Periodic-Ivory — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$98

Unrealized P&L

+$20

Hit rate

98.7%

Resolved

148

Trades

219

lifetime

Volume

$25.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$116

Open exposure

$879

8 positions

First seen

2026-01-12

last 11-04 22:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 63 days

Categories

Other

75% 99% +$139

Politics

11% 94% -$61

Crypto

9% 100% +$14

Sports

5% 100% +$6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions (8) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	+400	$377	98¢	$393	+$16	07-09 15:56
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	+164	$155	97¢	$160	+$5	10-31 10:30
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	No	+100	$95	98¢	$98	+$3	09-09 16:25
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	-100	-$61	68¢	$-68	-$6	05-01 20:48
Will Donald Trump visit Taiwan in 2026?	No	+52	$51	97¢	$51	$0	10-16 03:58
Iran Nuke before 2027?	No	+50	$48	97¢	$48	+$0	10-16 03:52
Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026?	No	+34	$33	99¢	$33	+$1	10-16 03:57
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?	No	+30	$27	97¢	$29	+$2	10-15 12:35

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C or higher on June 14?	1	$865	869	0	+869	No	+$4	06-13 10:54
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on May 15?	2	$692	693	0	+693	Yes	+$1	05-15 08:22
trump out as president by march 31	3	$602	312	312	+0	No	+$2	02-06 09:24
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 17°C on May 31?	1	$527	536	0	+536	Yes	+$8	05-31 20:19
Will Trump talk to Yoon Suk Yeol in April?	4	$507	266	266	+0	No	+$14	03-28 01:59
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C or higher on May 26?	2	$496	499	0	+499	No	+$3	05-26 01:28
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C or higher on May 12?	2	$496	497	0	+497	No	+$1	05-12 02:58
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 24°C on May 17?	2	$476	477	0	+477	No	+$1	05-16 09:27
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on June 16?	2	$438	440	0	+440	No	+$3	06-15 07:15
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 17°C on May 27?	1	$430	431	0	+431	Yes	+$1	05-27 08:23
will cristiano ronaldo score 6 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611144406407	5	$421	217	217	+0	No	+$4	07-06 20:54
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in September?	1	$399	400	0	+400	No	+$1	09-27 03:22
Exact Score: Ecuador 3 - 0 Curaçao?	9	$395	200	200	+0	No	+$4	06-21 01:43
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 13?	1	$393	394	0	+394	No	+$1	05-13 07:49
Will Lamine Yamal win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	6	$393	200	200	+0	No	+$0	07-16 02:31
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	5	$377	400	0	+400	open	—	07-09 15:56
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 5°C on May 11?	1	$371	372	0	+372	No	+$1	05-11 08:10
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 15°C or below on May 9?	1	$368	369	0	+369	No	+$0	05-08 03:28
Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C or higher on May 28?	1	$367	368	0	+368	Yes	+$1	05-28 13:46
will lionel messi score 12 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260701232542062	1	$349	350	0	+350	No	+$1	07-16 02:20
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on July 9?	1	$335	335	0	+335	No	+$0	07-09 12:57
Solana all time high by September 30, 2026?	1	$327	328	0	+328	No	+$1	09-27 03:45
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on June 10?	2	$324	328	0	+328	No	+$4	06-09 13:25
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on May 27?	1	$302	305	0	+305	No	+$3	05-27 08:37
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C or higher on June 16?	2	$300	301	0	+301	No	+$1	06-15 07:09
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on June 16?	1	$298	300	0	+300	No	+$2	06-15 07:11
will trump meet with kim jong un in august 2026 20260731154202608	2	$297	300	0	+300	No	+$3	08-04 09:36
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on June 9?	4	$265	266	0	+266	No	+$1	06-09 13:36
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on May 30?	3	$262	268	0	+268	Yes	+$6	05-31 02:55
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 20°C on August 21?	1	$262	262	0	+262	No	+$0	08-20 11:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 22:20:55	Will Jimmy Lai win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027?	No	SELL	50	90¢	$45	0xa61ecb…
10-31 10:30:22	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	64	95¢	$61	0xf6c408…
10-31 10:26:49	Will Jimmy Lai win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027?	No	BUY	50	89¢	$44	0x53ae92…
10-16 03:58:13	Will Donald Trump visit Taiwan in 2026?	No	BUY	52	97¢	$51	0xcf8d0a…
10-16 03:57:07	Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	34	97¢	$33	0x21fbc2…
10-16 03:56:09	IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by October 31?	No	BUY	120	98¢	$118	0x3acafe…
10-16 03:52:13	Iran Nuke before 2027?	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x0fd9bb…
10-16 03:18:58	Iran leadership change by October 31?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x7d41ba…
10-15 13:09:58	Russia reinstates diesel export ban by October 31?	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x098dd7…
