Hairy-Clef — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$20

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

88.9%

Resolved

Trades

764

lifetime

Volume

$19.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$25

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-06

last 07-08 13:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

65% 78% +$20

Other

29% — —

Politics

5% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

37 active days in 12wk • peak 80 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets april 13 april 15 40 64	5	$282	600	600	+0	open	—	04-14 07:44
atp cobolli bergs 2026 04 15	34	$243	2,111	2,111	+0	open	—	04-15 14:44
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	10	$236	391	283	+108	open	—	04-28 00:09
elon musk of tweets april 11 april 13 115 139	2	$234	600	600	+0	open	—	04-13 09:53
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	2	$229	123	123	+0	open	—	06-10 13:16
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	4	$225	119	119	+0	open	—	06-25 10:52
bitcoin up or down june 10 2026 10am et	2	$214	111	111	+0	open	—	06-10 14:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	2	$205	106	106	+0	open	—	06-02 12:23
Chisinau: Sumit Nagal vs Zdenek Kolar	6	$196	295	295	+0	open	—	05-27 15:11
China coup attempt before 2027?	3	$193	100	100	+0	open	—	06-02 04:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	3	$189	100	100	+0	open	—	06-02 15:59
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	2	$177	90	90	+0	open	—	06-12 12:42
Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026?	2	$176	93	93	+0	open	—	06-20 06:25
elon musk of tweets april 6 april 8 65 89	5	$175	125	125	+0	open	—	04-08 03:52
EU dissolves before 2027?	2	$174	90	90	+0	open	—	06-15 04:11
Roland Garros WTA: Tamara Korpatsch vs Xinyu Wang	6	$174	120	120	+0	open	—	05-27 11:39
bitcoin up or down july 6 2026 10am et	3	$167	273	265	+8	open	—	07-06 14:37
elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 280 299	2	$165	500	500	+0	open	—	04-12 11:47
US recession by end of 2026?	2	$158	89	89	+0	open	—	06-27 04:45
elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 260 279	8	$158	1,170	1,169	+1	open	—	04-16 04:27
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	6	$158	160	160	+0	open	—	04-10 23:25
btc updown 15m 1780960500	2	$139	140	0	+140	open	—	06-08 23:25
ukraine signs peace deal with russia by august 31 20260619003108240	2	$133	70	70	+0	open	—	07-08 12:08
btc updown 5m 1781182500	22	$132	200	200	+0	open	—	06-11 12:57
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?	2	$132	68	68	+0	open	—	07-01 13:50
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	2	$132	68	68	+0	open	—	06-18 04:51
Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?	2	$131	70	70	+0	open	—	07-06 12:50
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?	2	$130	71	71	+0	open	—	06-30 15:24
NATO dissolves before 2027?	2	$127	60	72	-12	open	—	06-15 15:48
Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?	2	$124	65	65	+0	open	—	07-02 20:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-08 13:46:01	btc updown 15m 1783518300	Up	BUY	38	40¢	$15	0x1ccfc2…
07-08 12:57:46	btc updown 15m 1783514700	Down	SELL	6	95¢	$6	0xf59f70…
07-08 12:57:46	btc updown 15m 1783514700	Down	SELL	13	95¢	$12	0xa68665…
07-08 12:57:46	btc updown 15m 1783514700	Down	SELL	13	95¢	$12	0x877f82…
07-08 12:57:46	btc updown 15m 1783514700	Down	SELL	3	95¢	$2	0x0da82d…
07-08 12:57:44	btc updown 15m 1783514700	Down	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xf6bb67…
07-08 12:57:44	btc updown 15m 1783514700	Down	SELL	16	95¢	$15	0x59c3af…
07-08 12:57:43	btc updown 15m 1783514700	Down	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x019b51…
07-08 12:41:19	btc updown 15m 1783514700	Down	BUY	54	48¢	$26	0x2c5490…
07-08 12:40:34	btc updown 15m 1783513800	Up	SELL	50	3¢	$2	0x341640…
