Periodic-Ivory — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$8

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$4.61K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$98

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-12

last 04-21 02:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

42% 100% +$2

Other

31% 100% +$6

Crypto

27% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
trump out as president by march 31	3	$602	312	312	+0	open	—	02-06 09:24
Will Trump talk to Yoon Suk Yeol in April?	4	$507	266	266	+0	open	—	03-28 01:59
will silver si hit high 130 by end of march	1	$261	261	0	+261	open	—	03-28 02:46
will xrp reach 2pt2 in february 2026	4	$222	115	115	+0	open	—	02-13 11:16
highest temperature in shenzhen on april 21 2026 32corhigher	2	$202	103	103	+0	open	—	04-21 02:03
will bitcoin dip to 30k in march 2026	1	$200	202	0	+202	open	—	03-03 09:03
will xrp reach 4 in february 2026	1	$200	201	0	+201	open	—	02-03 08:29
will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5pt5 or higher worldwide by april 5	1	$199	203	0	+203	open	—	04-12 04:03
will there be exactly 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5pt5 or higher worldwide by april 5	1	$196	200	0	+200	open	—	04-11 09:44
Will Iran strike Spain by April 30, 2026?	1	$180	182	0	+182	open	—	04-14 10:13
highest temperature in shenzhen on april 21 2026 27c	1	$146	146	0	+146	open	—	04-21 02:02
highest temperature in shenzhen on april 20 2026 32corhigher	1	$145	146	0	+146	open	—	04-20 03:09
iran strike on qatar by february 28 2026 334	3	$125	121	121	+0	open	—	02-28 14:43
will xrp dip to 0pt8 february 9 15	2	$125	126	0	+126	open	—	02-14 09:22
will trump meet with xi jinping in february 2026	1	$110	111	0	+111	open	—	02-11 06:06
iran strike on qatar by january 31 2026 222	1	$110	115	0	+115	open	—	01-21 09:09
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30?	2	$109	110	0	+110	open	—	04-14 15:20
Will UK strike Iran by April 30?	1	$103	104	0	+104	open	—	04-16 13:36
bitcoin above 76k on february 26	1	$100	100	0	+100	open	—	02-25 12:09
highest temperature in shenzhen on april 22 2026 22corbelow	1	$100	100	0	+100	open	—	04-21 02:03
will bitcoin dip to 45k in january 2026	1	$100	100	0	+100	open	—	01-21 09:17
will the price of bitcoin be less than 58000 on february 23	1	$99	100	0	+100	open	—	02-22 07:04
will bitcoin reach 150k in january 2026	1	$98	98	0	+98	open	—	01-21 09:17
Will PSG win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?	1	$94	100	0	+100	Yes	+$6	04-20 02:48
will xrp reach 2pt1 february 9 15	1	$87	87	0	+87	open	—	02-14 09:22
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	1	$50	52	0	+52	open	—	04-16 13:33
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	1	$44	44	0	+44	open	—	03-31 12:45
Will Trump and Xi not shake hands during the day of their next meeting in 2026?	1	$36	38	0	+38	No	+$2	02-11 06:04
us x iran meeting by march 31 2026 363	2	$23	16	16	+0	open	—	03-25 07:45
will there be exactly 8 earthquakes of magnitude 5pt5 or higher worldwide by april 5	1	$20	21	0	+21	open	—	04-12 04:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
04-21 02:03:16	highest temperature in shenzhen on april 22 2026 22corbelow	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x2b2c96…
04-21 02:03:02	highest temperature in shenzhen on april 21 2026 32corhigher	No	SELL	103	99¢	$102	0x5cae71…
04-21 02:02:42	highest temperature in shenzhen on april 21 2026 27c	No	BUY	146	100¢	$146	0xed37e9…
04-20 03:09:56	highest temperature in shenzhen on april 20 2026 32corhigher	No	BUY	146	99¢	$145	0x79224f…
04-20 03:07:54	highest temperature in shenzhen on april 21 2026 32corhigher	No	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0xd869c1…
04-20 02:48:10	Will PSG win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?	Yes	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0xe28b0c…
04-16 13:36:58	Will UK strike Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	104	99¢	$103	0x278f69…
04-16 13:33:08	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	BUY	52	97¢	$50	0x0f183a…
