(anonymous) 0x894df6…fc04e2
whale
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$530
Unrealized P&L
+$4.12K
Hit rate
87.0%
Resolved
59
Trades
727
lifetime
Volume
$386.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$532
Open exposure
$177.5K
23 positions
First seen
2026-09-24
last 10-27 06:58
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 19 days
Categories
Politics
50% 64% -$4,016
Other
48% 62% +$3,473
Tech
2% — —
Sports
0% 100% +$14
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
25 active days in 12wk • peak 82 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +77,500 $65,465 84¢ $64.7K -$753 10-27 10:39
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? No +21,000 $17,950 96¢ $20.2K +$2,210 10-27 00:59
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +20,300 $16,465 92¢ $18.8K +$2,312 10-27 01:02
Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026? No +15,500 $13,963 96¢ $14.9K +$917 10-22 00:54
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +13,725 $11,656 94¢ $12.8K +$1,177 10-21 02:07
Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026? No +10,000 $9,344 96¢ $9.6K +$256 10-27 00:59
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? Anthropic +8,212 $7,841 96¢ $7.9K +$79 10-22 07:14
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +6,176 $5,541 99¢ $6.1K +$548 10-24 02:57
France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026? No +4,911 $4,271 98¢ $4.8K +$566 10-26 11:35
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31? No +5,000 $4,425 96¢ $4.8K +$382 10-06 02:02
Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026? No +3,969 $2,893 80¢ $3.2K +$263 10-14 05:06
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +20,988 $4,853 14¢ $2.9K -$1,915 10-18 02:43
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? No +3,100 $2,790 72¢ $2.2K -$573 10-18 09:36
US imports Russian diesel by October 31? No +2,000 $1,812 96¢ $1.9K +$98 10-14 06:06
Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026? No +1,262 $966 99¢ $1.2K +$281 10-24 02:56
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,400 $615 35¢ $490 -$125 10-19 10:57
will russia announce a new forced mobilization by october 31 2026 No +294 $265 100¢ $293 +$28 09-27 06:46
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? No +2,470 $1,897 8¢ $185 -$1,712 10-17 07:41
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 12? Yes +310 $193 57¢ $177 -$17 10-03 10:58
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 8? Yes +210 $142 76¢ $161 +$19 10-03 11:19
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? No +444 $155 22¢ $95 -$60 10-04 15:57
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +5,000 $76 1¢ $58 -$18 10-04 01:01
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +0 -$156 99¢ $0 +$156 10-27 06:58