Tense-Subexpression — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.25K

Unrealized P&L

-$64

Hit rate

68.3%

Resolved

160

Trades

593

lifetime

Volume

$12.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$21

Open exposure

$235

5 positions

First seen

2026-01-11

last 08-01 22:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 42 days

Categories

Crypto

88% 56% -$1,145

Politics

7% 64% +$4

Other

4% 43% -$99

Sports

1% 38% -$7

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-08-01).

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	-153	-$87	98¢	$-150	-$63	05-10 10:26
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	-36	-$30	91¢	$-33	-$2	06-17 10:06
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	-22	-$19	90¢	$-20	-$1	06-17 10:06
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	-106	-$21	17¢	$-18	+$3	05-07 18:34
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	-16	-$14	96¢	$-15	-$1	07-18 21:57

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-21 12:00 UTC	13	$708	552	545	+7	Down	+$100	01-21 12:12
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 01:10 UTC	2	$704	576	567	+9	Down	+$113	03-08 01:10
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-21 13:15 UTC	13	$635	472	466	+6	Down	+$50	01-21 13:19
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 00:25 UTC	22	$555	462	455	+7	Down	+$62	03-08 00:30
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-21 13:00 UTC	12	$441	354	329	+25	Up	+$38	01-21 13:10
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 01:20 UTC	4	$420	857	0	+857	Up	-$420	03-08 01:20
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 00:20 UTC	5	$413	332	329	+3	Down	+$226	03-08 00:24
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-21 13:30 UTC	6	$395	553	89	+464	Down	-$280	01-21 13:36
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 00:40 UTC	14	$372	314	309	+5	Up	+$92	03-08 00:43
bitcoin up or down january 21 7am et	3	$365	214	214	+0	Down	+$41	01-21 12:59
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	7	$320	250	250	+0	Yes	+$5	03-04 09:50
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 01:05 UTC	1	$300	564	0	+564	Up	-$300	03-08 01:04
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 00:35 UTC	15	$278	191	188	+3	Down	+$81	03-08 00:39
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 00:45 UTC	15	$276	198	195	+3	Down	+$79	03-08 00:47
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-13 17:45 UTC	4	$268	286	321	-36	Up	+$19	01-13 17:59
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-11 23:45 UTC	11	$267	278	275	+3	Up	+$68	01-11 23:57
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-03 22:45 UTC	8	$228	232	176	+56	Down	-$2	03-03 22:56
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-19 09:15 UTC	13	$228	244	240	+4	Up	+$21	01-19 09:20
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 00:55 UTC	2	$220	582	0	+582	Up	-$220	03-08 00:58
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 00:50 UTC	6	$212	349	104	+245	Up	-$88	03-08 00:53
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 01:15 UTC	1	$200	386	0	+386	Down	-$200	03-08 01:14
will the us next strike iran on january 14 2026 et 369	5	$198	297	297	+0	No	+$10	01-14 22:06
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-21 11:45 UTC	7	$162	702	0	+702	Down	-$162	01-21 11:49
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-20 16:45 UTC	4	$158	139	137	+2	Up	+$22	01-20 16:47
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-03 23:30 UTC	9	$153	140	138	+2	Down	+$33	03-03 23:44
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 00:15 UTC	5	$148	141	139	+2	Up	-$12	03-08 00:20
Will England win on 2026-07-11?	5	$130	162	162	+0	No	+$30	07-11 21:54
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 20:45 UTC	5	$114	180	42	+138	Up	-$81	03-07 20:52
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 01:25 UTC	2	$106	101	50	+51	Down	-$42	03-08 01:29
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 11:50 UTC	2	$102	87	86	+1	Up	+$14	03-04 11:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-01 22:10:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 22:10 UTC	Down	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xbfe290…
08-01 18:37:32	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	31	73¢	$23	0xce7bf1…
08-01 18:37:29	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	30	62¢	$19	0xbabc6d…
08-01 18:37:20	No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027	Yes	SELL	56	33¢	$18	0x04aad4…
07-18 21:59:30	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	239	40¢	$97	0xdfedd1…
