Authorized-Hare — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$49

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

517

lifetime

Volume

$12.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$25

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-08

last 07-14 20:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

65% — —

Crypto

25% — —

Politics

10% 100% +$49

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

26 active days in 12wk • peak 224 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Russia enter Orikhiv by July 31?	23	$1.3K	390	1,182	-792	open	—	06-11 16:48
Will Russia enter Shevchenko by June 30?	12	$1.1K	623	623	+0	open	—	07-01 01:23
Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by December 31, 2026?	8	$965	0	1,150	-1,150	open	—	06-12 00:05
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	6	$959	1,004	0	+1,004	No	+$45	05-10 17:39
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by May 31?	3	$705	402	402	+0	open	—	05-10 00:25
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	12	$593	1,033	805	+228	open	—	06-01 11:02
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30?	9	$504	316	316	+0	open	—	06-09 21:24
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	4	$455	316	316	+0	open	—	06-01 19:52
will russia enter novooleksandrivka by june 30 2026	30	$453	502	512	-10	open	—	06-11 17:04
Will Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	3	$390	218	218	+0	open	—	05-12 08:42
Will Russia enter Svitle by May 31?	4	$354	191	191	+0	open	—	05-20 11:18
will rabby launch a token by december 31 2027	7	$308	250	250	+0	open	—	06-11 18:41
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	6	$299	278	131	+147	open	—	06-02 09:09
will city protocol launch a token by december 31 2026	7	$211	210	210	+0	open	—	06-11 03:10
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	2	$196	200	0	+200	No	+$4	05-08 15:58
btc updown 5m 1784061600	4	$175	460	0	+460	open	—	07-14 20:40
Will Russia enter Khatnie by May 31, 2026?	3	$152	174	0	+174	open	—	05-28 10:42
dota2 glyph xctn 2026 06 04 game2	4	$144	264	0	+264	open	—	06-04 13:35
will russia capture all of rodynske again by july 31	4	$127	94	94	+0	open	—	06-09 15:30
btc updown 5m 1781196000	2	$125	417	0	+417	open	—	06-11 16:42
btc updown 5m 1781020500	2	$125	271	0	+271	open	—	06-09 15:56
Will Russia enter Shevchenko by May 31?	4	$120	109	19	+90	open	—	05-28 10:44
btc updown 5m 1781017500	4	$111	386	50	+336	open	—	06-09 15:08
will russia capture dorozhnie by june 30 2026	7	$111	438	438	+0	open	—	06-09 16:03
btc updown 5m 1782254100	3	$110	109	109	+0	open	—	06-23 22:39
dota2 flc aur1 2026 06 05	9	$104	439	0	+439	open	—	06-05 17:45
btc updown 5m 1781045400	1	$100	345	0	+345	open	—	06-09 22:50
btc updown 5m 1781196600	1	$100	278	0	+278	open	—	06-11 16:50
btc updown 5m 1781045700	1	$100	370	0	+370	open	—	06-09 22:57
btc updown 5m 1781017800	1	$100	294	0	+294	open	—	06-09 15:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-14 20:40:55	btc updown 5m 1784061600	Down	BUY	61	41¢	$25	0x13e8a4…
07-14 20:40:53	btc updown 5m 1784061600	Down	BUY	61	41¢	$25	0x573616…
07-14 20:40:52	btc updown 5m 1784061600	Down	BUY	68	37¢	$25	0x585863…
07-14 20:40:52	btc updown 5m 1784061600	Down	BUY	270	37¢	$100	0x11167a…
07-14 20:32:14	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	9¢	$1	0xb41fbe…
07-14 12:22:59	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x23225a…
07-01 01:23:37	Will Russia enter Shevchenko by June 30?	No	SELL	485	100¢	$484	0xeb3da9…
06-30 13:21:13	btc updown 5m 1782825600	Down	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0xf78396…
06-30 13:21:02	btc updown 5m 1782825600	Down	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x6ae255…
06-30 13:20:49	btc updown 5m 1782825600	Down	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x306cb1…
06-30 13:20:41	btc updown 5m 1782825600	Down	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x63e54e…
06-30 13:17:37	btc updown 5m 1782825300	Down	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0xba97f3…
06-30 13:16:46	btc updown 5m 1782825300	Down	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x65539b…
