Vague-Speech 0x88e2b1…b07489
whale hot 10W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (30d)
+$8.65K
Unrealized P&L
+$28.0K
Hit rate
95.0%
Resolved (30d)
23
Trades (30d)
815
6,163 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$601.3K
$4.09M lifetime
Avg / trade
$663
Open exposure
$222.6K
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-09
last 10-30 00:31
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 96 days
Categories
Politics
76% 45% +$76,601
Other
24% 51% +$28,105
Sports
1% 20% -$12,969
Crypto
0% 100% +$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
79 active days in 12wk • peak 152 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +50,511 $50,247 99¢ $50.0K -$242 10-29 17:37
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +32,041 $26,514 96¢ $30.8K +$4,245 10-26 00:10
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +25,998 $23,089 96¢ $24.8K +$1,739 10-27 13:16
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +24,592 $20,514 99¢ $24.4K +$3,918 10-28 00:19
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +19,862 $13,838 89¢ $17.6K +$3,790 10-20 06:01
Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority? No +15,518 $12,439 99¢ $15.4K +$2,993 10-28 07:04
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? No +10,695 $9,596 99¢ $10.6K +$976 10-10 02:05
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +10,015 $3,300 100¢ $10.0K +$6,665 10-27 19:49
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? No +9,848 $5,871 97¢ $9.6K +$3,681 10-19 10:45
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +7,164 $5,725 95¢ $6.8K +$1,080 10-27 13:15
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026? No +4,858 $4,274 95¢ $4.6K +$340 09-04 02:59
Will there be no Hormuz agreement? Yes +4,806 $3,727 94¢ $4.5K +$812 10-19 10:45
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026? Yes +4,000 $2,200 80¢ $3.2K +$980 10-05 13:26
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +3,106 $2,914 96¢ $3.0K +$52 10-05 16:15
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? No -3,026 -$2,771 88¢ $-2663 +$108 10-06 06:43
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? Yes +5,000 $600 18¢ $900 +$300 09-18 05:40
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27? Yes +701 $624 100¢ $701 +$77 10-25 23:08
iaea visits isfahan fordow or natanz nuclear site by october 31 No +714 -$55 97¢ $694 +$750 09-28 16:34
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31? Yes +2,358 $315 19¢ $448 +$134 10-19 11:59
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? Yes +14,818 $2,698 3¢ $445 -$2,254 10-19 06:36
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes +7,434 $520 6¢ $409 -$112 10-20 17:51
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +7,267 $1,078 5¢ $363 -$715 10-29 17:11
Will there be no Hormuz agreement? No +4,806 $450 6¢ $267 -$184 10-19 06:45
will trump talk to mojtaba khamenei by december 31 No +245 $223 94¢ $230 +$7 07-24 09:43
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? Yes +10,695 $1,203 1¢ $123 -$1,080 10-19 00:08
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +86 $41 60¢ $51 +$10 05-11 03:28
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? No +31 $24 94¢ $29 +$6 06-29 05:26
Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +19,181 $66 0¢ $29 -$38 08-27 12:00
Will exactly 1 Israeli legislative election occur before a government is formed? No +11 $4 52¢ $6 +$2 10-21 02:51
Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +77 $5 4¢ $3 -$2 08-07 15:21