Treasured-Wagon — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$22

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

89.2%

Resolved

Trades

192

lifetime

Volume

$1.64K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-20

last 06-23 21:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Politics

45% 0% $-0

Other

36% 100% +$28

Crypto

9% — —

Sports

9% 0% $-7

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

19 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	6	$101	74	74	+0	open	—	05-27 16:49
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	5	$80	36	66	-30	open	—	05-09 05:35
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	7	$78	53	48	+5	open	—	05-12 15:03
Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?	8	$76	59	59	+0	open	—	06-23 21:00
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	8	$69	57	57	+0	open	—	06-17 21:58
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Aryna Sabalenka vs Sorana Cirstea	2	$69	42	42	+0	Sorana Cirstea	+$15	05-09 16:35
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Casper Ruud vs Karen Khachanov	2	$68	43	43	+0	Casper Ruud	+$13	05-13 17:11
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	8	$64	48	48	+0	open	—	06-18 22:00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	2	$52	33	33	+0	open	—	05-14 08:41
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	2	$51	39	39	+0	open	—	05-12 09:03
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	7	$49	36	36	+0	open	—	05-12 15:03
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	5	$47	51	27	+25	open	—	04-19 20:23
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?	5	$41	29	29	+0	open	—	06-08 00:27
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	2	$40	25	25	+0	open	—	04-19 15:47
Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	4	$38	29	29	+0	open	—	06-17 14:46
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	3	$37	15	29	-14	open	—	06-16 08:24
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	2	$34	51	0	+51	open	—	04-04 22:33
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	7	$31	23	18	+5	open	—	04-26 08:17
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	3	$26	23	23	+0	open	—	04-17 20:17
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	2	$25	18	18	+0	open	—	05-06 19:05
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	2	$24	14	14	+0	open	—	04-17 19:56
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	1	$24	0	49	-49	open	—	06-08 08:04
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	1	$24	34	0	+34	open	—	04-17 20:22
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	1	$22	0	44	-44	open	—	05-27 21:10
Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	2	$22	15	15	+0	open	—	06-06 20:59
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	2	$19	14	14	+0	open	—	06-06 21:11
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	3	$17	11	11	+0	open	—	04-20 02:17
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	2	$17	17	17	+0	open	—	05-14 12:21
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	3	$17	23	23	+0	open	—	04-17 13:56
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	2	$16	14	14	+0	open	—	06-19 15:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-23 21:00:55	Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?	Yes	SELL	15	64¢	$10	0x19b695…
06-23 15:00:55	Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?	Yes	BUY	15	75¢	$12	0xee6301…
06-19 15:58:23	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	14	57¢	$8	0x66e2e1…
06-19 15:44:23	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	14	59¢	$8	0x913bdb…
06-18 22:00:23	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	No	SELL	14	67¢	$10	0x466806…
06-17 21:58:25	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	14	59¢	$8	0xf02a4d…
06-17 20:46:26	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	No	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x2dbee8…
06-17 20:46:25	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	14	66¢	$9	0x2f95ef…
06-17 20:30:25	Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?	No	SELL	15	47¢	$7	0x2134e2…
06-17 20:30:23	Will Uzbekistan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	15	71¢	$10	0x03aa92…
06-17 15:20:25	Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?	No	BUY	15	64¢	$9	0x07ddf0…
06-17 14:46:25	Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	Yes	SELL	15	69¢	$10	0x59b177…
06-17 08:46:25	Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	Yes	BUY	15	74¢	$11	0x226421…
06-16 23:30:25	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	14	52¢	$7	0xa0a15d…
06-16 23:00:25	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	No	SELL	14	64¢	$9	0xe0f1c9…
06-16 21:46:25	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	14	63¢	$9	0x2c606f…
06-16 12:58:25	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	14	56¢	$8	0x03a520…
06-16 12:30:25	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	No	BUY	14	67¢	$10	0xa624b6…
06-16 10:44:24	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	14	62¢	$9	0x1b6c9b…
06-16 08:24:51	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	15	83¢	$12	0xb3a87b…
06-16 06:36:27	Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	Yes	SELL	14	29¢	$4	0x99d64b…
06-15 16:52:27	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	15	80¢	$12	0x985aa3…
06-15 16:33:48	Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	Yes	BUY	4	66¢	$3	0x8d2acb…
06-15 16:30:01	Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	Yes	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x9d7633…
06-15 16:25:21	Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	Yes	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xce2f34…
06-15 13:38:27	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	15	61¢	$9	0xfa639b…
06-15 13:38:25	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	No	SELL	14	63¢	$9	0xac7752…
06-15 13:22:27	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	15	64¢	$9	0xf86220…
06-15 12:08:25	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	14	85¢	$12	0x73b9e1…
06-15 03:52:27	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	No	BUY	14	66¢	$10	0xd8667c…
06-14 23:06:28	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	No	SELL	5	66¢	$3	0xa8c97e…
06-14 18:52:28	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	No	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x07bd0a…
