Hairy-Clef — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.37K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

60.6%

Resolved

376

Trades

1,003

lifetime

Volume

$31.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$31

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-06

last 09-23 14:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 66 days

Categories

Other

48% 37% -$436

Crypto

44% 66% -$927

Politics

7% 27% -$3

Tech

1% 67% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (18) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	2	$514	263	263	+0	No	+$9	06-05 13:15
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	2	$386	195	195	+0	No	+$2	06-02 04:22
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	2	$367	217	217	+0	No	-$42	06-12 00:14
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	4	$304	163	163	+0	open	—	06-10 13:16
elon musk of tweets april 13 april 15 40 64	5	$282	600	600	+0	No	+$78	04-14 07:44
atp cobolli bergs 2026 04 15	34	$243	2,111	2,111	+0	Flavio Cobolli	-$137	04-15 14:44
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	10	$236	391	283	+108	Yes	+$30	04-28 00:09
elon musk of tweets april 11 april 13 115 139	2	$234	600	600	+0	Yes	+$90	04-13 09:53
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	4	$225	119	119	+0	open	—	06-25 10:52
Will the Republican Party win the IL-15 House seat?	2	$224	120	120	+0	open	—	07-17 06:10
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-15 House seat?	2	$224	119	119	+0	open	—	07-21 14:54
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-21 House seat?	2	$217	120	120	+0	open	—	07-22 04:27
bitcoin up or down june 10 2026 10am et	2	$214	111	111	+0	Up	+$4	06-10 14:53
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	2	$213	107	107	+0	No	+$1	05-16 06:22
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	3	$211	112	112	+0	No	-$3	05-18 00:17
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	4	$209	106	106	+0	No	+$1	05-14 13:55
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	6	$208	248	248	+0	Yes	-$6	06-15 04:33
Will the Democratic Party win the CT-04 House seat?	2	$208	110	110	+0	open	—	07-28 14:31
Will the Democratic Party win the OR-06 House seat?	2	$206	110	110	+0	open	—	07-24 04:56
Will the Democratic Party win the AL-07 House seat?	2	$206	110	110	+0	open	—	07-29 13:59
Will the Republican Party win the MN-07 House seat?	2	$206	110	110	+0	open	—	07-27 04:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	2	$205	106	106	+0	Up	+$5	06-02 12:23
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	1	$205	220	0	+220	No	+$15	06-07 16:16
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	2	$204	107	107	+0	No	-$1	05-18 15:16
Will the Democratic Party win the GA-04 House seat?	2	$204	108	108	+0	open	—	08-06 04:17
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	3	$204	105	105	+0	No	+$5	05-14 04:30
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota governor race in 2026?	2	$202	107	107	+0	open	—	09-13 08:28
Chisinau: Sumit Nagal vs Zdenek Kolar	6	$196	295	295	+0	Sumit Nagal	-$108	05-27 15:11
China coup attempt before 2027?	3	$193	100	100	+0	open	—	06-02 04:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	3	$189	100	100	+0	Up	+$9	06-02 15:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-23 14:13:55	Will the Democratic Party win the CA-39 House seat?	Yes	SELL	60	94¢	$56	0xbb6f63…
09-13 13:59:37	Will the Democratic Party win the CA-39 House seat?	Yes	BUY	60	95¢	$57	0x79fcf5…
09-13 08:28:03	Will the Democrats win the Minnesota governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	107	95¢	$102	0x0b240b…
08-09 15:32:51	Will the Democrats win the Minnesota governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	107	94¢	$101	0x9fde68…
08-06 04:17:53	Will the Democratic Party win the GA-04 House seat?	Yes	SELL	108	94¢	$102	0x60e1c4…
08-03 12:25:44	Will the Democratic Party win the GA-04 House seat?	Yes	BUY	108	95¢	$102	0x2e8cb1…
07-29 13:59:42	Will the Democratic Party win the AL-07 House seat?	Yes	SELL	110	93¢	$102	0x496b77…
07-28 14:40:58	Will the Democratic Party win the AL-07 House seat?	Yes	BUY	110	94¢	$103	0x0a8ea6…
07-28 14:31:32	Will the Democratic Party win the CT-04 House seat?	Yes	SELL	110	94¢	$103	0xc931ab…
07-27 15:34:43	Will the Democratic Party win the CT-04 House seat?	Yes	BUY	110	95¢	$104	0xa01156…
07-27 15:26:10	Will Eduardo Paes win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?	Yes	SELL	100	93¢	$93	0x6db31c…
