Realized P&L
+$372
Unrealized P&L
+$216
Hit rate
71.0%
Resolved
31
Trades
160
lifetime
Volume
$31.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$196
Open exposure
$3.08K
11 positions
First seen
2026-03-02
last 11-05 05:01
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 20 days
Categories
Politics
83% 71% +$381
Other
17% 71% -$9
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
34 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31? No +1,084 $1,000 94¢ $1.0K +$24 10-29 17:45
US strike on Colombia by December 31? No +467 $400 88¢ $413 +$13 11-04 19:38
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -360 -$348 98¢ $-352 -$4 07-17 20:19
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +385 $300 88¢ $340 +$40 09-12 21:39
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +344 $300 92¢ $314 +$14 11-03 18:03
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? No +235 $200 92¢ $215 +$15 11-01 19:01
Will Russia capture Dobropillia by December 31, 2026? No +125 $100 87¢ $109 +$9 11-01 19:03
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +114 $100 91¢ $104 +$4 11-03 18:04
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +115 $36 86¢ $98 +$63 11-01 19:06
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -60 -$56 97¢ $-58 -$2 07-06 17:32
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -365 -$85 13¢ $-46 +$39 06-21 05:59