Decimal-Gran — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

50.0%

Resolved

Trades

181

lifetime

Volume

$16.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$90

Open exposure

$54

1 position

First seen

2026-03-10

last 06-21 17:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Sports

41% 100% +$0

Other

37% 0% $-3

Crypto

15% — —

Politics

7% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

27 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?	No		-56	$-54	97¢	$-54	$-0	06-15 13:06

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	8	$1.3K	660	660	+0	No	+$0	04-09 09:19
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	19	$981	518	518	-0	open	—	04-14 02:29
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	6	$861	451	451	+0	open	—	04-13 10:48
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	10	$823	434	434	+0	Yes	$-1	03-28 18:44
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	4	$767	399	399	+0	open	—	04-25 07:39
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$444	227	227	+0	No	$-1	03-10 17:50
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	2	$439	226	226	+0	open	—	03-11 19:13
Will the Orlando Magic win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	4	$438	225	225	+0	open	—	03-12 10:24
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$438	225	225	+0	open	—	03-11 06:33
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	7	$420	225	225	+0	open	—	03-16 02:45
will bitcoin reach 90k in march 2026	3	$419	215	215	+0	open	—	03-12 18:02
Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$411	211	211	+0	open	—	03-15 01:36
netanyahu out by march 31 854	2	$404	209	209	+0	open	—	03-18 09:00
will iowa state win the 2026 ncaa tournament	3	$401	213	213	+0	open	—	03-20 13:57
will bitcoin reach 85k in march 2026	2	$397	205	205	+0	open	—	03-21 14:14
will crude oil cl hit low 85 by end of march 893 949 456 773	2	$392	202	202	+0	open	—	03-29 04:29
will crude oil cl hit low 65 by end of march 687 631 179 583 222 896 946 953 469 231 749	8	$392	203	203	+0	open	—	03-17 17:37
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	2	$391	209	209	+0	open	—	03-22 10:40
will bitcoin dip to 50k in march 2026	3	$388	199	199	-0	open	—	03-18 22:12
will st johns win the 2026 ncaa tournament	4	$387	199	199	+0	open	—	03-24 07:17
Will the Ottawa Senators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	4	$386	199	199	-0	open	—	03-25 05:43
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?	3	$386	199	199	+0	open	—	03-21 07:11
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	3	$385	199	199	+0	open	—	03-27 07:04
will connecticut win the 2026 ncaa tournament	2	$384	199	199	+0	open	—	03-27 01:29
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	2	$382	203	202	+1	open	—	04-24 16:37
will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	4	$372	192	192	+0	open	—	03-28 10:44
Netanyahu out by April 30?	2	$369	191	191	+0	open	—	03-30 06:38
will matt fitzpatrick win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$273	140	140	+0	open	—	03-21 21:46
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	6	$268	148	148	+0	open	—	06-21 17:42
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?	4	$196	100	100	+0	open	—	06-15 01:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-21 17:42:47	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	56	90¢	$50	0x7603aa…
06-21 09:40:29	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	56	91¢	$51	0x8cb6e8…
06-21 09:04:47	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	43	90¢	$39	0x0ab59e…
06-21 03:01:43	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	43	91¢	$40	0xd2dbb3…
06-20 07:38:10	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	58	95¢	$55	0xa78018…
06-20 02:33:02	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	58	95¢	$55	0x65fa0d…
06-19 12:02:29	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026 475	No	SELL	47	99¢	$46	0xe62aaf…
06-19 06:59:43	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026 475	No	BUY	47	98¢	$46	0xdb54a8…
06-18 21:48:58	Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	67	97¢	$65	0x0969ab…
06-18 13:47:20	Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	67	97¢	$65	0xcb7071…
06-18 01:01:01	Will Morocco reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	53	92¢	$49	0x2da921…
06-17 17:58:26	Will Morocco reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	53	94¢	$50	0xa2b062…
06-17 17:26:34	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	49	90¢	$44	0x26de3b…
06-17 11:23:22	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	49	91¢	$44	0xce42c6…
06-16 15:32:29	Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	48	93¢	$44	0xaed324…
06-16 10:30:36	Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	48	94¢	$45	0x9c3e05…
06-16 09:56:34	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	65	97¢	$63	0x6cb379…
06-16 05:56:25	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	54	97¢	$52	0x6fd5dc…
06-16 05:54:34	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	0	97¢	$0	0x8b6c5d…
06-16 05:54:34	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x4a0e24…
06-16 05:54:34	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	0	97¢	$0	0x04548a…
06-16 05:54:25	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x2a49f7…
06-16 05:54:04	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	0	97¢	$0	0x134649…
06-15 20:39:04	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of june	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xce30cc…
06-15 13:37:01	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of june	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x0047df…
06-15 13:06:52	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	56	96¢	$54	0xe0e827…
06-15 01:58:21	Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	45	98¢	$44	0x15ef7a…
06-14 19:52:18	Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	45	98¢	$44	0x498c68…
06-12 00:12:43	Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	55	98¢	$54	0x74d813…
06-11 16:09:48	Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	55	98¢	$54	0xf00762…
06-11 06:52:04	Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	42	93¢	$39	0x762450…
06-11 00:49:42	Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	42	94¢	$40	0xb8518c…
06-11 00:11:46	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?	No	SELL	30	88¢	$26	0x4e92d4…
06-10 19:02:18	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?	No	BUY	30	91¢	$27	0x466cab…