07-27 05:07:48	Will Eduardo Paes win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?	Yes	BUY	100	93¢	$93	0x74fa39…
07-27 04:17:24	Will the Republican Party win the MN-07 House seat?	Yes	SELL	110	93¢	$102	0x13c6c0…
07-26 14:27:58	Will the Republican Party win the MN-07 House seat?	Yes	BUY	110	94¢	$103	0x9a68e4…
07-24 04:56:04	Will the Democratic Party win the OR-06 House seat?	Yes	SELL	110	94¢	$103	0xb1682d…
07-23 13:26:45	Will the Democratic Party win the OR-06 House seat?	Yes	BUY	110	94¢	$103	0xf94896…
07-22 04:27:09	Will the Democratic Party win the CA-21 House seat?	Yes	SELL	120	90¢	$108	0xa079c2…
07-21 15:03:18	Will the Democratic Party win the CA-21 House seat?	Yes	BUY	120	91¢	$109	0x1b1be4…
07-21 14:54:34	Will the Democratic Party win the NY-15 House seat?	Yes	SELL	119	94¢	$112	0x5a1b9b…
07-20 14:20:31	Will the Democratic Party win the NY-15 House seat?	Yes	BUY	119	94¢	$112	0x6f5a51…
07-17 06:10:28	Will the Republican Party win the IL-15 House seat?	Yes	SELL	120	93¢	$112	0x1d1462…
07-16 04:41:28	Will the Republican Party win the IL-15 House seat?	Yes	BUY	120	94¢	$113	0xfb30fc…
07-16 04:34:44	Will the Republican Party win the AL-03 House seat?	Yes	SELL	50	93¢	$46	0xa5dfe5…
07-16 04:34:37	Will the Republican Party win the FL-28 House seat?	Yes	SELL	71	92¢	$65	0xdf35e5…
07-15 15:31:17	Will the Republican Party win the AL-03 House seat?	Yes	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0x798166…
07-15 15:28:05	Will the Republican Party win the FL-28 House seat?	Yes	BUY	71	93¢	$66	0xb912c4…
07-15 05:13:19	Will the Republican Party win the AL-06 House seat?	Yes	SELL	66	93¢	$61	0x000766…
07-14 15:47:28	Will the Republican Party win the AL-06 House seat?	Yes	BUY	66	93¢	$61	0x33d57e…
07-14 15:45:55	Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-01 House seat?	Yes	SELL	57	93¢	$53	0x1fe049…
07-14 15:45:43	Will the Democratic Party win the MS-02 House seat?	Yes	SELL	70	91¢	$64	0x9f0f07…
07-14 05:11:58	Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-01 House seat?	Yes	BUY	57	94¢	$54	0x5e9952…
07-14 05:08:22	Will the Democratic Party win the MS-02 House seat?	Yes	BUY	70	92¢	$64	0xa9fa8c…
07-14 04:27:50	Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-10 House seat?	Yes	SELL	55	94¢	$52	0x5c7d27…
07-14 04:27:35	Will the Republican Party win the MO-06 House seat?	Yes	SELL	70	93¢	$65	0xe69aef…
07-13 15:26:58	Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-10 House seat?	Yes	BUY	55	94¢	$52	0x730bb8…
07-13 15:21:59	Will the Republican Party win the MO-06 House seat?	Yes	BUY	70	93¢	$65	0xd47436…
07-08 14:30:31	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	159	30¢	$47	0x1daf39…
07-08 14:10:26	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	158	39¢	$62	0x3dcf1b…
07-08 13:46:01	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-08 13:45 UTC	Up	BUY	38	40¢	$15	0x1ccfc2…
07-08 12:57:46	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-08 12:45 UTC	Down	SELL	6	95¢	$6	0xf59f70…
07-08 12:57:46	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-08 12:45 UTC	Down	SELL	13	95¢	$12	0xa68665…
07-08 12:57:46	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-08 12:45 UTC	Down	SELL	13	95¢	$12	0x877f82…
07-08 12:57:46	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-08 12:45 UTC	Down	SELL	3	95¢	$2	0x0da82d…
07-08 12:57:44	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-08 12:45 UTC	Down	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xf6bb67…
07-08 12:57:44	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-08 12:45 UTC	Down	SELL	16	95¢	$15	0x59c3af…
07-08 12:57:43	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-08 12:45 UTC	Down	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x019b51…
07-08 12:41:19	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-08 12:45 UTC	Down	BUY	54	48¢	$26	0x2c5490…
07-08 12:40:34	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-08 12:30 UTC	Up	SELL	50	3¢	$2	0x341640…
07-08 12:31:22	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-08 12:30 UTC	Up	BUY	50	32¢	$16	0x222bf3…
07-08 12:22:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 12:20 UTC	Down	BUY	28	72¢	$20	0x975ce7…
07-08 12:08:50	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622192122521	No	SELL	59	77¢	$46	0xdde9a0…
07-08 12:08:35	ukraine signs peace deal with russia by august 31 20260619003108240	No	SELL	70	94¢	$66	0x31807b…
07-07 15:04:52	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622192122521	No	BUY	59	96¢	$57	0x906420…
