Realized P&L
-$450
Unrealized P&L
+$160
Hit rate
68.1%
Resolved
903
Trades
10,837
lifetime
Volume
$237.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$22
Open exposure
$4.68K
26 positions
First seen
2026-01-15
last 10-29 22:54
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 189 days
Categories
Other
54% 45% -$4,307
Politics
30% 65% +$440
Crypto
9% 74% +$367
Sports
6% 54% +$2,614
Tech
1% 41% +$375
Pop-Culture
0% 33% +$60
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
56 active days in 12wk • peak 47 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No +794 $757 98¢ $774 +$17 07-14 11:36
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +897 $547 60¢ $534 -$13 10-27 23:12
us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 No +483 $305 88¢ $427 +$123 07-17 19:46
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +497 $348 85¢ $422 +$74 05-25 21:05
will ansem flip pump by december 31 2026 20260702152126830 No +299 $226 95¢ $283 +$57 07-05 15:29
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes +400 $264 69¢ $276 +$12 10-09 21:15
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +299 $212 86¢ $258 +$45 06-02 23:50
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +257 $238 98¢ $251 +$13 06-14 07:42
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -286 -$229 82¢ $-233 -$4 05-06 09:52
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +218 $198 97¢ $212 +$14 05-12 15:39
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +193 $84 90¢ $173 +$89 08-04 12:08
NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026? No +176 $133 96¢ $168 +$36 10-23 20:21
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No +397 $140 34¢ $133 -$7 09-25 19:47
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? Yes +135 $104 96¢ $130 +$26 06-07 01:00
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? Yes +117 $61 80¢ $93 +$32 09-03 20:42
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? Yes +544 $119 15¢ $82 -$38 09-24 12:11
gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871 No +84 $70 94¢ $79 +$10 08-09 18:13
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No +57 $55 97¢ $56 +$1 10-01 21:46
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +68 $31 59¢ $41 +$10 10-27 23:32
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +18 $56 91¢ $17 -$40 10-29 22:54
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? Yes +519 $162 3¢ $16 -$146 10-08 16:18
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +12 $10 94¢ $11 +$1 08-22 05:33
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes +218 $39 3¢ $6 -$33 07-25 15:15
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31 Yes +41 $15 12¢ $5 -$10 08-09 11:31
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? Yes +183 $11 0¢ $1 -$10 10-05 22:52
US imports Russian diesel by October 31? Yes +137 $99 0¢ $0 -$99 10-21 08:50