Vague-Speech 0x88e2b1…b07489
whale hot 11W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$101.8K
Unrealized P&L
+$13.4K
Hit rate
67.9%
Resolved
214
Trades
6,181
lifetime
Volume
$4.18M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$676
Open exposure
$128.8K
29 positions
First seen
2026-03-09
last 10-31 17:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 98 days
Categories
Politics
76% 46% +$86,642
Other
23% 51% +$28,105
Sports
1% 20% -$12,969
Crypto
0% 100% +$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
78 active days in 12wk • peak 152 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +32,041 $26,514 100¢ $32.0K +$5,526 10-26 00:10
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +25,998 $23,089 96¢ $24.8K +$1,739 10-27 13:16
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +19,862 $13,838 89¢ $17.7K +$3,870 10-20 06:01
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? No +10,695 $9,596 99¢ $10.6K +$1,019 10-10 02:05
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? No +9,848 $5,871 98¢ $9.7K +$3,829 10-19 10:45
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +7,164 $5,725 96¢ $6.8K +$1,116 10-27 13:15
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026? No +4,858 $4,274 96¢ $4.6K +$365 09-04 02:59
Will there be no Hormuz agreement? Yes +4,806 $3,727 92¢ $4.4K +$692 10-19 10:45
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? Yes +10,000 $6,501 40¢ $4.0K -$2,501 10-30 22:19
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026? Yes +4,000 $2,200 78¢ $3.1K +$900 10-05 13:26
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +3,106 $2,914 96¢ $3.0K +$52 10-05 16:15
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? No -3,026 -$2,771 89¢ $-2693 +$78 10-06 06:43
Will exactly 1 Israeli legislative election occur before a government is formed? No +1,864 $875 54¢ $997 +$122 10-31 10:59
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? Yes +5,000 $600 18¢ $925 +$325 09-18 05:40
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by October 31? No +714 -$55 100¢ $713 +$768 09-28 16:34
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes +7,434 $520 10¢ $706 +$186 10-20 17:51
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31? Yes +2,358 $315 18¢ $413 +$98 10-19 11:59
Will there be no Hormuz agreement? No +4,806 $450 8¢ $387 -$63 10-19 06:45
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +7,267 $1,078 4¢ $327 -$751 10-29 17:11
will trump talk to mojtaba khamenei by december 31 No +245 $223 95¢ $234 +$11 07-24 09:43
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? Yes +14,818 $2,698 2¢ $222 -$2,476 10-19 06:36
Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +67,002 $194 0¢ $168 -$26 10-31 00:40
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? Yes +10,695 $1,203 1¢ $80 -$1,123 10-19 00:08
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +86 $41 57¢ $49 +$8 05-11 03:28
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? No +31 $24 94¢ $29 +$6 06-29 05:26
Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +19,181 $66 0¢ $29 -$38 08-27 12:00
Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +77 $5 4¢ $3 -$2 08-07 15:21
Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? No +2 $298 64¢ $2 -$296 10-28 02:59
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? No +0 $5 86¢ $0 -$5 08-20 20:40