06-30 00:42:59	btc updown 5m 1782780000	Up	BUY	59	42¢	$25	0x8f7884…
06-30 00:26:35	btc updown 5m 1782779100	Up	BUY	67	36¢	$24	0xbe2f76…
06-30 00:26:20	btc updown 5m 1782779100	Up	BUY	60	42¢	$25	0x11e5bf…
06-30 00:23:34	btc updown 5m 1782778800	Up	BUY	43	11¢	$5	0x624ecf…
06-30 00:22:49	btc updown 5m 1782778800	Up	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x60d8a3…
06-30 00:20:41	btc updown 5m 1782778800	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xca20b3…
06-28 13:35:47	btc updown 5m 1782653700	Up	BUY	74	34¢	$25	0x277bfc…
06-28 13:32:16	btc updown 5m 1782653400	Down	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0xb5715c…
06-23 22:42:22	Will Russia enter Shevchenko by June 30?	No	BUY	185	91¢	$168	0x040ff4…
06-23 22:39:13	btc updown 5m 1782254100	Up	SELL	109	73¢	$80	0x7fe8a9…
06-23 22:37:53	btc updown 5m 1782254100	Up	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x49bfbe…
06-23 22:36:29	btc updown 5m 1782254100	Up	BUY	76	33¢	$25	0xae6891…
06-23 22:28:13	btc updown 5m 1782253500	Up	SELL	68	74¢	$50	0x69e251…
06-23 22:26:43	btc updown 5m 1782253500	Up	BUY	68	37¢	$25	0xe6718e…
06-23 01:47:41	btc updown 5m 1782179100	Up	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x447979…
06-23 01:47:13	btc updown 5m 1782179100	Up	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x101d7c…
06-23 01:46:49	btc updown 5m 1782179100	Up	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0xbf61cc…
06-19 19:32:02	will spark launch a token by december 31 2027	No	SELL	22	60¢	$13	0x1ca35a…
06-19 15:48:37	will bulk launch a token by june 30 2027	No	SELL	20	34¢	$7	0x3c6db4…
06-19 15:31:58	will bulk launch a token by june 30 2027	No	SELL	20	34¢	$7	0xe583f5…
06-19 13:13:23	dota2 vpp z10 2026 06 19 game1	Zero Tenacity	BUY	60	62¢	$37	0xf7473e…
06-19 10:02:25	will prjx launch a token by december 31 2027	No	SELL	22	53¢	$12	0x19b149…
06-19 09:23:07	will prjx launch a token by december 31 2027	No	BUY	22	64¢	$14	0x929f02…
06-18 20:36:37	Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	23	61¢	$14	0x46f839…
06-18 18:45:59	Will Russia enter Shevchenko by June 30?	No	SELL	21	85¢	$18	0x5dfc86…
06-18 15:31:13	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	No	SELL	7	52¢	$4	0x64c84e…
06-18 15:23:20	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	No	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x8126e5…
06-18 14:12:55	Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	23	59¢	$14	0x383368…
06-18 10:35:58	will bulk launch a token by june 30 2027	No	BUY	8	32¢	$2	0xe9d785…
06-18 10:35:58	will bulk launch a token by june 30 2027	No	BUY	12	32¢	$4	0x781fba…
06-17 13:01:17	Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	59¢	$3	0x947734…
06-17 12:47:26	Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	17	61¢	$10	0x9a5094…
06-17 01:00:44	Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	22	60¢	$13	0xf49cd2…
06-16 22:53:53	Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	23	57¢	$13	0x42dc7d…
06-16 19:49:52	Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	23	56¢	$13	0x940706…
06-16 14:03:19	will exponent launch a token by december 31 2027	No	SELL	22	43¢	$9	0xd8cf95…
06-16 13:58:35	will spark launch a token by december 31 2027	No	BUY	22	59¢	$13	0xfb6bb8…
06-16 13:12:52	will bulk launch a token by june 30 2027	No	BUY	0	32¢	$0	0x65de24…
06-16 10:25:09	btc updown 5m 1781605500	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xa1e05a…
06-16 09:44:55	will bulk launch a token by june 30 2027	No	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0x480c73…
06-16 08:02:34	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	No	SELL	100	22¢	$22	0x5fbcd4…
06-16 07:56:28	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	No	SELL	20	45¢	$9	0xd98ea3…
06-16 07:53:49	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	No	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0x939796…
06-16 07:28:54	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	No	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0xa0935e…
