Courageous-Pimple — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.21K

Unrealized P&L

-$22

Hit rate

43.4%

Resolved

Trades

1,460

lifetime

Volume

$92.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$63

Open exposure

$155

1 position

First seen

2026-03-05

last 06-15 01:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

46% 50% +$180

Other

27% — —

Sports

21% 50% $-1,392

Crypto

7% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

29 active days in 12wk • peak 260 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (7) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	No		-229	$-133	68¢	$-155	$-22	05-30 11:07

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	119	$22.3K	29,274	29,892	-618	open	—	05-18 22:06
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Francisco Giants	39	$10.6K	12,000	10,000	+2,000	San Francisco Giants	$-231	05-11 00:02
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	71	$5.7K	7,544	7,544	+0	open	—	05-24 05:57
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	29	$5.5K	6,841	6,841	+0	open	—	05-10 21:30
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	176	$5.2K	5,563	5,348	+215	open	—	05-23 07:46
New York Yankees vs. Milwaukee Brewers	9	$3.9K	3,999	1,999	+2,000	Milwaukee Brewers	+$78	05-10 21:05
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	118	$3.3K	3,506	3,306	+200	open	—	05-23 01:06
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	123	$2.9K	3,005	2,970	+35	open	—	05-24 02:52
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	95	$2.8K	3,096	2,796	+300	open	—	05-22 20:15
US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	39	$2.6K	2,416	2,456	-40	No	+$184	05-11 02:18
Hamburg European Open, Qualification: Rinky Hijikata vs Henri Squire	29	$2.5K	4,000	3,000	+1,000	open	—	05-17 13:10
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	50	$2.4K	1,699	1,822	-123	open	—	05-22 08:51
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 in May?	69	$2.0K	2,165	2,165	+0	open	—	05-23 17:04
Seattle Mariners vs. Chicago White Sox	12	$1.9K	2,000	1,000	+1,000	Chicago White Sox	+$110	05-10 20:41
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	53	$1.8K	1,951	1,638	+313	open	—	05-25 22:06
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	48	$1.6K	1,489	1,489	+0	open	—	05-25 20:12
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	32	$1.2K	1,118	1,118	+0	open	—	05-18 18:22
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	47	$1.1K	1,138	1,153	-15	open	—	05-24 18:38
Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	5	$1.0K	3,000	1,000	+2,000	Atlanta Braves	+$30	05-10 22:18
St. Louis Cardinals vs. San Diego Padres	8	$1.0K	2,000	1,000	+1,000	San Diego Padres	$-790	05-10 22:36
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	30	$966	1,039	895	+144	open	—	05-24 02:00
Will BNB reach $800 in May?	8	$896	335	851	-516	open	—	05-16 02:16
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	9	$850	646	646	+0	open	—	05-12 19:56
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	10	$804	1,400	600	+800	open	—	05-07 15:33
Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 May 11-17?	2	$732	427	427	+0	open	—	05-15 05:56
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	8	$676	670	470	+200	open	—	05-19 21:15
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $72 in May?	29	$664	689	689	+0	open	—	05-22 09:07
San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	4	$594	1,004	4	+1,000	San Francisco Giants	$-589	05-12 04:12
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	25	$436	496	451	+45	open	—	05-24 17:05
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $126 in May?	17	$418	459	459	+0	open	—	05-26 16:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-15 01:06:34	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x5013a4…
06-01 15:30:38	Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30?	No	SELL	100	94¢	$94	0xfcd772…
05-30 11:07:08	Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	No	SELL	229	58¢	$133	0xe46b34…
05-28 02:07:12	Will Donald Trump visit the United Kingdom in 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	71¢	$9	0x93686d…
05-28 02:06:54	Will Donald Trump visit the United Kingdom in 2026?	Yes	SELL	42	71¢	$30	0xcc5e50…
05-28 02:06:53	Will Donald Trump visit the United Kingdom in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	71¢	$4	0xe893c9…
05-28 01:56:51	Will Donald Trump visit the United Kingdom in 2026?	Yes	SELL	26	75¢	$20	0xb5c39b…
05-28 01:45:39	Will Donald Trump visit the United Kingdom in 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	76¢	$5	0x8d70f6…
05-27 21:32:55	Will Donald Trump visit the United Kingdom in 2026?	Yes	SELL	35	80¢	$28	0x5b3af2…
05-27 17:41:16	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,400 in May?	Yes	SELL	3	48¢	$2	0x6189f9…
05-27 15:28:55	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,400 in May?	No	SELL	0	39¢	$0	0xb4ffbc…
05-26 16:30:41	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $126 in May?	No	SELL	2	83¢	$1	0xcf4eff…
05-25 22:06:04	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	100	85¢	$85	0x5f3a74…
05-25 20:12:33	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	117	53¢	$63	0x5b003c…
05-25 16:08:46	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	61¢	$61	0xd8b378…
05-25 15:27:37	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	16	58¢	$9	0x9bbb0b…
05-25 15:26:36	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xad4297…
05-25 15:26:36	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	17	60¢	$10	0x8db517…
05-25 15:17:51	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	24	60¢	$15	0x4861ee…
05-25 15:11:55	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	59	61¢	$36	0xa7f020…
05-25 04:03:41	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in May?	Yes	SELL	72	74¢	$54	0x31ebc3…
05-25 03:07:36	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in May?	Yes	BUY	71	81¢	$58	0x4d6797…
05-25 00:54:18	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	69¢	$69	0xb76a85…
05-25 00:51:39	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x3dbc15…
05-25 00:44:53	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xfab628…
05-25 00:33:10	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	30¢	$30	0x79cfd5…
05-24 23:34:18	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	33¢	$33	0x842e04…
05-24 23:06:53	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	9	66¢	$6	0xc6ac09…
05-24 22:44:13	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	30¢	$30	0x3b2447…