07-18 21:58:07	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	No	SELL	22	92¢	$20	0xbc2e54…
07-18 21:57:57	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	16	89¢	$14	0x8fc4c0…
07-14 20:29:05	Will France win on 2026-07-14?	Yes	BUY	260	4¢	$9	0xd2d884…
07-14 19:30:41	Will France win on 2026-07-14?	Yes	BUY	95	21¢	$20	0x700b75…
07-14 19:29:14	Will France win on 2026-07-14?	Yes	BUY	94	21¢	$20	0x0245dd…
07-11 21:54:26	Will England win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	SELL	144	49¢	$70	0x8cbef3…
07-11 21:41:31	Will England win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	72	28¢	$20	0x504577…
07-11 21:38:22	Will England win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	71	28¢	$20	0x8c2ee3…
07-11 21:25:13	Will England win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	SELL	19	53¢	$10	0x353e5b…
07-11 21:25:02	Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?	No	SELL	14	71¢	$10	0xcac8f2…
07-11 21:24:07	Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?	No	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0xf1d9d9…
07-11 21:19:31	Will England win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xa4641e…
06-17 10:06:34	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	22	87¢	$19	0xe6775b…
06-17 10:06:14	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	36	84¢	$30	0x92d87d…
06-17 10:06:07	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0xec0264…
06-11 22:33:37	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	15	96¢	$15	0x303df4…
05-10 21:15:49	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	No	BUY	22	88¢	$19	0xe82b98…
05-10 20:27:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	SELL	9	65¢	$6	0x74157f…
05-10 20:25:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xd3c440…
05-10 20:13:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x33a2df…
05-10 20:11:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	104	24¢	$25	0x9f3060…
05-10 20:10:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	119	21¢	$25	0xeed7aa…
05-10 20:08:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	78	32¢	$25	0xb8f81d…
05-10 20:06:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	SELL	77	45¢	$35	0xb0f19b…
05-10 20:06:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	77	32¢	$25	0x9f917f…
05-10 20:03:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	SELL	24	33¢	$8	0x4cd3f9…
05-10 20:03:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x4a3e42…
05-10 20:02:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	SELL	16	49¢	$8	0xc38e46…
05-10 20:01:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x38bf12…
05-10 19:52:40	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?	Yes	SELL	14	91¢	$13	0xb82b90…
05-10 19:19:41	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?	Yes	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0xabffa9…
05-10 18:15:32	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	31	77¢	$24	0x5017be…
05-10 10:26:41	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	153	57¢	$87	0x18402f…
05-09 15:56:03	US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	Yes	SELL	29	61¢	$18	0x7cd7a7…
05-07 22:18:10	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xa2e660…
05-07 18:36:02	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	55¢	$15	0x24ce03…
05-07 18:34:49	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0xce8cca…
05-07 18:34:07	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	106	20¢	$21	0x64e856…
05-07 18:33:25	Nothing Ever Happens: May	Nothing	SELL	27	58¢	$16	0xdfcd03…
05-06 23:37:13	US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	Yes	BUY	29	64¢	$18	0x725282…
05-06 23:34:55	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0x6f3669…
05-06 10:37:28	Iran leadership change by June 30?	No	SELL	24	88¢	$21	0x10e869…
05-06 10:36:44	Nothing Ever Happens: May	Nothing	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x611780…
05-05 00:14:36	Iran leadership change by June 30?	No	BUY	24	83¢	$20	0x0c3a7c…
05-03 00:07:58	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. St. Louis Cardinals	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	16	19¢	$3	0x8e31a6…
05-02 06:43:12	Nothing Ever Happens: May	Nothing	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x4069b8…
05-01 14:01:00	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0xc413e3…
04-21 11:18:44	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-21 11:15 UTC	Up	SELL	3	80¢	$3	0x5618a3…
04-21 11:14:30	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-21 11:15 UTC	Up	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x9baefb…
