Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4.56K

Unrealized P&L

+$65

Hit rate

85.0%

Resolved

846

Trades

10,901

lifetime

Volume

$2.83M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$260

Open exposure

$245

6 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 10-29 03:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 205 days

Categories

Crypto

59% 67% +$2,386

Politics

19% 73% +$1,473

Other

17% 64% +$2,027

Sports

5% 48% -$1,339

Tech

0% 36% -$4

Pop-Culture

0% 50% +$15

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 96 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+125	$109	99¢	$124	+$15	10-27 12:55
Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026?	Yes	+118	$84	100¢	$117	+$34	10-25 17:15
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	+100	$23	3¢	$3	-$20	09-13 21:40
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	No	+0	-$16	99¢	$0	+$16	08-31 22:35
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	+0	-$9	97¢	$0	+$9	10-07 05:23
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	+0	-$11	96¢	$0	+$11	10-21 13:38

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will andr ventura win the 2026 portugal presidential election	435	$131.3K	67,800	69,100	-1,300	No	+$223	02-08 01:42
will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	374	$66.5K	38,936	36,704	+2,232	No	+$264	03-31 01:03
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	223	$65.4K	36,274	32,881	+3,392	No	+$442	03-12 20:03
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	237	$57.9K	33,788	32,928	+859	No	+$185	05-31 01:54
russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	103	$56.7K	30,483	27,965	+2,519	No	+$203	01-29 20:34
will bitcoin reach 85k in february 2026	117	$44.3K	23,509	22,369	+1,140	No	+$156	02-23 15:14
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	189	$41.2K	23,455	21,015	+2,440	No	+$142	04-27 01:01
will bitcoin reach 90k in march 2026	142	$40.8K	21,891	20,872	+1,018	No	+$163	03-17 23:17
will bitcoin dip to 75k in january 2026	247	$36.2K	19,126	18,139	+987	No	+$159	02-01 03:21
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	55	$35.4K	18,472	18,272	+200	Yes	+$101	02-28 23:22
fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	65	$34.5K	18,733	17,133	+1,600	No	+$105	01-21 20:39
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	98	$31.9K	17,647	16,271	+1,376	No	+$282	05-28 02:05
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	141	$31.8K	16,916	16,916	+0	No	+$71	09-04 17:59
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	73	$30.9K	16,477	15,762	+715	No	+$149	05-28 16:20
will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in july 2026	61	$30.8K	16,514	16,514	+0	No	+$16	07-27 12:20
will bitcoin dip to 65k in march 2026	78	$30.4K	19,816	19,066	+751	Yes	-$708	03-27 14:13
will the iranian regime fall by january 31	33	$29.6K	15,843	14,500	+1,343	No	+$81	01-30 00:24
will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	212	$28.9K	17,037	15,604	+1,432	No	+$351	03-27 17:07
will bitcoin dip to 50k in february 2026 273 489 988	199	$28.2K	14,245	14,917	-672	No	+$55	02-24 19:36
will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	75	$27.7K	14,533	14,533	+0	No	+$86	07-20 23:30
will bitcoin reach 75k in june 2026	83	$27.5K	14,915	14,915	+0	No	+$109	06-22 19:03
will bitcoin dip to 50k in march 2026	96	$27.4K	14,558	13,832	+725	No	+$183	03-24 16:47
will bitcoin reach 100k in february 2026	95	$27.3K	15,063	13,103	+1,960	No	+$114	02-19 22:03
will ethereum dip to 1800 in march 2026	59	$26.9K	15,132	14,412	+720	No	-$25	03-31 16:59
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	26	$24.3K	13,025	13,025	-0	No	+$153	07-06 18:46
will bitcoin dip to 55k in july 2026 381	93	$24.2K	12,425	12,425	+0	No	+$39	07-30 06:15
will bitcoin dip to 60000 in february 694	43	$24.0K	13,278	11,433	+1,845	No	+$150	02-28 21:38
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	82	$24.0K	13,718	13,393	+325	No	+$190	04-30 17:08
will bitcoin reach 80k in march 2026	141	$23.9K	15,038	13,717	+1,321	No	+$303	03-24 02:05
will bitcoin reach 95k in february 2026	95	$23.1K	12,413	11,140	+1,273	No	+$73	02-19 22:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 03:46:40	Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October?	No	SELL	1,664	100¢	$1,655	0x1e5bde…
10-29 03:25:35	Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	79¢	$16	0xf333f6…
10-29 03:12:22	Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x6d9955…
10-29 02:52:58	Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x17f561…
10-28 21:21:44	Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	84¢	$17	0x7d67ca…
10-28 20:12:46	Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	99¢	$39	0x755d0d…
