Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$530

Unrealized P&L

+$1.59K

Hit rate

87.0%

Resolved

Trades

714

lifetime

Volume

$371.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$520

Open exposure

$173.8K

24 positions

First seen

2026-09-24

last 10-26 11:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 19 days

Categories

Politics

50% 64% -$4,016

Other

48% 62% +$3,473

Tech

2% — —

Sports

0% 100% +$14

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

24 active days in 12wk • peak 82 trades/day

Open positions (24) Resolved markets (8) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	+75,000	$63,415	80¢	$60.4K	-$3,040	10-22 11:48
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	+19,800	$16,810	94¢	$18.7K	+$1,901	10-26 11:26
Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026? (copy)	No	+15,500	$13,963	94¢	$14.6K	+$684	10-22 00:54
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	+15,300	$11,965	90¢	$13.7K	+$1,728	10-21 01:04
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	+13,725	$11,656	92¢	$12.7K	+$1,039	10-21 02:07
Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?	No	+9,000	$8,384	96¢	$8.6K	+$211	10-22 00:58
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	Anthropic	+8,212	$7,841	96¢	$7.9K	+$71	10-22 07:14
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?	No	+6,615	$5,942	99¢	$6.5K	+$604	10-26 02:55
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	+6,176	$5,541	99¢	$6.1K	+$551	10-24 02:57
France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?	No	+4,911	$4,271	98¢	$4.8K	+$566	10-26 11:35
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31?	No	+5,000	$4,425	94¢	$4.7K	+$282	10-06 02:02
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+20,988	$4,853	16¢	$3.5K	-$1,390	10-18 02:43
Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?	No	+3,969	$2,893	80¢	$3.2K	+$263	10-14 05:06
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	No	+3,100	$2,790	74¢	$2.3K	-$511	10-18 09:36
US imports Russian diesel by October 31?	No	+2,000	$1,812	93¢	$1.9K	+$39	10-14 06:06
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	+1,500	$1,318	98¢	$1.5K	+$157	10-22 07:49
Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026?	No	+1,262	$966	99¢	$1.2K	+$283	10-24 02:56
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+1,400	$615	32¢	$441	-$174	10-19 10:57
will russia announce a new forced mobilization by october 31 2026	No	+294	$265	99¢	$291	+$26	09-27 06:46
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	+2,470	$1,897	11¢	$259	-$1,638	10-17 07:41
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 12?	Yes	+310	$193	57¢	$177	-$17	10-03 10:58
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 8?	Yes	+210	$142	80¢	$167	+$25	10-03 11:19
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?	No	+444	$155	22¢	$100	-$55	10-04 15:57
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	+5,000	$76	1¢	$58	-$18	10-04 01:01