06-07 05:57:10	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?	No	SELL	47	96¢	$45	0x73c432…
06-06 21:56:28	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?	No	BUY	47	96¢	$45	0x6cfb17…
06-04 12:43:51	Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	45	98¢	$44	0x88dd7d…
06-04 05:40:34	Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	45	98¢	$44	0x9480e7…
06-03 21:32:34	Will Colombia reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	37	94¢	$35	0x84680d…
06-03 16:30:31	Will Colombia reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	37	96¢	$36	0x924815…
06-02 17:57:46	Will Bitcoin dip to $10,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	59	96¢	$57	0xd572c4…
06-02 10:54:23	Will Bitcoin dip to $10,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	59	96¢	$57	0x6175b9…
05-22 09:12:11	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	No	SELL	59	92¢	$54	0x3fbbb3…
05-22 05:09:24	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	No	BUY	59	95¢	$56	0x3b5c32…
05-16 03:29:28	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	SELL	38	94¢	$36	0x21a542…
05-15 23:18:43	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	BUY	38	94¢	$36	0x852917…
04-28 00:24:26	Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	SELL	49	93¢	$46	0x6d1e95…
04-27 18:15:44	Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	BUY	49	94¢	$47	0x2d425a…
04-25 07:39:46	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	186	97¢	$180	0xf7b50b…
04-25 03:26:48	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	186	97¢	$180	0x188666…
04-24 16:37:48	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	No	SELL	202	95¢	$191	0x8074c0…
04-24 11:29:36	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	No	BUY	203	94¢	$191	0xabd2fe…
04-20 13:15:26	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	43	94¢	$41	0x576a70…
04-20 04:07:10	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xf63f34…
04-20 03:55:32	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xaafc78…
04-20 03:52:50	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0x15b651…
04-20 03:42:32	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	21	93¢	$20	0xe94b8b…
04-15 14:09:32	ucl bay1 rma1 2026 04 15 spread away 2pt5	FC Bayern München	SELL	56	96¢	$54	0xac74fc…
04-15 09:18:16	ucl bay1 rma1 2026 04 15 spread away 2pt5	FC Bayern München	BUY	56	97¢	$55	0xeb9118…
04-14 02:29:53	Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	66	96¢	$63	0x5fdb24…
04-13 18:53:35	Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	66	96¢	$63	0x290e65…
04-13 10:48:21	Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	43	95¢	$41	0xb26f12…
04-13 06:33:41	Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	43	95¢	$41	0x89c7fa…
04-13 02:59:03	Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	62	97¢	$60	0x7440bf…
04-12 19:54:17	Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	62	97¢	$60	0xcffe94…
04-09 09:19:21	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	52	93¢	$48	0x5960fc…
04-09 02:46:15	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	52	92¢	$48	0x999d0b…
04-09 01:56:55	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	SELL	42	96¢	$41	0x7ab2f7…
04-08 17:54:53	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	BUY	42	96¢	$41	0x45016f…
04-08 10:49:13	ucl fcb1 atm1 2026 04 08 spread away 2pt5	FC Barcelona	SELL	7	95¢	$6	0xe83e11…
04-08 10:49:13	ucl fcb1 atm1 2026 04 08 spread away 2pt5	FC Barcelona	SELL	36	94¢	$34	0x0c8882…
04-08 06:43:55	ucl fcb1 atm1 2026 04 08 spread away 2pt5	FC Barcelona	BUY	42	97¢	$41	0x5aa3fe…
04-07 13:05:23	will ludvig aberg win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	39	95¢	$36	0xd996bf…
04-01 06:03:11	will ludvig aberg win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	39	95¢	$37	0x44ad65…
03-30 06:38:46	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	SELL	191	97¢	$185	0x0e9377…
03-29 22:02:50	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	BUY	191	97¢	$185	0xad8576…
03-29 04:29:22	will crude oil cl hit low 85 by end of march 893 949 456 773	No	SELL	202	97¢	$196	0x15b78c…
03-28 20:00:54	will crude oil cl hit low 85 by end of march 893 949 456 773	No	BUY	202	97¢	$197	0x99fa68…
03-28 18:44:47	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	202	95¢	$191	0xa65b86…
03-28 11:04:15	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	202	95¢	$193	0x3bc17b…
03-28 10:44:23	will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	No	SELL	192	97¢	$186	0xa94957…
03-28 02:22:11	will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	No	BUY	63	97¢	$61	0xdab305…
03-28 02:21:55	will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0x12f3e1…
03-28 02:20:47	will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	No	BUY	29	97¢	$28	0xa8097f…
03-27 07:04:31	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	No	SELL	199	97¢	$192	0xea506f…
03-27 01:44:33	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	No	BUY	189	97¢	$183	0xe9bd13…
03-27 01:44:19	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x636483…
03-27 01:29:03	will connecticut win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	SELL	199	96¢	$191	0xae7bf1…
03-26 18:40:25	will connecticut win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	BUY	199	97¢	$193	0x2c25b4…
03-26 00:46:25	Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	199	96¢	$190	0xb29c02…
03-25 16:37:27	Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	199	96¢	$191	0x2f08b1…
03-25 05:43:51	Will the Ottawa Senators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	199	97¢	$193	0x173bdc…
03-24 22:52:01	Will the Ottawa Senators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	104	97¢	$101	0xeacc46…
03-24 22:36:27	Will the Ottawa Senators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	50	97¢	$48	0x43dc33…
03-24 22:10:27	Will the Ottawa Senators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	45	97¢	$44	0xc6e979…
03-24 21:06:07	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	213	96¢	$204	0x6500ed…
03-24 15:28:11	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	213	96¢	$204	0x40295e…
03-24 07:17:45	will st johns win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	SELL	199	97¢	$194	0xeb7539…
03-24 03:40:55	will st johns win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	BUY	24	97¢	$23	0x150e2f…
03-24 02:53:29	will st johns win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	BUY	159	97¢	$155	0x13e59a…