07-08 12:31:22	btc updown 15m 1783513800	Up	BUY	50	32¢	$16	0x222bf3…
07-08 12:22:02	btc updown 5m 1783513200	Down	BUY	28	72¢	$20	0x975ce7…
07-08 12:08:50	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622192122521	No	SELL	59	77¢	$46	0xdde9a0…
07-08 12:08:35	ukraine signs peace deal with russia by august 31 20260619003108240	No	SELL	70	94¢	$66	0x31807b…
07-07 15:04:52	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622192122521	No	BUY	59	96¢	$57	0x906420…
07-07 14:58:41	ukraine signs peace deal with russia by august 31 20260619003108240	No	BUY	70	96¢	$67	0x80655f…
07-06 14:37:55	bitcoin up or down july 6 2026 10am et	Down	SELL	155	22¢	$34	0x8af3f3…
07-06 14:36:34	bitcoin up or down july 6 2026 10am et	Down	SELL	110	12¢	$14	0x139f48…
07-06 14:20:31	bitcoin up or down july 6 2026 10am et	Down	BUY	273	44¢	$120	0x4942b8…
07-06 12:50:47	China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	66	91¢	$60	0x8736f4…
07-06 12:50:32	Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?	No	SELL	70	93¢	$65	0x223655…
07-04 13:55:17	China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	66	94¢	$62	0xaedcd5…
07-04 13:45:58	Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?	No	BUY	70	94¢	$66	0x6096ab…
07-04 13:18:16	btc updown 5m 1783170900	Up	BUY	30	84¢	$25	0xfe8cfa…
07-02 20:19:40	putin and zelenskyy shake hands by august 31	No	SELL	57	97¢	$55	0x3f2f82…
07-02 20:19:26	Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?	Yes	SELL	65	95¢	$62	0xa74808…
07-01 14:45:47	putin and zelenskyy shake hands by august 31	No	BUY	57	99¢	$56	0x386dd9…
07-01 14:32:13	Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?	Yes	BUY	65	95¢	$62	0xd1c186…
07-01 13:50:19	Will Xi Jinping purge Ding Xuexiang in 2026?	No	SELL	63	95¢	$60	0x502ccf…
07-01 13:50:10	US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?	No	SELL	68	96¢	$66	0x6641ac…
06-30 16:37:22	US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?	No	BUY	68	97¢	$66	0xa15ea0…
06-30 16:23:04	Will Xi Jinping purge Ding Xuexiang in 2026?	No	BUY	63	95¢	$60	0xb56e8b…
06-30 15:24:02	Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?	No	SELL	71	90¢	$65	0xb5ea2e…
06-29 16:06:52	Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?	No	BUY	71	91¢	$65	0x7f777a…
06-29 04:41:44	Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	60	93¢	$55	0x075303…
06-28 14:25:17	Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	60	94¢	$56	0xc1eab5…
06-27 04:45:22	Will US annex any territory in 2026?	No	SELL	60	92¢	$55	0x8da6d6…
06-27 04:45:07	US recession by end of 2026?	No	SELL	89	88¢	$78	0xc50c6e…
06-26 14:47:41	US recession by end of 2026?	No	BUY	89	90¢	$80	0xa4f690…
06-26 14:45:35	Will US annex any territory in 2026?	No	BUY	60	94¢	$56	0x4ff95f…
06-25 17:50:56	btc updown 15m 1782409500	Down	BUY	186	59¢	$110	0x80d72c…
06-25 10:53:19	Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?	No	SELL	56	96¢	$54	0x1f200a…
06-25 10:52:17	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	59	94¢	$56	0x2cadca…
06-24 16:35:40	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	BUY	59	94¢	$56	0xa3c37c…
06-24 16:11:35	Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?	No	BUY	56	95¢	$53	0xe7e55b…
06-24 10:07:13	Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?	No	SELL	60	93¢	$56	0xdf7735…
06-24 10:06:59	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	60	94¢	$57	0x91d27a…
06-23 15:37:28	Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?	No	BUY	54	94¢	$51	0xa485a9…
06-23 15:21:52	Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?	No	BUY	0	94¢	$0	0x8bab2e…
06-23 15:14:17	Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xf1b7c2…
06-23 15:06:44	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	BUY	60	94¢	$57	0x195029…
06-23 10:05:59	Fed abolished before 2027?	No	SELL	54	98¢	$53	0x862777…
