Realized P&L
+$0
Unrealized P&L
-$23
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
1
Trades
363
lifetime
Volume
$9.16K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$25
Open exposure
$1.28K
16 positions
First seen
2026-05-06
last 06-17 05:42
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
47%
Crypto
27% 100% +$0
Other
24%
Tech
1%
Sports
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
35 active days in 12wk • peak 34 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No +507 $498 99¢ $504 +$6 06-11 16:35
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -439 $-369 88¢ $-384 $-15 06-12 09:53
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? No +105 $100 98¢ $103 +$2 06-17 05:42
Netanyahu out by June 30? No +54 $52 99¢ $54 +$2 06-07 16:35
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No -62 $-44 82¢ $-51 $-6 06-15 03:22
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No +52 $49 96¢ $50 +$1 06-12 00:55
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +45 $38 87¢ $39 +$2 06-16 00:20
Iran leadership change by June 30? No +21 $20 99¢ $21 +$0 06-12 05:23
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30? No +16 $16 99¢ $16 +$0 06-13 14:47
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes -16 $-6 100¢ $-16 $-9 05-29 10:16
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? Yes +30 $21 52¢ $16 $-6 05-31 17:48
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? No +11 $10 91¢ $10 +$0 06-09 16:10
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +73 $7 13¢ $9 +$2 06-13 02:43
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? Yes +8 $3 48¢ $4 +$1 06-16 00:26
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? Yes +15 $5 14¢ $2 $-3 06-08 10:50
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30? Yes +5 $1 $0 $-1 05-31 17:46