(anonymous) 0x89d6cd…98ea49
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Realized P&L
-$82
Unrealized P&L
-$5
Hit rate
54.5%
Resolved
129
Trades
712
lifetime
Volume
$762
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$26
12 positions
First seen
2026-03-04
last 09-06 00:11
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 63 days
Categories
Politics
75% 61% -$50
Other
19% 53% -$30
Crypto
4% 100% +$4
Sports
1% 25% -$4
Tech
0% 50% -$1
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
1 active day in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -19 -$16 82¢ $-16 +$1 07-20 14:26
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +22 $4 18¢ $4 $0 06-14 22:11
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +9 $2 16¢ $1 -$1 07-03 09:31
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +1 $1 94¢ $1 +$0 05-02 03:59
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? No +1 $1 94¢ $1 +$0 06-24 10:51
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? Yes +5 $2 15¢ $1 -$1 07-18 09:24
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? Yes +3 $1 19¢ $1 $0 07-14 10:54
Kash Patel out by December 31? Yes +2 $1 18¢ $0 -$1 07-11 18:49
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? Yes +5 $1 6¢ $0 -$1 06-24 10:47
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? Yes +4 $1 8¢ $0 -$1 07-04 11:51
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? Yes +3 $1 6¢ $0 -$1 06-24 06:24
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +1 $1 6¢ $0 -$1 06-19 16:54