05-24 22:29:21	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	29¢	$29	0x07f41c…
05-24 22:08:31	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	21	70¢	$15	0x0c302a…
05-24 21:53:55	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	72	71¢	$51	0x9ffb2f…
05-24 18:38:59	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	SELL	80	42¢	$34	0x90b0aa…
05-24 18:38:59	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	SELL	20	42¢	$8	0x36e77a…
05-24 18:35:21	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	64¢	$32	0x9655a3…
05-24 18:35:15	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	64¢	$32	0x9e7bea…
05-24 18:09:28	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3	64¢	$2	0x0a24d6…
05-24 18:01:18	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	8	64¢	$5	0xb97dd6…
05-24 17:52:33	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	23	64¢	$15	0xcb1a89…
05-24 17:42:23	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	64	64¢	$41	0x2938f9…
05-24 17:05:52	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	Yes	SELL	6	15¢	$1	0x9c23a4…
05-24 17:03:28	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	Yes	SELL	7	15¢	$1	0xa8fc74…
05-24 16:59:16	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	Yes	SELL	12	15¢	$2	0xfa1d86…
05-24 16:54:29	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	Yes	SELL	33	15¢	$5	0x2c800d…
05-24 16:48:16	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	Yes	SELL	42	15¢	$6	0x79a69d…
05-24 16:29:03	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	BUY	60	51¢	$31	0x477c15…
05-24 15:52:13	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	Yes	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0x48a0b5…
05-24 15:48:06	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	95	51¢	$48	0x26e461…
05-24 15:47:10	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x88a91b…
05-24 14:53:21	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	SELL	4	81¢	$3	0x0dc665…
05-24 14:47:07	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	SELL	18	78¢	$14	0x509ec2…
05-24 14:42:58	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	45¢	$45	0x2d6d32…
05-24 14:40:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	SELL	78	77¢	$60	0xd21602…
05-24 14:32:04	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	SELL	6	43¢	$3	0xe3ac94…
05-24 14:32:04	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	SELL	94	40¢	$38	0xde6353…
05-24 14:01:51	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x8cf92f…
05-24 14:01:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	BUY	90	60¢	$54	0xf40da2…
05-24 13:31:50	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	SELL	78	58¢	$45	0x94e0f2…
05-24 13:31:50	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	SELL	22	58¢	$13	0x0ca962…
05-24 11:40:23	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	65¢	$65	0xd6fcf5…
05-24 11:13:02	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	BUY	44	69¢	$30	0xbac06b…
05-24 11:10:28	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	BUY	48	69¢	$33	0x39803e…
05-24 11:05:27	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	64¢	$64	0xb6a4d1…
05-24 11:02:37	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	BUY	8	69¢	$5	0x8ef5c0…
05-24 10:51:25	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	21	35¢	$7	0x9c3285…
05-24 10:45:05	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	64¢	$64	0x44eb04…
05-24 10:32:17	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	SELL	102	28¢	$29	0x0e3e21…
05-24 10:32:15	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	65¢	$65	0x312a9f…
05-24 10:32:00	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0x8e36ff…
05-24 10:26:53	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	64¢	$64	0x9ccaf6…
05-24 10:13:58	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	11	34¢	$4	0xc5f8f7…
05-24 09:40:52	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	64¢	$128	0x472af8…
05-24 09:29:01	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	BUY	100	31¢	$31	0xef7f96…
05-24 09:09:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	BUY	99	74¢	$73	0x3ea905…
05-24 09:09:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x1a3862…
05-24 09:07:25	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	SELL	64	33¢	$21	0x91b9df…
05-24 09:06:58	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	SELL	11	67¢	$8	0xd1c6b5…
05-24 09:06:20	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	SELL	22	68¢	$15	0x662378…
05-24 09:01:45	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	SELL	34	33¢	$11	0x314490…
05-24 09:01:43	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	SELL	66	66¢	$44	0x4ee248…
05-24 09:00:39	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	BUY	10	66¢	$7	0x11451f…
05-24 08:58:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	BUY	17	66¢	$12	0xac265a…
05-24 08:57:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	BUY	73	66¢	$48	0xba0075…
05-24 08:56:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	BUY	100	33¢	$33	0x637deb…
05-24 08:49:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	SELL	7	66¢	$4	0xe86aaf…
05-24 08:46:58	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x23372d…
05-24 08:13:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	SELL	1	34¢	$0	0x0406df…
05-24 08:03:27	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	SELL	99	34¢	$34	0x2495d9…
05-24 07:43:25	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	SELL	7	64¢	$4	0xf0170e…
05-24 07:38:01	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	SELL	17	63¢	$11	0xffb2a7…
05-24 06:45:13	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	64¢	$64	0x8ca1bd…
05-24 06:40:49	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	BUY	100	39¢	$39	0x7cb20d…
05-24 05:57:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	100	87¢	$87	0x8ca513…
05-24 05:52:05	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	38¢	$4	0xcab8dc…
05-24 05:45:00	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	6	38¢	$2	0x19a530…
05-24 05:39:45	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	39¢	$4	0x856351…
05-24 05:38:33	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	61¢	$61	0x486f22…
05-24 05:31:36	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	15	38¢	$6	0x73c8c3…
05-24 05:30:30	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	38¢	$4	0x5dd51e…
05-24 05:29:37	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	51	38¢	$19	0xb08faf…