04-15 11:45:20	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	Yes	SELL	10	82¢	$8	0x8fb986…
04-14 23:03:36	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	Yes	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0x049ac7…
04-14 08:18:03	Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	SELL	8	61¢	$5	0xe0f5ec…
04-14 08:17:25	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	SELL	54	3¢	$2	0xdefc76…
04-11 19:30:19	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	21	40¢	$8	0xe694cf…
04-11 19:11:05	Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xe93f96…
04-09 22:58:33	Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	92¢	$10	0xe7cfcd…
04-09 22:44:33	Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x32ab41…
04-09 09:21:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 09:20 UTC	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x75d26e…
04-09 08:20:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 08:15 UTC	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x71de97…
04-09 08:18:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 08:15 UTC	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x89b9e2…
04-08 20:15:23	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	Yes	SELL	8	93¢	$8	0x00c52a…
04-08 20:11:23	Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	77	17¢	$13	0x8b42e1…
04-08 20:10:55	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	29	28¢	$8	0xd627c8…
04-08 13:23:53	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	SELL	8	86¢	$7	0x196899…
04-08 13:21:31	military action against iran ends by april 15 2026 937	No	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x1f54ec…
04-05 07:38:35	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xd3023f…
04-04 23:44:23	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	27	11¢	$3	0x3d3cd7…
04-03 22:02:51	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0xb5b49c…
04-03 01:40:55	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	21	38¢	$8	0xbac097…
04-03 01:40:39	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	BUY	54	15¢	$8	0x26fbba…
04-03 01:39:21	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	BUY	8	89¢	$7	0x44b179…
04-03 01:38:05	Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	77	13¢	$10	0x3cca6d…
04-02 22:28:03	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xf9bfa5…
03-23 17:30:49	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	Yes	SELL	10	78¢	$8	0xf6122c…
03-22 14:46:07	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xa44cc8…
03-21 22:02:17	nba okc was 2026 03 21	Wizards	BUY	19	5¢	$1	0xfe08e0…
03-21 21:59:03	nba okc was 2026 03 21	Wizards	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0xfb1509…
03-21 21:55:55	nba okc was 2026 03 21	Wizards	SELL	31	11¢	$3	0x4485ee…
03-21 21:55:55	nba okc was 2026 03 21	Wizards	SELL	15	11¢	$2	0x3cdf5e…
03-21 21:55:53	nba okc was 2026 03 21	Wizards	SELL	19	11¢	$2	0xb5cb09…
03-21 21:54:47	nba okc was 2026 03 21	Wizards	BUY	65	8¢	$5	0x737992…
03-21 17:52:09	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x0eba7f…
03-21 17:51:47	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x6d5b5d…
03-20 21:09:45	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	29	28¢	$8	0xf455bc…
03-20 21:07:03	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	Yes	BUY	18	82¢	$15	0x217ab3…
03-10 16:49:47	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 16:50 UTC	Down	BUY	47	51¢	$24	0xf44581…
03-10 16:48:35	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 16:45 UTC	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x98ece9…
03-10 16:48:21	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 16:45 UTC	Up	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0x6e6166…
03-10 16:46:27	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 16:45 UTC	Up	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0xfa541a…
03-10 16:45:51	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 16:45 UTC	Down	SELL	10	79¢	$8	0x69c92f…
03-10 16:44:49	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 16:45 UTC	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xff3564…
03-10 16:43:21	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 16:40 UTC	Up	SELL	8	49¢	$4	0x15f7b1…
03-10 16:42:15	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 16:40 UTC	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xb990d4…
03-10 16:41:09	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 16:40 UTC	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xd189ef…
03-10 16:40:49	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 16:40 UTC	Down	SELL	9	70¢	$7	0xafe773…