(anonymous) 0x89d6cd…98ea49
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Realized P&L
-$5
Unrealized P&L
+$2
Hit rate
54.6%
Resolved
3
Trades
676
lifetime
Volume
$706
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$36
18 positions
First seen
2026-03-04
last 07-21 14:43
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Politics
77% 0% $-5
Other
18% 100% +$0
Crypto
4% — —
Sports
1% — —
Tech
0% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
49 active days in 12wk • peak 26 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -21 $-17 70¢ $-15 +$2 07-20 14:26
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027? Yes +3 $3 91¢ $3 +$0 06-26 06:40
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +10 $1 30¢ $3 +$2 06-14 22:11
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? Yes +5 $2 58¢ $3 +$1 07-18 09:24
Will New York use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? No +2 $2 96¢ $2 +$0 06-04 06:20
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +9 $2 20¢ $2 $-0 07-03 09:31
Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2027? Yes +39 $1 3¢ $1 +$0 07-09 05:56
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? No +1 $1 89¢ $1 +$0 06-24 10:51
Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes +1 $1 86¢ $1 $-0 07-10 15:40
Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes +3 $1 32¢ $1 $-0 07-10 15:41
Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026? Yes +4 $1 20¢ $1 $-0 06-15 00:25
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? Yes +3 $1 22¢ $1 $-0 07-14 10:54
Kash Patel out by December 31? Yes +2 $1 36¢ $1 $-0 07-11 18:49
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? Yes +4 $1 15¢ $1 $-0 07-04 11:51
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? Yes +5 $1 11¢ $1 $-0 06-24 10:47
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? Yes +3 $1 15¢ $0 $-1 06-24 06:24
Will New York use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? Yes +9 $1 4¢ $0 $-1 06-04 06:20
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +1 $1 22¢ $0 $-1 06-19 16:54