Realized P&L
+$463
Unrealized P&L
-$104
Hit rate
65.3%
Resolved
5,369
Trades
20,709
lifetime
Volume
$36.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$370
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-18
last 07-02 09:41
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 125 days
Categories
Other
85% 88% -$60
Politics
7% 86% +$99
Crypto
5% 69% -$41
Sports
2% 95% +$473
Tech
1% 86% -$9
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-02).
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes -89 -$52 98¢ $-87 -$35 05-24 10:06
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes -71 -$48 58¢ $-42 +$7 06-03 03:18
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? Yes -40 -$27 100¢ $-40 -$13 05-02 08:18
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026? Yes -40 -$35 94¢ $-38 -$2 06-05 18:56
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes -76 -$7 41¢ $-31 -$24 05-20 18:06
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes -44 -$12 50¢ $-22 -$9 05-19 14:21
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes -20 -$11 90¢ $-18 -$7 05-10 16:39
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election? Yes -20 -$2 88¢ $-18 -$16 05-24 01:06
Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes -40 -$11 40¢ $-16 -$5 05-18 13:46
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -20 -$1 43¢ $-9 -$7 05-29 20:42
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes -44 -$5 14¢ $-6 -$1 06-02 13:49
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes -20 -$4 24¢ $-5 -$1 05-20 18:34
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes -42 -$6 11¢ $-4 +$2 05-19 14:30
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -20 -$4 19¢ $-4 +$0 06-21 22:46
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 50 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes -38 -$6 10¢ $-4 +$2 05-19 14:30
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -20 $0 16¢ $-3 -$3 06-03 23:56
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 51 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes -44 -$5 8¢ $-3 +$2 05-19 15:18
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -20 -$4 16¢ $-3 +$1 05-18 20:43
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 52 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes -44 -$3 6¢ $-3 $0 05-31 04:49
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -20 -$1 12¢ $-2 -$1 06-29 21:49
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes -89 -$8 2¢ $-2 +$6 05-15 05:01
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -20 -$2 11¢ $-2 +$0 05-14 01:19
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes -20 -$3 10¢ $-2 +$1 05-10 13:24
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -20 -$1 10¢ $-2 -$1 06-30 23:10
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -20 -$3 9¢ $-2 +$1 05-15 05:06
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes -38 -$1 4¢ $-2 $0 06-05 08:07
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -20 -$1 4¢ $-1 +$0 05-16 16:01
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -20 -$1 3¢ $-1 +$0 05-31 08:15
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -20 -$1 2¢ $-0 +$0 06-22 10:20
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 28 or 29 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes -20 $0 2¢ $-0 $0 06-29 16:52