Periodic-Ivory — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$8

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$6.42K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$96

Open exposure

$379

1 position

First seen

2026-01-12

last 07-09 15:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

39% 100% +$6

Politics

35% 100% +$2

Crypto

19% — —

Sports

7% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No		+400	$377	95¢	$379	+$1	07-09 15:56

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
trump out as president by march 31	3	$602	312	312	+0	open	—	02-06 09:24
Will Trump talk to Yoon Suk Yeol in April?	4	$507	266	266	+0	open	—	03-28 01:59
will cristiano ronaldo score 6 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611144406407	5	$421	217	217	+0	open	—	07-06 20:54
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	5	$377	400	0	+400	open	—	07-09 15:56
will silver si hit high 130 by end of march	1	$261	261	0	+261	open	—	03-28 02:46
will xrp reach 2pt2 in february 2026	4	$222	115	115	+0	open	—	02-13 11:16
highest temperature in shenzhen on april 21 2026 32corhigher	2	$202	103	103	+0	open	—	04-21 02:03
will bitcoin dip to 30k in march 2026	1	$200	202	0	+202	open	—	03-03 09:03
will xrp reach 4 in february 2026	1	$200	201	0	+201	open	—	02-03 08:29
will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5pt5 or higher worldwide by april 5	1	$199	203	0	+203	open	—	04-12 04:03
will there be exactly 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5pt5 or higher worldwide by april 5	1	$196	200	0	+200	open	—	04-11 09:44
will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	1	$195	200	0	+200	open	—	06-20 12:19
Trump's face on US gold coin by July 4?	2	$192	100	100	+0	open	—	07-03 02:40
Will Iran strike Spain by April 30, 2026?	1	$180	182	0	+182	open	—	04-14 10:13
will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt4t by june 30 98	1	$179	180	0	+180	open	—	06-30 09:23
highest temperature in shenzhen on april 21 2026 27c	1	$146	146	0	+146	open	—	04-21 02:02
highest temperature in shenzhen on april 20 2026 32corhigher	1	$145	146	0	+146	open	—	04-20 03:09
will satoshis identity be revealed by july 31 20260626163320076	2	$138	139	0	+139	open	—	06-27 08:19
iran strike on qatar by february 28 2026 334	3	$125	121	121	+0	open	—	02-28 14:43
will xrp dip to 0pt8 february 9 15	2	$125	126	0	+126	open	—	02-14 09:22
will trump meet with xi jinping in february 2026	1	$110	111	0	+111	open	—	02-11 06:06
iran strike on qatar by january 31 2026 222	1	$110	115	0	+115	open	—	01-21 09:09
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30?	2	$109	110	0	+110	open	—	04-14 15:20
will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt35t by june 30	1	$109	109	0	+109	open	—	06-30 09:22
Will UK strike Iran by April 30?	1	$103	104	0	+104	open	—	04-16 13:36
bitcoin above 76k on february 26	1	$100	100	0	+100	open	—	02-25 12:09
highest temperature in shenzhen on april 22 2026 22corbelow	1	$100	100	0	+100	open	—	04-21 02:03
will bitcoin dip to 45k in january 2026	1	$100	100	0	+100	open	—	01-21 09:17
will the price of bitcoin be less than 58000 on february 23	1	$99	100	0	+100	open	—	02-22 07:04
will bitcoin reach 150k in january 2026	1	$98	98	0	+98	open	—	01-21 09:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-09 15:56:19	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0xefa648…
07-09 15:06:29	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	18	94¢	$17	0xda816d…
07-09 13:22:55	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	112	94¢	$106	0xfa8420…
07-09 13:22:22	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	111	94¢	$105	0x851b0e…
07-09 13:15:49	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	153	94¢	$145	0xa97200…
07-06 20:54:16	will cristiano ronaldo score 6 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611144406407	No	SELL	11	98¢	$10	0x28eb2a…
07-06 20:54:08	will cristiano ronaldo score 6 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611144406407	No	SELL	50	98¢	$49	0xd4a828…
07-06 20:54:05	will cristiano ronaldo score 6 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611144406407	No	SELL	156	98¢	$153	0xc3697c…
07-03 02:40:55	Trump's face on US gold coin by July 4?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xed9782…
06-30 09:23:59	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt4t by june 30 98	No	BUY	180	100¢	$179	0xe8b1c4…
06-30 09:22:16	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt35t by june 30	No	BUY	109	100¢	$109	0x6d4051…
06-27 08:19:14	will satoshis identity be revealed by july 31 20260626163320076	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xdb39a2…
06-27 08:18:55	will satoshis identity be revealed by july 31 20260626163320076	No	BUY	126	99¢	$125	0xfc3b02…
06-21 02:28:38	will cristiano ronaldo score 6 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611144406407	No	BUY	117	97¢	$113	0x252266…
06-21 02:27:59	will cristiano ronaldo score 6 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611144406407	No	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0xc24f3f…
06-20 13:13:10	Will Trump visit North Korea by June 30?	No	BUY	45	99¢	$45	0x9033f1…
06-20 12:52:02	Trump's face on US gold coin by July 4?	No	BUY	100	92¢	$92	0x469fc8…
