Modern-Potty — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$776

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

93.8%

Resolved

966

Trades

22,215

lifetime

Volume

$1.38M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$62

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-06

last 10-11 02:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 110 days

Categories

Other

63% 93% +$617

Politics

20% 93% -$1,739

Crypto

14% 96% +$281

Tech

2% 100% +$59

Sports

0% 83% +$6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	217	$18.5K	10,357	8,502	+1,855	Yes	-$1,809	04-07 01:59
Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?	300	$17.5K	10,150	7,609	+2,540	Yes	+$54	04-12 22:31
will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	233	$17.2K	10,089	7,297	+2,791	No	+$44	03-30 17:25
kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	213	$16.3K	9,682	6,858	+2,823	No	+$50	04-15 11:43
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	188	$15.7K	8,764	7,179	+1,585	No	+$27	03-30 05:24
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	202	$14.7K	8,190	6,755	+1,435	No	+$28	04-15 02:13
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?	268	$13.4K	6,848	6,688	+160	No	+$12	04-12 09:25
Netanyahu out by April 30?	195	$12.5K	7,454	5,213	+2,241	No	+$42	04-18 00:14
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	184	$12.4K	7,325	5,372	+1,953	Yes	+$44	04-20 11:03
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	170	$12.1K	6,854	5,347	+1,507	No	+$23	04-20 19:32
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	138	$11.9K	6,404	5,582	+822	No	+$14	03-29 04:06
will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	124	$11.5K	6,153	5,544	+609	No	+$11	03-30 04:22
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	149	$11.2K	6,692	4,687	+2,005	Yes	+$32	03-25 02:05
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	127	$11.0K	5,917	5,181	+736	No	+$12	03-31 02:45
will bitcoin dip to 50k in march 2026	183	$10.9K	6,299	4,808	+1,491	No	+$27	03-29 23:15
Military action against Iran ends on April 10, 2026?	148	$10.8K	5,767	5,106	+661	No	+$20	04-12 18:49
Military action against Iran continues through April 30, 2026?	151	$10.6K	6,016	4,639	+1,377	No	+$13	04-12 20:30
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	114	$10.5K	5,630	4,950	+680	No	+$15	03-18 13:50
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	127	$10.2K	5,821	4,500	+1,321	No	+$19	04-21 19:58
netanyahu out by march 31 854	104	$10.0K	5,670	4,453	+1,217	No	+$16	03-31 06:12
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?	146	$9.9K	5,316	4,693	+624	No	+$10	04-16 11:06
will bitcoin reach 85k in march 2026	159	$9.9K	5,493	4,563	+931	No	+$23	03-28 12:10
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	158	$9.9K	5,300	4,670	+630	Yes	+$9	03-30 22:32
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	124	$9.1K	5,763	3,469	+2,294	No	+$44	04-20 11:02
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	86	$8.9K	4,818	4,195	+623	Yes	+$10	03-17 23:14
will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	144	$8.8K	5,100	3,899	+1,201	No	+$24	03-31 03:44
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	125	$8.6K	5,237	3,571	+1,666	No	+$31	04-21 14:29
will israel conduct military action against iran by april 14 2026	110	$8.2K	4,459	3,840	+619	No	+$17	04-16 06:18
GTA VI released before June 2026?	187	$7.9K	4,124	3,975	+150	No	+$5	05-26 19:15
will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	167	$7.9K	4,432	3,537	+895	No	+$11	02-25 00:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-11 02:34:30	Will Chicago White Sox win the 2026 American League Championship Series?	No	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0xa0baf8…
06-29 07:04:41	Will LeBron James play for the Detroit Pistons in 2026-27?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xa0db76…
06-24 03:27:58	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xa00503…
06-16 10:31:28	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x48fa59…
06-13 01:27:15	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0xe96eae…
06-11 02:17:19	Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0x2af588…
06-11 01:19:19	Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x6e1b72…
06-10 19:45:30	Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0x62fe06…
06-10 14:54:21	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x2ca1b0…
06-10 12:41:46	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0x3f0443…
06-10 08:54:21	Will the San Francisco Giants win the 2026 World Series?	No	SELL	101	100¢	$100	0xb3cfe0…
06-10 04:33:34	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x6b2930…
06-10 03:45:24	Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?	No	SELL	51	99¢	$50	0x8855c7…
06-10 01:24:37	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xc54e93…
06-09 19:23:25	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x8a4cb2…
06-09 16:57:55	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	25	98¢	$25	0x07646c…
06-09 16:30:48	Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x0cb45c…
06-09 15:54:25	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xf59b95…
06-09 12:03:37	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xa729fd…
06-09 09:05:49	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xc4e35e…
06-08 22:13:21	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xec0473…
06-08 18:49:09	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	25	98¢	$25	0x3fd0f5…
06-08 17:06:33	Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?	No	BUY	25	98¢	$25	0xeb566c…
06-08 16:40:34	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	25	98¢	$25	0x657443…
06-08 16:40:24	Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?	No	BUY	25	98¢	$25	0xd3b282…
06-08 16:38:37	Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x3f5fae…
06-08 16:31:51	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x0b13cd…
06-04 11:20:57	Bill Clinton divorce by June 30?	No	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0xe5f4ea…
06-02 07:45:09	Bill Clinton divorce by June 30?	No	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x8e0ca9…
