Imaginative-Lifetime — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$41

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

18.3%

Resolved

141

Trades

446

lifetime

Volume

$5.92K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-27

last 10-25 09:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 80 days

Categories

Sports

60% 21% -$29

Politics

21% 58% -$9

Other

11% 54% -$7

Crypto

8% 96% +$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (16) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
UFC Fight Night: Mayra Bueno Silva vs. Michelle Montague (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)	2	$1.4K	3,254	3,254	+0	Michelle Montague	+$0	04-25 04:51
Thunder vs. Suns: O/U 214.5	2	$1.3K	1,361	1,361	+0	Over	-$27	04-25 11:04
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	10	$88	44	44	+0	open	—	10-03 10:33
Will Encore Medical not IPO before June 2026?	2	$78	111	111	+0	Yes	+$0	04-17 14:52
Parma Calcio 1913 vs. Pisa SC: O/U 1.5	2	$77	59	59	+1	Under	-$1	04-25 03:15
will the super mario galaxy movie opening weekend box office be greater than 200m	2	$64	46	46	+0	No	-$6	03-17 16:32
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	8	$54	27	27	+0	No	$0	03-06 22:52
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	8	$52	27	27	-0	open	—	08-18 12:07
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	5	$52	27	27	+0	open	—	10-01 14:53
Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?	6	$52	26	26	+0	No	$0	03-10 13:19
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	6	$52	26	26	+0	open	—	09-21 01:45
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	6	$50	25	25	+0	open	—	09-20 12:52
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	6	$48	24	24	+0	open	—	10-02 21:25
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	6	$46	42	42	+0	Yes	+$0	06-27 22:43
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?	6	$46	24	24	+0	open	—	10-03 13:13
Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	6	$44	22	22	+0	No	$0	03-05 10:31
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	7	$42	21	21	+0	open	—	10-03 19:32
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	6	$42	21	21	+0	open	—	08-25 17:57
Will the Los Angeles Kings win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	6	$40	20	20	+0	No	$0	04-02 15:39
Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	6	$38	19	19	+0	No	+$0	03-08 22:44
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	6	$38	19	19	+0	open	—	08-17 18:37
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	4	$38	19	19	+0	open	—	09-19 13:15
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	4	$36	19	19	+0	No	+$0	09-20 10:42
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?	4	$32	17	17	+0	open	—	08-25 12:26
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	4	$32	16	16	+0	No	$0	02-27 11:09
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	4	$32	16	16	+0	No	$0	08-17 14:19
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	4	$30	15	15	+0	open	—	09-05 05:42
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	4	$30	15	15	+0	open	—	08-25 21:35
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	3	$29	26	14	+12	Yes	-$9	02-15 23:59
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	4	$28	25	25	+0	Yes	+$0	09-20 09:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 09:57:54	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	SELL	11	85¢	$10	0x892f20…
10-07 01:52:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x4abcef…
10-04 04:10:31	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x16b0e0…
10-04 03:21:37	Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x33e0d1…
10-04 03:10:19	Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x766a29…
10-04 00:54:37	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	96¢	$8	0x55bc8e…
10-03 21:43:50	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	96¢	$8	0xfaa6d9…
10-03 20:55:34	Will Pete Hegseth be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x4736b8…
10-03 20:44:40	Will Pete Hegseth be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe1625f…
10-03 19:32:07	Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x7d7667…
10-03 16:21:41	Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x618680…
10-03 13:13:56	Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x1bf26a…
10-03 13:02:38	Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x48d3ad…
10-03 10:33:56	Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x06056c…
10-03 10:22:45	Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x51c4c1…
10-03 09:16:11	Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x00feb6…
10-03 09:04:32	Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xa5533d…
10-03 06:28:33	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	7	91¢	$6	0xe1fa36…
10-02 22:34:57	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	7	91¢	$6	0x5865a5…
10-02 21:25:06	Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xef0b33…
10-02 21:14:14	Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x439551…
10-02 17:18:30	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x7a1f40…
10-02 14:07:57	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x5962b8…
10-02 13:05:02	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0xb7721f…
10-02 09:54:18	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x3ba948…
10-02 07:15:59	Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x77d084…
10-02 07:04:41	Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc98b4c…
10-02 04:03:15	Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x4315fd…
10-02 03:51:39	Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xd6224f…
