Vague-Speech 0x88e2b1…b07489
whale hot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$105.0K
Unrealized P&L
+$15.5K
Hit rate
66.2%
Resolved
220
Trades
6,181
lifetime
Volume
$4.18M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$676
Open exposure
$128.0K
27 positions
First seen
2026-03-09
last 10-31 17:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 98 days
Categories
Politics
76% 47% +$89,840
Other
23% 51% +$28,105
Sports
1% 20% -$12,969
Crypto
0% 100% +$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
78 active days in 12wk • peak 152 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +32,041 $26,514 100¢ $31.9K +$5,366 10-26 00:10
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +25,998 $23,089 96¢ $24.8K +$1,739 10-27 13:16
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +19,862 $13,838 89¢ $17.6K +$3,790 10-20 06:01
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? No +10,695 $9,596 99¢ $10.6K +$1,024 10-10 02:05
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? No +9,848 $5,871 100¢ $9.8K +$3,976 10-19 10:45
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +7,164 $5,725 96¢ $6.8K +$1,116 10-27 13:15
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026? No +4,858 $4,274 96¢ $4.7K +$389 09-04 02:59
Will there be no Hormuz agreement? Yes +4,806 $3,727 92¢ $4.4K +$680 10-19 10:45
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? Yes +10,000 $6,501 38¢ $3.8K -$2,751 10-30 22:19
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026? Yes +4,000 $2,200 78¢ $3.1K +$940 10-05 13:26
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +3,106 $2,914 96¢ $3.0K +$52 10-05 16:15
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? No -3,026 -$2,771 89¢ $-2693 +$78 10-06 06:43
Will exactly 1 Israeli legislative election occur before a government is formed? No +1,864 $875 52¢ $960 +$85 10-31 10:59
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? Yes +5,000 $600 16¢ $825 +$225 09-18 05:40
iaea visits isfahan fordow or natanz nuclear site by october 31 No +714 -$55 100¢ $713 +$768 09-28 16:34
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes +7,434 $520 10¢ $706 +$186 10-20 17:51
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31? Yes +2,358 $315 18¢ $425 +$110 10-19 11:59
Will there be no Hormuz agreement? No +4,806 $450 8¢ $399 -$51 10-19 06:45
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +7,267 $1,078 4¢ $327 -$751 10-29 17:11
will trump talk to mojtaba khamenei by december 31 No +245 $223 95¢ $234 +$11 07-24 09:43
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? Yes +10,695 $1,203 1¢ $75 -$1,128 10-19 00:08
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +86 $41 56¢ $49 +$7 05-11 03:28
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? No +31 $24 94¢ $29 +$6 06-29 05:26
Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +19,181 $66 0¢ $29 -$38 08-27 12:00
Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +77 $5 4¢ $3 -$2 08-07 15:21
Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? No +2 $298 70¢ $2 -$296 10-28 02:59
iran charges hormuz fees by december 31 20260706203029175 No +0 $5 86¢ $0 -$5 08-20 20:40