10-28 08:53:40	Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October?	No	BUY	1,526	98¢	$1,502	0x71b804…
10-28 04:37:55	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	SELL	80	95¢	$76	0xda428d…
10-28 01:10:15	Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	89¢	$11	0x4662ce…
10-27 20:40:47	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	BUY	80	94¢	$76	0x7d4346…
10-27 18:27:50	Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	89¢	$3	0xdb0102…
10-27 16:48:18	Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	35¢	$2	0x070e61…
10-27 16:44:36	Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	35¢	$5	0xb893fb…
10-27 16:23:51	Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	60	30¢	$18	0x2fe719…
10-27 12:55:36	Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	125	96¢	$120	0xe91c57…
10-27 07:50:15	Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	55	79¢	$43	0x75201a…
10-27 01:27:11	Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in October?	No	SELL	1,431	99¢	$1,414	0x5ad3de…
10-26 19:28:00	Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in October?	No	SELL	45	99¢	$44	0xd76f1e…
10-26 16:42:00	Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in October?	No	SELL	50	99¢	$49	0x160d15…
10-26 16:04:05	Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	1,526	99¢	$1,506	0x106281…
10-25 17:15:15	Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	118	86¢	$101	0xc056af…
10-25 07:59:24	Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	95¢	$95	0xfa5cd5…
10-24 22:30:35	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-25?	No	BUY	200	41¢	$82	0xa38b16…
10-24 16:08:26	Predict.fun FDV above $2.5B one day after launch?	No	SELL	50	84¢	$42	0x5700ab…
10-23 23:32:02	Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	1,526	98¢	$1,503	0x9a786e…
10-23 23:28:14	Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October?	No	BUY	46	97¢	$45	0xe3e32a…
10-23 23:27:57	Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October?	No	BUY	47	97¢	$46	0x6fac79…
10-23 23:24:18	Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October?	No	BUY	47	97¢	$46	0xf7f167…
10-23 19:14:05	Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in October?	No	BUY	1,185	98¢	$1,165	0xbab088…
10-23 07:16:59	Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in October?	No	BUY	300	98¢	$295	0x2ea53c…
10-23 06:50:18	Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in October?	No	BUY	36	98¢	$35	0xda6373…
10-23 03:54:27	Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in October?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x6f6746…
10-23 03:50:54	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in October?	No	SELL	1,323	96¢	$1,274	0x111ca0…
10-23 03:45:06	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in October?	No	SELL	28	96¢	$27	0xd4746e…
10-23 01:48:08	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in October?	No	SELL	216	96¢	$208	0xba3900…
10-22 17:58:50	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in October?	No	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0xd52db8…
10-22 17:56:41	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in October?	No	BUY	1,450	96¢	$1,388	0x59569e…
10-22 17:47:39	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in October?	No	BUY	111	96¢	$106	0xbd8208…
10-22 09:18:51	Predict.fun FDV above $2.5B one day after launch?	No	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x1524a4…
10-22 08:21:50	Predict.fun FDV above $2.5B one day after launch?	No	BUY	44	86¢	$38	0x0ea0f3…
10-21 23:18:24	Predict.fun FDV above $2.5B one day after launch?	No	SELL	10	88¢	$9	0xf2a3b3…
10-21 23:18:24	Predict.fun FDV above $2.5B one day after launch?	No	SELL	20	88¢	$17	0x92a3af…
10-21 23:09:14	Predict.fun FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	4	84¢	$4	0x17799b…
10-21 20:56:56	Predict.fun FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	SELL	10	90¢	$9	0xe1bb1a…
10-21 20:46:45	Predict.fun FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	SELL	20	90¢	$18	0x9de094…
10-21 19:28:41	predictfun fdv above 3b one day after launch	No	BUY	30	89¢	$27	0x4e3633…
10-21 19:14:24	Will Predict.fun launch a token by March 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	59	94¢	$56	0x99e692…
10-21 18:42:33	predictfun fdv above 2pt5b one day after launch	No	BUY	30	90¢	$27	0xe51d90…
10-21 18:34:59	Will Predict.fun launch a token by March 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	41	94¢	$38	0x5fdeeb…
10-21 18:34:08	Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	120	22¢	$26	0x083aee…
10-21 17:30:54	Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	50	73¢	$36	0xbbed96…
10-21 17:05:39	Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	120	82¢	$98	0x9fb683…