06-20 12:51:25	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0xb783fd…
06-20 12:33:40	russia x ukraine ceasefire by june 30 2026 631	No	BUY	60	98¢	$59	0x4a6fcd…
06-20 12:19:29	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	No	BUY	200	98¢	$195	0x76da8a…
04-21 02:03:16	highest temperature in shenzhen on april 22 2026 22corbelow	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x2b2c96…
04-21 02:03:02	highest temperature in shenzhen on april 21 2026 32corhigher	No	SELL	103	99¢	$102	0x5cae71…
04-21 02:02:42	highest temperature in shenzhen on april 21 2026 27c	No	BUY	146	100¢	$146	0xed37e9…
04-20 03:09:56	highest temperature in shenzhen on april 20 2026 32corhigher	No	BUY	146	99¢	$145	0x79224f…
04-20 03:07:54	highest temperature in shenzhen on april 21 2026 32corhigher	No	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0xd869c1…
04-20 02:48:10	Will PSG win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?	Yes	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0xe28b0c…
04-16 13:36:58	Will UK strike Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	104	99¢	$103	0x278f69…
04-16 13:33:08	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	BUY	52	97¢	$50	0x0f183a…
04-14 15:20:53	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x3aa003…
04-14 12:02:25	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0xd09810…
04-14 10:13:41	Will Iran strike Spain by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	182	99¢	$180	0x0e1076…
04-12 04:03:47	will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5pt5 or higher worldwide by april 5	No	BUY	203	98¢	$199	0x56718d…
04-12 04:03:21	will there be exactly 8 earthquakes of magnitude 5pt5 or higher worldwide by april 5	No	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x1fb3f1…
04-11 19:00:37	will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 5pt5 or higher worldwide by april 5	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xb9190e…
04-11 10:10:21	will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 5pt5 or higher worldwide by april 5	No	BUY	13	92¢	$12	0x3c0d36…
04-11 09:44:11	will there be exactly 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5pt5 or higher worldwide by april 5	No	BUY	200	98¢	$196	0x42418b…
03-31 12:45:33	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	44	100¢	$44	0x9f0601…
03-28 02:46:49	will silver si hit high 130 by end of march	No	BUY	261	100¢	$261	0xa471f2…
03-28 01:59:19	Will Trump talk to Yoon Suk Yeol in April?	No	SELL	266	98¢	$261	0x0b68e5…
03-25 13:23:57	Will Trump talk to Yoon Suk Yeol in April?	No	BUY	158	93¢	$147	0x5750e3…
03-25 13:21:23	Will Trump talk to Yoon Suk Yeol in April?	No	BUY	54	92¢	$50	0x8a4405…
03-25 13:20:15	Will Trump talk to Yoon Suk Yeol in April?	No	BUY	54	92¢	$50	0xc6efea…
03-25 07:45:29	us x iran meeting by march 31 2026 363	No	SELL	16	78¢	$13	0xa18168…
03-25 03:58:49	us x iran meeting by march 31 2026 363	No	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x62b992…
03-03 09:03:55	will bitcoin dip to 30k in march 2026	No	BUY	202	99¢	$200	0xdc082e…
02-28 14:43:53	iran strike on qatar by february 28 2026 334	No	SELL	121	9¢	$11	0x16f2c9…
02-25 12:09:54	bitcoin above 76k on february 26	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x0b63b0…
02-22 07:08:20	iran strike on qatar by february 28 2026 334	No	BUY	15	94¢	$14	0x93ad40…
02-22 07:07:54	iran strike on qatar by february 28 2026 334	No	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0xfe6ef7…
02-22 07:04:44	will the price of bitcoin be less than 58000 on february 23	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x2b0a32…
02-14 09:22:51	will xrp dip to 0pt8 february 9 15	No	BUY	26	99¢	$26	0x19db99…
02-14 09:22:01	will xrp reach 2pt1 february 9 15	No	BUY	87	100¢	$87	0xc2460e…
02-13 11:16:45	will xrp reach 2pt2 in february 2026	No	SELL	113	98¢	$112	0xf959c3…
02-11 20:14:05	will xrp reach 2pt2 in february 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x798928…
02-11 06:06:07	will trump meet with xi jinping in february 2026	No	BUY	111	99¢	$110	0x028eab…
02-11 06:04:03	Will Trump and Xi not shake hands during the day of their next meeting in 2026?	No	BUY	38	94¢	$36	0xc06bdc…
02-11 06:01:57	will xrp dip to 0pt8 february 9 15	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x62f84b…
02-11 06:00:09	Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	SELL	704	0¢	$1	0x74f340…
02-06 09:28:01	will xrp reach 2pt2 in february 2026	No	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xeb1432…
02-06 09:25:25	will xrp reach 2pt2 in february 2026	No	BUY	105	96¢	$100	0x11edcd…
02-06 09:24:55	trump out as president by march 31	No	SELL	312	97¢	$302	0xb7901d…
02-03 08:29:02	will xrp reach 4 in february 2026	No	BUY	201	100¢	$200	0xc96ece…
01-27 09:03:39	trump out as president by march 31	No	BUY	208	96¢	$200	0xb02347…
01-21 09:17:42	will bitcoin reach 150k in january 2026	No	BUY	98	100¢	$98	0x805613…
01-21 09:17:36	will bitcoin dip to 45k in january 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x9c2336…
01-21 09:09:30	iran strike on qatar by january 31 2026 222	No	BUY	115	96¢	$110	0xa492c1…
01-12 09:23:12	trump out as president by march 31	No	BUY	104	97¢	$100	0xcf9708…