Vague-Speech 0x88e2b1…b07489
whale hot 10W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (7d)
+$2.24K
Unrealized P&L
+$32.8K
Hit rate
68.1%
Resolved (7d)
5
Trades (7d)
284
6,144 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$180.0K
$4.02M lifetime
Avg / trade
$655
Open exposure
$186.6K
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-09
last 10-29 10:50
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 96 days
Categories
Politics
75% 45% +$76,601
Other
24% 51% +$28,105
Sports
1% 20% -$12,969
Crypto
0% 100% +$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
79 active days in 12wk • peak 152 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +32,041 $26,514 97¢ $31.1K +$4,565 10-26 00:10
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +25,998 $23,089 96¢ $25.0K +$1,869 10-27 13:16
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +24,592 $20,514 99¢ $24.4K +$3,881 10-28 00:19
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +19,862 $13,838 92¢ $18.2K +$4,346 10-20 06:01
Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority? No +15,518 $12,439 99¢ $15.4K +$2,955 10-28 07:04
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +14,994 $5,555 82¢ $12.4K +$6,815 10-14 09:23
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? No +10,695 $9,596 99¢ $10.6K +$1,024 10-10 02:05
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +10,015 $3,300 100¢ $10.0K +$6,665 10-27 19:49
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? No +9,848 $5,871 98¢ $9.7K +$3,779 10-19 10:45
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +7,164 $5,725 96¢ $6.9K +$1,188 10-27 13:15
Will there be no Hormuz agreement? Yes +4,806 $3,727 94¢ $4.5K +$774 10-19 10:45
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026? No +4,858 $4,274 92¢ $4.5K +$219 09-04 02:59
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026? Yes +4,000 $2,200 80¢ $3.2K +$1,020 10-05 13:26
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +3,106 $2,914 94¢ $2.9K +$21 10-05 16:15
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? No -3,026 -$2,771 88¢ $-2678 +$93 10-06 06:43
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? Yes +5,000 $600 16¢ $775 +$175 09-18 05:40
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? Yes +2,011 $3,434 38¢ $754 -$2,680 10-28 19:18
iaea visits isfahan fordow or natanz nuclear site by october 31 No +714 -$55 100¢ $713 +$768 09-28 16:34
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27? Yes +701 $624 100¢ $701 +$77 10-25 23:08
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes +7,434 $520 6¢ $409 -$112 10-20 17:51
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31? Yes +2,358 $315 17¢ $401 +$86 10-19 11:59
Will there be no Hormuz agreement? No +4,806 $450 6¢ $305 -$145 10-19 06:45
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? Yes +14,818 $2,698 2¢ $296 -$2,402 10-19 06:36
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +7,164 $1,075 4¢ $251 -$824 10-22 02:20
will trump talk to mojtaba khamenei by december 31 No +245 $223 97¢ $237 +$14 07-24 09:43
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? Yes +2,964 $475 8¢ $222 -$253 10-28 08:37
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? Yes +10,695 $1,203 1¢ $75 -$1,128 10-19 00:08
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +86 $41 56¢ $49 +$7 05-11 03:28
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? No +31 $24 94¢ $29 +$6 06-29 05:26
Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +19,181 $66 0¢ $29 -$38 08-27 12:00