(anonymous) 0x89d6cd…98ea49
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Realized P&L
-$5
Unrealized P&L
-$3
Hit rate
54.6%
Resolved
3
Trades
604
lifetime
Volume
$617
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$20
13 positions
First seen
2026-03-04
last 07-02 20:51
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Politics
82% 0% $-5
Other
13% 100% +$0
Crypto
4% — —
Tech
0% — —
Sports
0% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
41 active days in 12wk • peak 26 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -6 $-5 86¢ $-5 +$0 06-15 20:58
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +5 $4 100¢ $5 +$1 06-26 20:32
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027? Yes +3 $3 92¢ $3 +$0 06-26 06:40
Will New York use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? No +2 $2 97¢ $2 +$0 06-04 06:20
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +10 $1 14¢ $1 +$0 06-14 22:11
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? No +1 $1 89¢ $1 +$0 06-24 10:51
Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026? Yes +4 $1 16¢ $1 $-0 06-15 00:25
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? Yes +5 $1 11¢ $1 $-0 06-24 10:47
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? Yes +3 $1 16¢ $0 $-1 06-24 06:24
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +1 $1 30¢ $0 $-1 06-19 16:54
Will New York use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? Yes +9 $1 3¢ $0 $-1 06-04 06:20
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by June 30? Yes +7 $1 2¢ $0 $-1 06-15 23:29
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? Yes +2 $1 0¢ $0 $-1 06-28 03:42