06-14 15:02:28	Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?	Yes	SELL	14	68¢	$10	0xc1bd7c…
06-14 10:18:28	Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?	Yes	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0xbae531…
06-14 02:32:28	Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	Yes	SELL	14	48¢	$7	0xd631e4…
06-13 21:50:28	Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	Yes	BUY	14	68¢	$10	0x40164c…
06-13 21:20:28	Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?	Yes	SELL	14	63¢	$9	0x6666d3…
06-13 16:43:18	Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?	Yes	BUY	14	68¢	$10	0xd74441…
06-08 08:04:36	Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?	No	SELL	11	49¢	$6	0x691ae9…
06-08 08:04:36	Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	No	SELL	49	50¢	$24	0x644abe…
06-08 07:25:31	Trump out as President before GTA VI?	No	SELL	16	49¢	$8	0xfabedf…
06-08 00:27:12	Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	14	79¢	$11	0x1c4b75…
06-07 12:56:28	Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0x2c6d05…
06-07 12:56:24	Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0x8da961…
06-07 02:59:10	Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	14	70¢	$10	0x3e3000…
06-06 21:11:18	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	14	65¢	$9	0x48be2b…
06-06 20:59:15	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	14	66¢	$9	0x952e1d…
06-06 20:59:12	Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	No	SELL	15	73¢	$11	0x896e7c…
06-06 05:40:40	Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	No	BUY	15	70¢	$11	0x80374b…
06-05 23:27:27	Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	14	66¢	$9	0x2e3256…
06-05 19:42:39	US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	Yes	SELL	8	66¢	$5	0xa227a7…
06-05 13:38:27	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	73¢	$4	0x35355f…
06-05 07:46:54	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	59¢	$6	0xf6c7a3…
06-05 02:34:24	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	SELL	10	70¢	$7	0x365be0…
06-04 16:28:27	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0xab0287…
06-04 12:04:34	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	No	SELL	9	72¢	$6	0xe212f8…
06-04 08:34:27	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x039edf…
06-02 14:50:34	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	62¢	$7	0x4f0d8f…
06-02 02:50:34	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	62¢	$7	0x78cede…
06-01 22:20:34	US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	Yes	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xaf1418…
06-01 21:26:35	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	No	BUY	9	66¢	$6	0x286d9a…
05-30 04:20:30	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	66¢	$3	0xb8eac0…
05-29 16:50:32	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x900785…
05-28 21:20:30	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	68¢	$3	0x10fbc0…
05-27 22:20:31	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x4100fe…
05-27 21:20:31	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xfd004d…
05-27 21:10:45	Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	No	SELL	44	51¢	$22	0xeec055…
05-27 16:49:25	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	53	75¢	$40	0x9d4c2c…
05-27 11:19:25	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	53	71¢	$37	0xbbd14d…
05-14 12:21:14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	SELL	17	44¢	$7	0xdbd1ad…
05-14 08:41:15	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	No	SELL	33	80¢	$27	0x088dd2…
05-13 20:41:15	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	7	76¢	$5	0x9f60e0…
05-13 17:11:18	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Casper Ruud vs Karen Khachanov	Casper Ruud	SELL	43	95¢	$41	0x927913…
05-13 16:41:18	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Casper Ruud vs Karen Khachanov	Casper Ruud	BUY	43	64¢	$27	0x76bf77…
05-13 08:51:16	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	7	80¢	$6	0x671871…
05-13 02:03:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	17	57¢	$10	0x883764…
05-12 15:03:55	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	16	64¢	$11	0x6d403e…
05-12 15:03:53	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	30	83¢	$25	0x219d35…
05-12 09:33:54	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x603b65…
05-12 09:33:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	No	BUY	33	75¢	$25	0x30cda5…
05-12 09:03:53	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	39	72¢	$28	0x5cd62c…
05-10 07:05:16	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	39	57¢	$22	0xb478e9…
05-10 07:05:16	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	30	72¢	$22	0x50b922…
05-09 16:35:17	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Aryna Sabalenka vs Sorana Cirstea	Sorana Cirstea	SELL	42	100¢	$42	0x3f2943…
05-09 16:09:42	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Aryna Sabalenka vs Sorana Cirstea	Sorana Cirstea	BUY	42	64¢	$27	0xcc676d…
05-09 05:35:16	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	30	81¢	$24	0xf6a5ff…
05-09 00:05:16	Colorado Rockies vs. Philadelphia Phillies	Philadelphia Phillies	SELL	13	4¢	$1	0x6f7c73…
05-08 23:05:15	Colorado Rockies vs. Philadelphia Phillies	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	13	54¢	$7	0xb3ae0a…
05-08 13:05:15	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	SELL	7	90¢	$6	0xd8d6d0…
05-08 07:35:15	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	34	90¢	$30	0x03b6c5…
05-08 07:05:16	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	65¢	$3	0x48ab08…
05-08 07:05:14	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	15	59¢	$9	0x32d06e…
05-08 06:05:15	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	15	60¢	$9	0x5865c8…
05-07 19:05:16	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	5	82¢	$4	0xfb78a2…
05-07 19:05:16	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	15	65¢	$10	0x8261b4…
05-07 19:05:16	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x48f399…
05-07 13:05:52	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0x4bee13…
05-07 13:05:15	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x4f30eb…
05-07 07:05:15	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	5	72¢	$4	0x2b75c3…
05-06 19:05:16	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	18	74¢	$13	0xc10d07…