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	96	$78.5K	83,901	8,901	+75,000	open	—	10-22 11:48
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	42	$25.0K	33,010	15,240	+17,770	open	—	10-21 01:04
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	5	$17.4K	18,000	0	+18,000	No	+$589	09-29 02:14
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	13	$16.8K	19,800	0	+19,800	open	—	10-26 11:26
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	4	$16.7K	15,666	15,666	+0	open	—	10-06 02:01
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?	22	$15.4K	11,412	4,797	+6,615	open	—	10-26 02:55
France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?	22	$14.0K	9,822	4,911	+4,911	open	—	10-26 11:35
Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026? (copy)	2	$14.0K	15,500	0	+15,500	open	—	10-22 00:54
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?	6	$13.5K	15,000	0	+15,000	No	+$1,500	10-05 06:19
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	11	$11.7K	13,725	0	+13,725	open	—	10-21 02:07
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?	21	$10.6K	6,000	6,000	+0	open	—	10-04 12:58
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?	12	$10.3K	5,500	5,500	+0	Yes	+$70	10-08 10:00
Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?	23	$8.4K	9,000	0	+9,000	open	—	10-22 00:58
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	5	$7.8K	8,212	0	+8,212	open	—	10-22 07:14
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?	5	$6.7K	3,409	3,409	+0	No	+$80	10-01 06:47
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?	5	$5.5K	6,176	0	+6,176	open	—	10-24 02:57
Will the US announce a diesel export ban by October 31?	16	$5.2K	2,768	2,768	+0	open	—	10-08 07:10
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	28	$4.9K	20,988	0	+20,988	open	—	10-18 02:43
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31?	4	$4.4K	5,000	0	+5,000	open	—	10-06 02:02
Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026?	5	$4.4K	3,000	1,738	+1,262	open	—	10-24 02:56
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	5	$4.3K	3,000	1,500	+1,500	open	—	10-22 07:49
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	9	$4.0K	10,000	10,000	+0	open	—	10-05 08:11
Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 15?	15	$3.8K	4,273	0	+4,273	No	+$491	10-06 14:48
Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by October 31?	10	$3.6K	2,942	1,047	+1,895	open	—	10-21 03:46
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	12	$3.4K	5,000	5,000	+0	open	—	10-08 00:19
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 9?	1	$3.3K	3,400	0	+3,400	Yes	+$98	10-03 02:25
Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?	18	$2.9K	3,969	0	+3,969	open	—	10-14 05:06
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	3	$2.9K	3,500	3,500	+0	Yes	-$2,853	10-26 01:56
Saudi troops fighting in Yemen by October 10, 2026?	1	$2.8K	3,000	0	+3,000	No	+$210	10-03 02:20
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	8	$2.8K	3,100	0	+3,100	open	—	10-18 09:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 11:35:47	France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	4,176	99¢	$4,126	0x22f067…
10-26 11:26:05	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2,300	95¢	$2,185	0x608f42…
10-26 02:55:11	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?	No	SELL	208	99¢	$206	0x08ff10…
10-26 02:55:05	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?	No	SELL	1,997	99¢	$1,975	0xc3c0e8…
10-26 01:59:08	US imports Russian diesel by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1,500	85¢	$1,282	0xc589c1…
10-26 01:56:57	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	3,500	0¢	$7	0x822724…
10-26 01:54:09	France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	735	99¢	$726	0x0e45a4…
10-24 02:57:14	US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	500	92¢	$460	0x9f6854…
10-24 02:56:41	Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	116	99¢	$114	0x39f58e…
10-22 11:52:45	France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	66	93¢	$62	0x7649c5…
10-22 11:48:17	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x97b51f…
10-22 11:39:50	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	8	84¢	$7	0x1905d6…
10-22 10:36:26	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	0	84¢	$0	0x93fca9…
10-22 10:36:20	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	0	84¢	$0	0x5b6372…
10-22 10:33:08	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0xab6a6e…
10-22 10:21:12	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	38	84¢	$32	0x632af0…
10-22 10:11:51	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	2,260	84¢	$1,899	0x2355b5…
10-22 10:03:38	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	0	84¢	$0	0xa07940…
10-22 10:03:38	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	0	84¢	$0	0x335b62…
10-22 10:02:35	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0xeb1281…
10-22 09:55:53	France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	714	93¢	$664	0x83902f…
10-22 09:37:14	France accuses foreign country of provoking unrest by November 30?	No	BUY	215	90¢	$194	0xe60b39…
10-22 09:36:38	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	3	84¢	$3	0xc2c00f…
10-22 09:36:38	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	3	84¢	$3	0x4208cd…
10-22 09:27:38	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x312865…
10-22 09:19:17	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	0	84¢	$0	0xcf362b…
10-22 09:19:17	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	0	84¢	$0	0x4d54ab…
10-22 09:08:02	France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	93¢	$93	0x44b703…
10-22 09:06:09	France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	713	93¢	$663	0x35818f…
10-22 09:02:41	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	327	84¢	$275	0x46aa69…
10-22 09:01:00	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	39	84¢	$33	0x0c95c9…
10-22 09:00:59	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	4	84¢	$4	0xfb5b98…
