Realized P&L (90d)
+$119
Unrealized P&L
+$2.15K
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved (90d)
1
Trades (90d)
10
10 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$21.8K
$21.8K lifetime
Avg / trade
$2.18K
Open exposure
$18.0K
7 positions
First seen
2026-05-05
last 05-10 20:14
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
62% 100% +$119
Other
27%
Crypto
10%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
5 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Trump visit China by May 15? Yes -7,408 $-6,667 92¢ $-6815 $-148 05-10 20:14
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15? No -3,931 $-3,870 99¢ $-3898 $-28 05-10 19:28
Iran closes its airspace by May 15? No +3,000 $2,190 89¢ $2.7K +$480 05-05 18:36
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026? No +5,034 $1,311 30¢ $1.5K +$215 05-10 19:38
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? No +2,050 $882 61¢ $1.3K +$369 05-08 21:46
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? Yes -5,000 $-2,100 20¢ $-975 +$1,125 05-07 15:34
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026? No +909 $764 99¢ $903 +$140 05-07 16:37