10-02 03:31:06	Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x23ec70…
10-01 16:42:47	Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xb7e9b9…
10-01 14:53:44	Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	9	97¢	$9	0xbf63a9…
10-01 11:43:12	Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0xf8e0a3…
10-01 08:16:38	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	7	97¢	$7	0x62314b…
09-21 10:31:17	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	7	96¢	$7	0x3840ce…
09-21 01:45:50	Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0x43b747…
09-20 22:35:17	Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x321885…
09-20 20:04:46	Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x9ba7ad…
09-20 19:54:11	Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x346405…
09-20 18:34:40	Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	6	88¢	$5	0x5f14c1…
09-20 15:24:04	Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x227deb…
09-20 12:52:33	Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xc0f0ed…
09-20 12:36:42	Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x16e04a…
09-20 11:08:21	Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x5b8468…
09-20 10:52:43	Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x50c3e9…
09-20 10:42:21	Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x8efdc7…
09-20 10:11:07	Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xcc3470…
09-20 09:25:51	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	9	56¢	$5	0x0ea114…
09-19 14:17:27	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x6bf710…
09-19 13:15:36	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x4213c8…
09-19 10:05:26	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x2bc6e4…
09-19 10:04:38	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	9	98¢	$9	0x13ea6b…
09-19 06:54:13	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0x311da0…
09-19 06:02:15	Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x2ba4b4…
09-19 05:51:46	Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x85d07f…
09-19 03:09:52	Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x8a3fd5…
09-19 00:58:58	Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0xb077e0…
09-18 21:45:21	Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x14f483…
09-18 18:44:51	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	16	57¢	$9	0xd8ae96…
09-18 15:35:45	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	16	56¢	$9	0xb75321…
09-05 05:42:33	Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x5bdc01…
09-05 05:26:49	Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9c2282…
09-05 04:13:34	Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x54dd16…
09-05 04:02:43	Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x83cc72…
09-05 02:38:33	Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0xc1f4d8…
09-03 09:34:58	Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xe5ad1e…
09-02 06:02:27	Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	10	94¢	$9	0x71b998…
08-26 01:44:48	Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x6f1efd…
08-25 21:35:45	Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x3a1808…
08-25 21:04:00	Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3bf7d5…
08-25 17:57:12	Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x59fa26…
08-25 17:40:42	Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x5ab48d…
08-25 16:26:22	Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	17	97¢	$17	0x92555f…
08-25 13:15:45	Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x4d4442…
08-25 12:26:31	Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0xd1c712…
08-25 09:15:15	Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0xd875de…
08-25 08:13:22	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xd52b43…
08-25 07:55:03	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfbadf9…
08-25 02:29:18	Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x205c9c…
08-19 07:17:24	Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x4b5152…
08-18 21:51:46	Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0xbe9c53…
08-18 18:41:27	Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x04e6ba…
08-18 17:16:06	Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xc76b9d…
08-18 17:05:33	Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x79cc6e…
08-18 15:32:43	Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x34fda9…
08-18 12:21:46	Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x226354…
08-18 12:07:18	Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	7	95¢	$7	0x436fb5…
08-18 08:56:49	Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	7	95¢	$7	0xd61138…
08-18 01:24:06	Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x70b772…
08-18 01:13:13	Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xbc46a7…
08-17 19:19:34	Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xec2b7b…
08-17 18:58:10	Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x8fc128…
08-17 18:37:01	Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xe44763…
08-17 18:10:45	Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xd81a47…
08-17 17:49:40	Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xce927d…
08-17 17:28:27	Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3cdbe8…
08-17 14:19:09	Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xcc2359…
08-17 14:08:19	Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7a4942…
08-17 00:02:24	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	7	88¢	$6	0x24e161…
08-14 22:48:21	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	7	88¢	$6	0xc46a25…