10-15 13:03:26	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 10°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	158	100¢	$158	0xa72de8…
10-15 13:02:35	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 3°C or below on October 15?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xdd507c…
10-15 12:59:43	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 14°C on October 16?	No	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0xb18cea…
10-15 12:57:05	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on October 15?	No	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0xca9b2d…
10-15 12:57:02	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	65	100¢	$65	0xa63fb9…
10-15 12:36:52	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,500 in October?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xcb1bb0…
10-15 12:35:46	Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0xfaafd0…
10-15 12:35:08	Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x61203d…
10-15 12:30:25	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x8f9d94…
10-04 12:47:25	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0x988535…
10-04 12:46:14	will nvda dip to 184 in october 2026	No	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0xf60c55…
10-04 12:43:29	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?	No	BUY	30	93¢	$28	0xd88f45…
10-04 12:43:07	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in October?	No	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0xf6abbb…
10-04 12:42:50	Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in October?	No	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0x35bc34…
09-27 03:45:39	Solana all time high by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	328	100¢	$327	0x94ed55…
09-27 03:23:59	Will there be 5 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x2543c0…
09-27 03:22:14	Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in September?	No	BUY	400	100¢	$399	0x0ccced…
09-15 08:57:00	Exact Score: FC Barcelona 0 - 2 Real Racing Club?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x60f840…
09-15 08:51:55	Will a 8.0+ earthquake occur worldwide by September 30?	No	BUY	16	91¢	$15	0xcd4713…
09-15 08:51:19	Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	Yes	BUY	50	97¢	$48	0xf1da73…
09-09 16:25:27	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	No	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0x6d3c1a…
09-09 13:26:58	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in September?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0xf03d64…
08-26 12:39:37	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by August 31?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x5189c9…
08-26 12:34:31	Will the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on August 27?	No	BUY	78	100¢	$78	0x8fe4bc…
08-26 12:29:51	Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 in August?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x47a795…
08-24 11:12:01	Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	161	99¢	$160	0x4754af…
08-20 11:46:27	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on August 21?	No	BUY	107	100¢	$107	0x1eeb75…
08-20 11:44:12	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 20°C on August 21?	No	BUY	262	100¢	$262	0xcfb8d1…
08-20 11:43:49	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 11°C or below on August 21?	No	BUY	71	99¢	$70	0x50591d…
08-20 10:13:49	another iranian diplomat expelled by august 31 2026	No	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0x39c4e3…
08-20 08:17:40	Will Trump meet with Changpeng Zhao in 2026?	No	BUY	30	76¢	$23	0x1a713f…
08-09 08:36:39	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on August 9?	Yes	BUY	250	100¢	$249	0xeab8dd…
08-09 02:23:21	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0x66dc6e…
08-04 09:36:08	will trump meet with kim jong un in august 2026 20260731154202608	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xe20842…
08-04 09:35:59	will trump meet with kim jong un in august 2026 20260731154202608	No	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0xc7155f…
07-16 02:31:20	Will Lamine Yamal win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	52	98¢	$51	0x01178a…
07-16 02:30:53	Will Lamine Yamal win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	30	98¢	$29	0x362534…
07-16 02:24:02	Will Lamine Yamal win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	36	98¢	$35	0xadf9ed…
07-16 02:23:02	Will Lamine Yamal win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	30	98¢	$29	0x94576a…
07-16 02:23:02	Will Lamine Yamal win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	53	98¢	$52	0x52768c…
07-16 02:20:34	will lionel messi score 13 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260701232556159	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x3916ae…
07-16 02:20:10	will lionel messi score 12 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260701232542062	No	BUY	350	100¢	$349	0x28d29a…
07-09 15:56:19	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0xefa648…
07-09 15:06:29	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	18	94¢	$17	0xda816d…
07-09 13:22:55	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	112	94¢	$106	0xfa8420…
07-09 13:22:22	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	111	94¢	$105	0x851b0e…