10-22 09:00:59	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	39	84¢	$33	0x63351f…
10-22 09:00:59	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	4	84¢	$4	0x2155ef…
10-22 08:51:45	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	8	84¢	$7	0x3d59d5…
10-22 08:26:06	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x47ae55…
10-22 08:20:00	France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	71	93¢	$66	0x2f21c0…
10-22 07:49:17	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	233	98¢	$229	0xa5ee32…
10-22 07:46:44	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x930d8c…
10-22 07:45:42	France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	330	93¢	$307	0xd03484…
10-22 07:45:42	France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2,005	93¢	$1,864	0xa5cbcc…
10-22 07:44:44	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x16f9d9…
10-22 07:22:38	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2,373	94¢	$2,231	0xae8881…
10-22 07:14:18	Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	Anthropic	BUY	1,000	95¢	$949	0x905446…
10-22 07:05:53	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	84	94¢	$79	0xa09a05…
10-22 06:47:27	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	119	84¢	$100	0xaf5940…
10-22 06:44:39	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	113	94¢	$106	0x296b5b…
10-22 06:31:23	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x39675e…
10-22 06:29:20	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	749	98¢	$735	0x5786db…
10-22 06:07:16	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x2a92eb…
10-22 06:03:02	France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	189	91¢	$172	0x7fb4bc…
10-22 05:59:46	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	500	84¢	$420	0xb584be…
10-22 05:55:16	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2,430	94¢	$2,284	0xbb7746…
10-22 05:55:10	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	23	84¢	$19	0x6aba35…
10-22 05:54:32	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	1	84¢	$0	0xdba1e9…
10-22 05:54:32	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x676aa0…
10-22 05:54:28	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x048f67…
10-22 05:54:25	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	30	84¢	$25	0xc7469b…
10-22 05:54:25	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	125	84¢	$105	0xb9289c…
10-22 05:54:23	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	41,389	84¢	$34,767	0x8b6b7c…
10-22 05:49:49	France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	195	91¢	$177	0x4fc74b…
10-22 05:48:41	France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	219	91¢	$199	0x94a914…
10-22 05:48:38	France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	219	91¢	$199	0x335c65…
10-22 04:41:24	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	512	98¢	$502	0x7dfd03…
10-22 00:58:14	Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	621	92¢	$571	0x59662e…
10-22 00:55:59	Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	386	99¢	$381	0xfa18e9…
10-22 00:55:18	Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xbce8cc…
10-22 00:54:50	Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$4	0x33fbe1…
10-22 00:54:48	Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x947247…
10-22 00:54:47	Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2,823	92¢	$2,597	0xe66875…
10-22 00:54:47	Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	18	92¢	$17	0xe34f5c…
10-22 00:54:47	Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	7	92¢	$6	0x790286…
10-22 00:54:45	Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	23	92¢	$21	0xc5d390…
10-22 00:54:24	Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2,500	91¢	$2,268	0xf26423…
10-21 15:18:17	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	45	85¢	$39	0xb53b83…
10-21 14:38:05	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	145	85¢	$123	0xbaba3f…
10-21 14:36:33	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	275	85¢	$234	0x282d7b…
10-21 14:34:08	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	12	85¢	$11	0x5cec60…
10-21 14:03:02	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	6	85¢	$5	0x9e7d11…
10-21 12:14:48	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	33	85¢	$28	0x77710f…
10-21 12:10:51	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	4	85¢	$4	0x39f969…
10-21 12:01:32	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	60	85¢	$51	0x8d2bd0…
10-21 11:17:12	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0x3f4cc1…
10-21 10:47:20	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	12	85¢	$11	0x8d7bf3…
10-21 10:27:21	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	50	85¢	$42	0x4a69b2…
10-21 10:03:38	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x9d644e…
10-21 09:00:05	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	12	85¢	$11	0xba8b19…
10-21 08:58:48	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	12	85¢	$11	0xa2553e…
10-21 08:33:09	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	6	85¢	$5	0x819729…
10-21 07:36:05	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	62	85¢	$53	0xd3826a…
10-21 07:33:32	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	2	85¢	$2	0x34d912…
10-21 06:06:26	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	526	85¢	$447	0x9e7fa3…
10-21 05:38:21	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	16	85¢	$14	0xd43f2a…
10-21 05:37:29	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0x6bcafa…
10-21 05:20:51	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	12	85¢	$11	0x04664a…
10-21 05:13:44	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	12	85¢	$11	0xd3934d…
10-21 04:59:06	France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,500	95¢	$1,425	0xc7f348…
10-21 04:46:57	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	53	85¢	$45	0xb693b8…
10-21 03:49:02	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	12	85¢	$11	0xab200a…
10-21 03:47:47	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	12	85¢	$11	0x54bf42…