Realized P&L (24h)
—
Unrealized P&L
-$2.00K
Hit rate
—
Resolved (24h)
0
Trades (24h)
0
526 lifetime
Volume (24h)
$0
$314.0K lifetime
Avg / trade
$597
Open exposure
$45.6K
6 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 08-13 02:21
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 64 days
Categories
Crypto
60%
75%
+$3,116
Other
16%
66%
+$880
Politics
15%
71%
+$1,014
Sports
9%
67%
+$2,571
Tech
0%
0%
-$456
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-08-13).
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | No | -21,300 | -$20,311 | 98¢ | $-20842 | -$531 | 08-13 02:20 | |
| Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? | No | -10,000 | -$9,393 | 98¢ | $-9835 | -$442 | 08-13 02:20 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | -8,048 | -$7,624 | 97¢ | $-7774 | -$151 | 08-13 02:20 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | -4,492 | -$3,729 | 94¢ | $-4200 | -$472 | 08-13 02:20 | |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | -1,800 | -$1,386 | 92¢ | $-1658 | -$272 | 08-13 02:21 | |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | -1,344 | -$1,143 | 95¢ | $-1274 | -$131 | 08-13 02:21 |
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| new stranger things episode released by wednesday | 2 | $26.7K | 27,000 | 0 | +27,000 | No | +$300 | 01-07 22:55 |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | 2 | $21.8K | 800 | 22,100 | -21,300 | open | — | 08-13 02:20 |
| will bitcoin reach 90k in march 2026 | 1 | $18.9K | 20,209 | 0 | +20,209 | No | +$1,274 | 03-02 21:39 |
| will bitcoin dip to 45k in march 2026 | 4 | $18.5K | 19,443 | 0 | +19,443 | No | +$946 | 03-08 02:30 |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | 96 | $13.2K | 9,000 | 10,000 | -1,000 | Yes | -$199 | 04-11 13:23 |
| will bitcoin reach 115k in january 2026 | 13 | $12.3K | 12,625 | 0 | +12,625 | No | +$338 | 01-14 11:41 |
| will bitcoin reach 105k in february 2026 | 3 | $12.3K | 12,600 | 0 | +12,600 | No | +$314 | 02-04 06:48 |
| will bitcoin reach 100k in february 2026 | 11 | $11.5K | 12,072 | 0 | +12,072 | No | +$556 | 02-02 23:12 |
| will bitcoin reach 95k in february 2026 | 27 | $11.5K | 5,998 | 5,998 | +0 | No | +$532 | 02-26 12:20 |
| will antnio jos seguro win the 2026 portugal presidential election | 3 | $9.7K | 5,000 | 5,000 | +0 | Yes | +$183 | 02-05 00:46 |
| will bitcoin reach 90k in february 2026 | 10 | $9.5K | 5,000 | 5,000 | +0 | No | +$496 | 02-26 13:20 |
| Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? | 1 | $9.4K | 0 | 10,000 | -10,000 | open | — | 08-13 02:20 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | 2 | $8.8K | 1,000 | 9,048 | -8,048 | open | — | 08-13 02:20 |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? | 20 | $7.3K | 9,768 | 0 | +9,768 | No | +$2,501 | 05-01 13:37 |
| will bitcoin dip to 75k in january 2026 | 4 | $7.1K | 4,000 | 4,000 | +0 | No | -$696 | 01-31 17:36 |
| will bitcoin dip to 45k in february 2026 429 933 793 | 12 | $6.1K | 6,376 | 0 | +6,376 | No | +$280 | 02-07 12:22 |
| khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31 | 10 | $6.1K | 3,500 | 3,500 | +0 | No | +$425 | 01-24 01:09 |
| will bitcoin reach 105k in january 2026 | 1 | $5.9K | 6,000 | 0 | +6,000 | No | +$138 | 01-22 08:23 |
| will ethereum reach 4200 in january 2026 | 6 | $5.2K | 5,492 | 0 | +5,492 | No | +$264 | 01-07 22:52 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? | 2 | $4.3K | 2,000 | 2,500 | -500 | Yes | -$86 | 02-06 02:21 |
| college football undefeated 15 0 team | 2 | $3.9K | 2,000 | 2,000 | +0 | No | +$98 | 01-16 06:27 |
| khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31 | 10 | $3.9K | 2,200 | 2,200 | +0 | Yes | -$221 | 03-01 21:45 |
| will the iranian regime fall by january 31 | 2 | $3.8K | 2,000 | 2,000 | +0 | No | +$86 | 01-24 01:10 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? | 1 | $3.7K | 0 | 4,492 | -4,492 | open | — | 08-13 02:20 |
| will bitcoin reach 85k in february 2026 | 1 | $3.0K | 0 | 3,000 | -3,000 | No | -$3 | 02-27 11:48 |
| will bitcoin dip to 80k in january 2026 | 10 | $2.9K | 2,500 | 1,000 | +1,500 | Yes | -$1,762 | 01-30 20:51 |
| will bitcoin reach 80000 in february 298 | 1 | $2.8K | 0 | 2,847 | -2,847 | No | -$3 | 02-27 22:35 |
| no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting | 2 | $2.7K | 3,000 | 0 | +3,000 | Yes | +$320 | 01-06 07:26 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April? | 4 | $2.5K | 3,000 | 0 | +3,000 | No | +$475 | 04-07 22:06 |
| will bitcoin dip to 40k in february 2026 785 212 222 | 1 | $2.5K | 2,625 | 0 | +2,625 | No | +$155 | 02-05 20:17 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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