07-09 13:15:49	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	153	94¢	$145	0xa97200…
07-09 13:00:52	Will Lamine Yamal win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	200	98¢	$196	0x124154…
07-09 12:57:43	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on July 9?	No	BUY	335	100¢	$335	0xf7894c…
07-06 20:54:16	will cristiano ronaldo score 6 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611144406407	No	SELL	11	98¢	$10	0x28eb2a…
07-06 20:54:08	will cristiano ronaldo score 6 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611144406407	No	SELL	50	98¢	$49	0xd4a828…
07-06 20:54:05	will cristiano ronaldo score 6 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611144406407	No	SELL	156	98¢	$153	0xc3697c…
07-03 02:40:55	Trump's face on US gold coin by July 4?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xed9782…
06-30 09:23:59	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt4t by june 30 98	No	BUY	180	100¢	$179	0xe8b1c4…
06-30 09:22:16	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt35t by june 30	No	BUY	109	100¢	$109	0x6d4051…
06-27 08:19:14	will satoshis identity be revealed by july 31 20260626163320076	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xdb39a2…
06-27 08:18:55	will satoshis identity be revealed by july 31 20260626163320076	No	BUY	126	99¢	$125	0xfc3b02…
06-27 07:45:07	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on June 27?	No	BUY	123	100¢	$123	0x4c2e0d…
06-27 07:38:16	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C or higher on June 28?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xdcb909…
06-27 07:34:25	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C or higher on June 28?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x46c12a…
06-27 07:33:11	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C on June 27?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x7487ad…
06-25 07:52:01	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C or below on June 26?	No	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0xce2706…
06-25 07:51:38	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C or below on June 26?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x89911d…
06-25 07:47:50	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on June 26?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xf0159e…
06-25 07:47:38	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on June 26?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x81cdd3…
06-25 07:46:58	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on June 26?	No	BUY	36	99¢	$36	0x20969c…
06-21 02:28:38	will cristiano ronaldo score 6 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611144406407	No	BUY	117	97¢	$113	0x252266…
06-21 02:27:59	will cristiano ronaldo score 6 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611144406407	No	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0xc24f3f…
06-21 02:16:17	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 34°C on June 21?	No	BUY	161	100¢	$160	0xc14ec0…
06-21 01:55:16	Exact Score: Ecuador 0 - 1 Curaçao?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xde0b0e…
06-21 01:54:26	Exact Score: Ecuador 0 - 1 Curaçao?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x114a4b…
06-21 01:43:32	Exact Score: Ecuador 3 - 0 Curaçao?	No	SELL	108	100¢	$107	0x15972c…
06-21 01:42:38	Exact Score: Ecuador 3 - 0 Curaçao?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xeb0c36…
06-21 01:42:13	Exact Score: Ecuador 3 - 0 Curaçao?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x224f2a…
06-21 01:41:44	Exact Score: Ecuador 3 - 0 Curaçao?	No	SELL	67	100¢	$67	0x2e616a…
06-21 01:36:23	Exact Score: Ecuador 3 - 0 Curaçao?	No	BUY	55	97¢	$53	0x2ac36c…
06-21 01:35:44	Exact Score: Ecuador 3 - 0 Curaçao?	No	BUY	38	97¢	$37	0x5a9756…
06-21 01:35:16	Exact Score: Ecuador 3 - 0 Curaçao?	No	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0x67fa75…
06-21 01:34:25	Exact Score: Ecuador 3 - 0 Curaçao?	No	BUY	0	98¢	$0	0x1a5ed6…
06-21 01:31:23	Exact Score: Ecuador 3 - 0 Curaçao?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0xb418b5…
06-21 01:29:22	Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $56-$63 in June?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0x8e80ad…
06-20 13:13:10	Will Trump visit North Korea by June 30?	No	BUY	45	99¢	$45	0x9033f1…
06-20 12:52:02	Trump's face on US gold coin by July 4?	No	BUY	100	92¢	$92	0x469fc8…
06-20 12:51:25	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0xb783fd…
06-20 12:33:40	russia x ukraine ceasefire by june 30 2026 631	No	BUY	60	98¢	$59	0x4a6fcd…
06-20 12:19:29	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	No	BUY	200	98¢	$195	0x76da8a…
06-20 12:15:10	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on June 21?	No	BUY	37	99¢	$37	0xa4cedf…
06-20 12:09:34	Will the lowest temperature in London be 18°C on June 20?	Yes	BUY	165	100¢	$165	0x38182d…
06-20 11:56:44	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on June 21?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xdc8409…
06-20 11:55:34	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on June 21?	No	BUY	104	99¢	$103	0xf2a623…
06-20 11:52:23	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 34°C or higher on June 21?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x4f815d…