06-22 16:54:26	Fed abolished before 2027?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x399e04…
06-22 16:53:01	Fed abolished before 2027?	No	BUY	25	97¢	$24	0xb1313d…
06-22 16:52:17	Fed abolished before 2027?	No	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0x0dd0be…
06-22 15:46:52	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	No	SELL	60	99¢	$59	0x12d913…
06-22 05:11:23	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	No	BUY	60	98¢	$59	0xdd7a9b…
06-22 04:07:35	starmer out by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	60	96¢	$58	0x34dd86…
06-21 14:11:52	starmer out by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	60	97¢	$58	0x16fb4a…
06-20 19:08:07	atp giron broom 2026 06 20	Charles Broom	SELL	100	4¢	$4	0x29fb47…
06-20 18:15:52	atp giron broom 2026 06 20	Charles Broom	BUY	70	47¢	$33	0x37be5b…
06-20 18:10:52	btc updown 5m 1781979000	Up	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0xd724e9…
06-20 18:04:41	atp giron broom 2026 06 20	Charles Broom	BUY	110	64¢	$70	0xf3b685…
06-20 17:52:52	btc updown 15m 1781977500	Up	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0x38ff0d…
06-20 17:33:19	btc updown 5m 1781976600	Up	SELL	42	85¢	$35	0x20aa0b…
06-20 17:30:19	btc updown 5m 1781976600	Up	BUY	83	42¢	$35	0x6c75f1…
06-20 17:28:55	btc updown 15m 1781976600	Up	BUY	82	50¢	$41	0xafecf1…
06-20 17:27:49	btc updown 15m 1781975700	Up	SELL	109	5¢	$5	0x0f3326…
06-20 17:19:43	btc updown 15m 1781975700	Up	BUY	109	33¢	$36	0xb4fba7…
06-20 16:47:16	btc updown 15m 1781973900	Up	BUY	20	37¢	$7	0x06b7d8…
06-20 16:46:23	btc updown 15m 1781973900	Up	BUY	36	42¢	$15	0xc6e140…
06-20 16:43:38	btc updown 5m 1781973600	Up	SELL	38	7¢	$3	0xf229dd…
06-20 16:40:13	btc updown 5m 1781973600	Up	BUY	38	42¢	$16	0x2107c0…
06-20 16:38:40	btc updown 5m 1781973300	Up	BUY	31	85¢	$26	0x1b9bb8…
06-20 16:33:32	btc updown 5m 1781973000	Down	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xf29d6d…
06-20 16:33:32	btc updown 5m 1781973000	Down	SELL	7	96¢	$6	0xce236f…
06-20 16:33:32	btc updown 5m 1781973000	Down	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x30aa01…
06-20 16:33:31	btc updown 5m 1781973000	Down	SELL	6	96¢	$6	0x913b06…
06-20 16:31:58	btc updown 5m 1781973000	Down	BUY	23	91¢	$21	0x55f92b…
06-20 15:45:34	btc updown 5m 1781970300	Up	BUY	28	75¢	$21	0xf442a7…
06-20 15:19:41	btc updown 5m 1781968800	Up	BUY	57	44¢	$25	0x4000a5…
06-20 15:19:07	btc updown 5m 1781968500	Up	SELL	51	99¢	$51	0xc297d0…
06-20 15:14:47	btc updown 5m 1781968500	Up	BUY	51	49¢	$25	0xff8862…
06-20 14:48:23	btc updown 5m 1781967000	Up	BUY	151	41¢	$62	0x00e193…
06-20 14:26:44	btc updown 15m 1781964900	Up	BUY	64	99¢	$64	0x6a1c8a…
06-20 14:18:47	btc updown 5m 1781965200	Up	BUY	64	51¢	$33	0xff8e24…
06-20 14:10:52	btc updown 5m 1781964600	Up	BUY	47	64¢	$30	0xe80fe7…
06-20 14:03:19	btc updown 5m 1781964000	Up	SELL	46	5¢	$2	0xf1fffc…
06-20 14:00:02	btc updown 5m 1781964000	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xf85f17…
06-20 14:00:02	btc updown 5m 1781964000	Up	BUY	15	49¢	$7	0xd0b235…
06-20 14:00:02	btc updown 5m 1781964000	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xcabf65…
06-20 14:00:02	btc updown 5m 1781964000	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xaee4c3…
06-20 14:00:02	btc updown 5m 1781964000	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x82d57a…
06-20 14:00:02	btc updown 5m 1781964000	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x5a1233…
06-20 14:00:02	btc updown 5m 1781964000	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x4fa341…
06-20 13:57:29	btc updown 5m 1781963700	Down	SELL	130	15¢	$19	0x3b45b0…
06-20 13:54:26	btc updown 5m 1781963700	Down	BUY	130	48¢	$62	0x45a7f0…
06-20 13:49:55	btc updown 5m 1781963400	Down	BUY	67	52¢	$35	0xe9d902…
06-20 13:44:44	btc updown 5m 1781963100	Down	BUY	41	51¢	$21	0x594de5…
06-20 13:34:41	btc updown 5m 1781962200	Up	SELL	35	95¢	$34	0xdb9962…