06-01 22:56:25	Bill Clinton divorce by June 30?	No	SELL	17	99¢	$16	0xdadbcb…
06-01 16:26:57	Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x00dc22…
06-01 12:10:15	Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?	No	SELL	26	98¢	$25	0x359078…
05-30 09:55:06	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	63	98¢	$62	0x8a4a55…
05-30 09:34:07	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	2	98¢	$1	0x7130d3…
05-30 09:11:26	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x5c40aa…
05-30 02:17:07	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	26	98¢	$25	0x19ebe6…
05-29 20:44:16	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0xa2e653…
05-29 20:44:16	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x375576…
05-29 11:42:33	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	76	99¢	$75	0x70c6da…
05-29 02:41:34	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0x60815c…
05-28 20:36:52	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0x3f3a4b…
05-28 19:26:19	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x5791fb…
05-28 06:18:04	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0x97b3ee…
05-28 03:15:34	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xb59d69…
05-28 02:26:29	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0xb8031e…
05-27 19:11:38	Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0xe32f8b…
05-27 15:26:21	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	51	99¢	$50	0xb94a61…
05-27 14:43:20	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0x6d69b8…
05-27 07:58:40	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0xef0753…
05-27 05:34:42	Iran leadership change by May 31?	No	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0x3e8b3e…
05-27 05:34:42	Iran leadership change by May 31?	No	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0x1d5db3…
05-27 03:37:31	Lai Ching-te impeached by June 30?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x848688…
05-26 23:02:00	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0x75bb9c…
05-26 23:02:00	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x6cded4…
05-26 19:15:55	GTA VI released before June 2026?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x995e57…
05-26 16:02:36	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x7c5033…
05-26 00:16:07	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0x517d5f…
05-25 23:24:40	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xc63532…
05-25 22:19:57	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x396913…
05-25 19:30:13	Iran leadership change by May 31?	No	SELL	25	98¢	$25	0xf992a1…
05-25 19:19:10	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$19	0x37a1a0…
05-25 18:42:01	Iran leadership change by May 31?	No	SELL	20	98¢	$19	0xdad478…
05-25 17:28:32	Iran leadership change by May 31?	No	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x9a9a80…
05-25 17:28:32	Iran leadership change by May 31?	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0x96f05a…
05-25 17:17:31	Iran leadership change by May 31?	No	SELL	20	98¢	$19	0xb5c5a6…
05-25 17:14:34	Iran leadership change by May 31?	No	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0x1e3398…
05-25 17:09:38	Iran leadership change by May 31?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xbba5e0…
05-25 16:49:31	Iran leadership change by May 31?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xca8de6…
05-25 16:15:01	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x9ffb01…
05-25 16:13:21	Iran leadership change by May 31?	No	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0x8c25b0…
05-25 15:19:25	Iran leadership change by May 31?	No	SELL	26	98¢	$25	0x0e7a2d…
05-25 13:50:15	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$19	0x4da93a…
05-25 13:48:18	Will Felix Auger Aliassime win the 2026 Men's US Open?	No	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x4c3303…
05-25 13:47:08	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$19	0xbb4e32…
05-25 12:54:57	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$19	0xac52e2…
05-25 12:44:47	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x45ca36…
05-25 12:24:58	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xef2d6d…
05-25 12:08:49	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc6c721…
05-25 12:06:06	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xd06299…
05-25 11:47:23	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0xc98cb8…
05-25 11:30:12	Iran leadership change by May 31?	No	BUY	18	98¢	$17	0x886f22…
05-25 11:30:12	Iran leadership change by May 31?	No	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x82e83f…
05-25 11:26:42	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xe7866c…
05-25 11:16:29	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0xde7b0b…
05-25 11:08:46	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x7488f7…
05-25 10:04:27	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x0aedc0…
05-25 10:02:17	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	13	98¢	$13	0xf54151…
05-25 09:52:08	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0xc29b1c…
05-25 09:23:23	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xd15f6d…
05-25 09:14:41	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x966da7…
05-25 09:14:05	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xbbfa11…
05-25 09:13:21	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0x35ae41…
05-25 09:12:25	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xae76eb…
05-25 08:46:45	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0x8acb2e…
05-25 08:44:55	Iran leadership change by May 31?	No	SELL	26	98¢	$25	0x2d5fca…
05-25 08:17:47	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	25	98¢	$25	0x1721bd…
05-25 07:32:29	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	SELL	25	98¢	$25	0x57fee5…
05-25 07:03:25	Iran leadership change by May 31?	No	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0xa4fa72…
05-25 06:50:08	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0x1c316e…
05-25 03:58:07	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x698025…