07-07 15:00:40	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	175	29¢	$51	0xb2214d…
07-07 14:58:41	ukraine signs peace deal with russia by august 31 20260619003108240	No	BUY	70	96¢	$67	0x80655f…
07-07 05:06:22	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	175	26¢	$45	0x1bf1b0…
07-06 14:37:55	bitcoin up or down july 6 2026 10am et	Down	SELL	155	22¢	$34	0x8af3f3…
07-06 14:36:34	bitcoin up or down july 6 2026 10am et	Down	SELL	110	12¢	$14	0x139f48…
07-06 14:20:31	bitcoin up or down july 6 2026 10am et	Down	BUY	273	44¢	$120	0x4942b8…
07-06 12:50:47	China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	66	91¢	$60	0x8736f4…
07-06 12:50:32	Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?	No	SELL	70	93¢	$65	0x223655…
07-04 13:55:17	China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	66	94¢	$62	0xaedcd5…
07-04 13:45:58	Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?	No	BUY	70	94¢	$66	0x6096ab…
07-04 13:18:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-04 13:15 UTC	Up	BUY	30	84¢	$25	0xfe8cfa…
07-02 20:19:40	putin and zelenskyy shake hands by august 31	No	SELL	57	97¢	$55	0x3f2f82…
07-02 20:19:26	Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?	Yes	SELL	65	95¢	$62	0xa74808…
07-01 14:45:47	putin and zelenskyy shake hands by august 31	No	BUY	57	99¢	$56	0x386dd9…
07-01 14:32:13	Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?	Yes	BUY	65	95¢	$62	0xd1c186…
07-01 13:50:19	Will Xi Jinping purge Ding Xuexiang in 2026?	No	SELL	63	95¢	$60	0x502ccf…
07-01 13:50:10	US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?	No	SELL	68	96¢	$66	0x6641ac…
06-30 16:37:22	US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?	No	BUY	68	97¢	$66	0xa15ea0…
06-30 16:23:04	Will Xi Jinping purge Ding Xuexiang in 2026?	No	BUY	63	95¢	$60	0xb56e8b…
06-30 15:24:11	Will the Republican Party win the MS-03 House seat?	Yes	SELL	64	93¢	$59	0xe97b97…
06-30 15:24:02	Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?	No	SELL	71	90¢	$65	0xb5ea2e…
06-29 16:09:25	Will the Republican Party win the MS-03 House seat?	Yes	BUY	64	94¢	$60	0x538635…
06-29 16:06:52	Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?	No	BUY	71	91¢	$65	0x7f777a…
06-29 15:41:43	Will the Democratic Party win the IL-06 House seat?	Yes	SELL	66	94¢	$61	0xe40c9c…
06-29 15:41:28	Will the Republicans win the Tennessee Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	69	93¢	$64	0x813128…
06-29 05:27:04	Will the Republicans win the Tennessee Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	69	94¢	$65	0x835dd6…
06-29 05:25:56	Will the Democratic Party win the IL-06 House seat?	Yes	BUY	66	94¢	$62	0x157e7f…
06-29 04:41:44	Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	60	93¢	$55	0x075303…
06-29 04:41:32	Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?	Yes	SELL	78	94¢	$74	0xa0806a…
06-28 14:29:16	Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?	Yes	BUY	78	96¢	$75	0x0e2405…
06-28 14:25:17	Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	60	94¢	$56	0xc1eab5…
06-28 13:19:38	Will Victor Marx win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	SELL	66	95¢	$63	0x6ed496…
06-28 13:19:22	Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?	Yes	SELL	76	90¢	$68	0xcea2ac…
06-27 06:07:34	Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?	Yes	BUY	76	92¢	$70	0xa8987b…
06-27 06:05:40	Will Victor Marx win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	BUY	66	92¢	$61	0x4ffab8…
06-27 04:45:22	Will US annex any territory in 2026?	No	SELL	60	92¢	$55	0x8da6d6…
06-27 04:45:07	US recession by end of 2026?	No	SELL	89	88¢	$78	0xc50c6e…
06-26 14:47:41	US recession by end of 2026?	No	BUY	89	90¢	$80	0xa4f690…
06-26 14:45:35	Will US annex any territory in 2026?	No	BUY	60	94¢	$56	0x4ff95f…
06-25 17:50:56	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-25 17:45 UTC	Down	BUY	186	59¢	$110	0x80d72c…
06-25 10:53:19	Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?	No	SELL	56	96¢	$54	0x1f200a…
06-25 10:52:17	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	59	94¢	$56	0x2cadca…
06-24 16:35:40	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	BUY	59	94¢	$56	0xa3c37c…
06-24 16:11:35	Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?	No	BUY	56	95¢	$53	0xe7e55b…
06-24 10:07:13	Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?	No	SELL	60	93¢	$56	0xdf7735…
06-24 10:06:59	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	60	94¢	$57	0x91d27a…
06-23 15:37:28	Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?	No	BUY	54	94¢	$51	0xa485a9…