10-21 14:54:27	Will Predict.fun launch a token by March 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	32	95¢	$30	0x2f55c1…
10-21 13:38:36	Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	421	95¢	$401	0xaabd14…
10-21 12:52:51	Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	210	95¢	$200	0xd7f01c…
10-21 12:42:00	Will Predict.fun launch a token by March 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0x354848…
10-21 12:16:57	Will Predict.fun launch a token by March 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	15	95¢	$14	0x378b9e…
10-21 11:54:51	Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	8	95¢	$8	0x43982f…
10-21 11:31:21	Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	7	95¢	$7	0x68431e…
10-21 10:38:03	Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	943	95¢	$897	0x647a3b…
10-21 10:27:53	Will Predict.fun launch a token by March 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	19	95¢	$18	0x4d1a49…
10-21 00:26:17	Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	112	71¢	$80	0xf85963…
10-20 19:00:42	Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-10-21?	No	BUY	125	91¢	$114	0x16fdec…
10-20 18:35:51	Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	1,590	94¢	$1,501	0x6e0bf4…
10-20 14:08:57	Will Predict.fun launch a token by March 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	24	95¢	$23	0x793c65…
10-20 06:00:32	Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	12	15¢	$2	0xb17abd…
10-20 05:33:50	Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xff8252…
10-20 05:33:45	Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	82	15¢	$12	0xb70286…
10-20 05:33:45	Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x48ea0d…
10-20 05:07:51	Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	6	15¢	$1	0x6da99f…
10-20 01:56:39	Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	71¢	$6	0xf4f8ca…
10-19 22:58:38	Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	1,149	94¢	$1,077	0x20f8de…
10-19 17:19:26	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?	No	BUY	120	79¢	$95	0xcaa094…
10-19 14:35:32	Will Manchester City FC vs. AEK end in a draw?	No	BUY	150	92¢	$138	0xd37f76…
10-18 23:49:20	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in October?	No	SELL	1,534	99¢	$1,519	0x844c9a…
10-18 10:09:18	Will Real Madrid CF vs. Sevilla FC end in a draw?	No	BUY	150	86¢	$129	0x8e6ba5…
10-18 09:44:36	Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in October?	No	SELL	200	96¢	$193	0x802b92…
10-18 09:15:14	Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	79¢	$40	0xf64b7e…
10-18 03:52:41	Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	78¢	$39	0xc0b6e9…
10-17 16:08:41	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in October?	No	BUY	1,534	98¢	$1,509	0x785d09…
10-17 03:38:08	Will Predict.fun launch a token by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0xb9df37…
10-16 17:20:20	Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0x91532a…
10-16 17:06:33	Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in October?	No	BUY	200	96¢	$192	0x9e5f1b…
10-16 14:03:45	Will Manchester City FC vs. Ipswich Town FC end in a draw?	No	BUY	105	87¢	$91	0xd0f3d3…
10-16 09:22:31	Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	88¢	$88	0xf959df…
10-16 06:35:19	Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-10-17?	No	BUY	46	86¢	$39	0xe29272…
10-16 06:29:52	Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-10-17?	No	BUY	7	86¢	$6	0x084284…
10-16 04:02:24	Will Bitcoin reach $97,500 in October?	No	SELL	1,567	98¢	$1,528	0x8db2d9…
10-16 04:01:40	Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-10-17?	No	BUY	14	86¢	$12	0x71ba10…
10-16 00:39:46	Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-10-17?	No	BUY	40	86¢	$34	0xd81aee…
10-15 21:26:59	Will Bitcoin reach $97,500 in October?	No	BUY	1,567	97¢	$1,515	0xf04e9f…
10-15 17:27:49	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in October?	No	SELL	861	98¢	$849	0x84b896…
10-15 16:51:16	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in October?	No	SELL	679	99¢	$668	0xcea9a0…
10-15 02:28:59	will bitcoin reach 97pt5k in october 2026	No	SELL	73	98¢	$72	0x30d8c0…
10-15 02:28:56	will bitcoin reach 97pt5k in october 2026	No	SELL	118	98¢	$115	0x9cc4da…
10-14 17:51:21	will bitcoin dip to 62pt5k in october 2026	No	BUY	1,540	98¢	$1,509	0xfa6279…
10-14 17:35:40	will bitcoin reach 97pt5k in october 2026	No	BUY	191	97¢	$185	0x1beb87…
10-14 01:34:34	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	1,556	97¢	$1,503	0x0096dd…
10-13 22:16:22	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xae0932…
10-13 21:59:15	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	1,556	96¢	$1,495	0x9450c5…