06-16 07:28:52	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	No	BUY	1	45¢	$0	0x7dc122…
06-16 05:05:30	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	No	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x61301b…
06-16 03:58:57	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	No	BUY	100	22¢	$22	0x7fe060…
06-16 01:47:07	will exponent launch a token by december 31 2027	No	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xe95e46…
06-16 01:47:04	will exponent launch a token by december 31 2027	No	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0x7a8915…
06-15 20:53:18	Will Russia enter Shevchenko by June 30?	No	BUY	21	82¢	$17	0xebb2d6…
06-12 01:02:24	Will Russia enter Shevchenko by June 30?	No	BUY	32	88¢	$28	0x1fc9f7…
06-12 01:01:27	Will Russia enter Shevchenko by June 30?	No	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0x9ada73…
06-12 00:50:39	btc updown 5m 1781225400	Up	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x54f10e…
06-12 00:50:34	btc updown 5m 1781225400	Up	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x828c9b…
06-12 00:49:25	btc updown 5m 1781225100	Down	SELL	24	6¢	$1	0x0ca43f…
06-12 00:45:30	btc updown 5m 1781225100	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x797f03…
06-12 00:45:28	btc updown 5m 1781225100	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xa7cd08…
06-12 00:40:12	btc updown 5m 1781224800	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xba9580…
06-12 00:31:28	btc updown 5m 1781224200	Up	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xddefd0…
06-12 00:31:28	btc updown 5m 1781224200	Up	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x6a280a…
06-12 00:26:09	btc updown 5m 1781223900	Down	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x7d57c1…
06-12 00:25:39	btc updown 5m 1781223900	Down	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x7e93bb…
06-12 00:20:52	btc updown 5m 1781223600	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xc17c06…
06-12 00:20:33	btc updown 5m 1781223600	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x550900…
06-12 00:18:43	btc updown 5m 1781223300	Up	SELL	105	5¢	$5	0x6b3b66…
06-12 00:17:19	btc updown 5m 1781223300	Up	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0xcb55ee…
06-12 00:16:18	btc updown 5m 1781223300	Up	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x45a48e…
06-12 00:12:06	btc updown 5m 1781223000	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x69acca…
06-12 00:05:10	Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	35	80¢	$28	0x7a5cba…
06-11 18:43:51	Will Russia enter Shevchenko by June 30?	No	BUY	50	86¢	$43	0xd9f2b3…
06-11 18:41:27	will rabby launch a token by december 31 2027	No	SELL	126	58¢	$73	0x04aeb4…
06-11 18:25:25	will rabby launch a token by december 31 2027	No	SELL	88	59¢	$52	0x5391a7…
06-11 17:46:12	Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	88	77¢	$68	0xc705dd…
06-11 17:13:49	Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	114	82¢	$93	0xc4da3c…
06-11 17:06:54	Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	44	83¢	$37	0x3388d6…
06-11 17:04:21	will russia enter novooleksandrivka by june 30 2026	No	SELL	25	34¢	$9	0xae3e44…
06-11 16:50:42	btc updown 5m 1781196600	Up	BUY	278	36¢	$100	0xba899b…
06-11 16:48:19	Will Russia enter Orikhiv by July 31?	No	SELL	116	83¢	$95	0x31f421…
06-11 16:46:55	will russia enter novooleksandrivka by june 30 2026	No	SELL	42	30¢	$13	0xfecdff…
06-11 16:42:30	btc updown 5m 1781196000	Up	BUY	125	20¢	$25	0x785042…
06-11 16:40:45	btc updown 5m 1781196000	Up	BUY	292	34¢	$100	0x5e1234…
06-11 16:36:48	btc updown 5m 1781195700	Down	BUY	81	24¢	$19	0x6647e3…
06-11 14:08:46	will russia enter novooleksandrivka by june 30 2026	No	SELL	22	39¢	$9	0xb01037…
06-11 14:08:40	will russia enter novooleksandrivka by june 30 2026	No	SELL	21	44¢	$9	0x352924…
06-11 13:55:54	will russia enter novooleksandrivka by june 30 2026	No	SELL	3	40¢	$1	0x17a8e5…
06-11 12:52:43	will russia enter novooleksandrivka by june 30 2026	No	SELL	36	29¢	$10	0xc555d3…
06-11 12:40:43	will russia enter novooleksandrivka by june 30 2026	No	SELL	35	30¢	$11	0x0b6ae5…