04-14 15:20:53	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x3aa003…
04-14 12:02:25	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0xd09810…
04-14 10:13:41	Will Iran strike Spain by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	182	99¢	$180	0x0e1076…
04-12 04:03:47	will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5pt5 or higher worldwide by april 5	No	BUY	203	98¢	$199	0x56718d…
04-12 04:03:21	will there be exactly 8 earthquakes of magnitude 5pt5 or higher worldwide by april 5	No	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x1fb3f1…
04-11 19:00:37	will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 5pt5 or higher worldwide by april 5	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xb9190e…
04-11 10:10:21	will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 5pt5 or higher worldwide by april 5	No	BUY	13	92¢	$12	0x3c0d36…
04-11 09:44:11	will there be exactly 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5pt5 or higher worldwide by april 5	No	BUY	200	98¢	$196	0x42418b…
03-31 12:45:33	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	44	100¢	$44	0x9f0601…
03-28 02:46:49	will silver si hit high 130 by end of march	No	BUY	261	100¢	$261	0xa471f2…
03-28 01:59:19	Will Trump talk to Yoon Suk Yeol in April?	No	SELL	266	98¢	$261	0x0b68e5…
03-25 13:23:57	Will Trump talk to Yoon Suk Yeol in April?	No	BUY	158	93¢	$147	0x5750e3…
03-25 13:21:23	Will Trump talk to Yoon Suk Yeol in April?	No	BUY	54	92¢	$50	0x8a4405…
03-25 13:20:15	Will Trump talk to Yoon Suk Yeol in April?	No	BUY	54	92¢	$50	0xc6efea…
03-25 07:45:29	us x iran meeting by march 31 2026 363	No	SELL	16	78¢	$13	0xa18168…
03-25 03:58:49	us x iran meeting by march 31 2026 363	No	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x62b992…
03-03 09:03:55	will bitcoin dip to 30k in march 2026	No	BUY	202	99¢	$200	0xdc082e…
02-28 14:43:53	iran strike on qatar by february 28 2026 334	No	SELL	121	9¢	$11	0x16f2c9…
02-25 12:09:54	bitcoin above 76k on february 26	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x0b63b0…
02-22 07:08:20	iran strike on qatar by february 28 2026 334	No	BUY	15	94¢	$14	0x93ad40…
02-22 07:07:54	iran strike on qatar by february 28 2026 334	No	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0xfe6ef7…
02-22 07:04:44	will the price of bitcoin be less than 58000 on february 23	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x2b0a32…
02-14 09:22:51	will xrp dip to 0pt8 february 9 15	No	BUY	26	99¢	$26	0x19db99…
02-14 09:22:01	will xrp reach 2pt1 february 9 15	No	BUY	87	100¢	$87	0xc2460e…
02-13 11:16:45	will xrp reach 2pt2 in february 2026	No	SELL	113	98¢	$112	0xf959c3…
02-11 20:14:05	will xrp reach 2pt2 in february 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x798928…
02-11 06:06:07	will trump meet with xi jinping in february 2026	No	BUY	111	99¢	$110	0x028eab…
02-11 06:04:03	Will Trump and Xi not shake hands during the day of their next meeting in 2026?	No	BUY	38	94¢	$36	0xc06bdc…
02-11 06:01:57	will xrp dip to 0pt8 february 9 15	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x62f84b…
02-11 06:00:09	Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	SELL	704	0¢	$1	0x74f340…
02-06 09:28:01	will xrp reach 2pt2 in february 2026	No	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xeb1432…
02-06 09:25:25	will xrp reach 2pt2 in february 2026	No	BUY	105	96¢	$100	0x11edcd…
02-06 09:24:55	trump out as president by march 31	No	SELL	312	97¢	$302	0xb7901d…
02-03 08:29:02	will xrp reach 4 in february 2026	No	BUY	201	100¢	$200	0xc96ece…
01-27 09:03:39	trump out as president by march 31	No	BUY	208	96¢	$200	0xb02347…
01-21 09:17:42	will bitcoin reach 150k in january 2026	No	BUY	98	100¢	$98	0x805613…
01-21 09:17:36	will bitcoin dip to 45k in january 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x9c2336…
01-21 09:09:30	iran strike on qatar by january 31 2026 222	No	BUY	115	96¢	$110	0xa492c1…
01-12 09:23:12	trump out as president by march 31	No	BUY	104	97¢	$100	0xcf9708…