
113
lifetime
Volume
$913
lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$186
12 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-04 08:30
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 31 days
Categories
Other
45% 41% -$8
Politics
44% 39% +$59
Sports
6% 43% -$15
Crypto
5% 50% +$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
4 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027? No -153 -$129 89¢ $-136 -$8 09-27 16:34
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +23 $14 93¢ $21 +$7 11-03 01:07
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No -17 -$12 69¢ $-12 $0 05-31 19:06
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No -7 -$6 83¢ $-6 $0 05-31 19:05
Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027? No -6 -$5 98¢ $-5 $0 05-31 19:14
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -8 -$2 16¢ $-1 +$0 09-27 16:33
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -20 -$1 6¢ $-1 $0 09-27 16:32
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -40 -$1 3¢ $-1 +$0 09-27 16:32
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -20 -$1 5¢ $-1 +$0 09-27 16:32
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -6 $0 8¢ $-0 $0 09-27 16:32
Will J.D. Vance announce a presidential run before 2027? Yes -13 -$1 3¢ $-0 +$1 05-31 19:14
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -3 $0 9¢ $-0 +$0 09-27 16:31