Realized P&L
-$201
Unrealized P&L
-$85
Hit rate
62.7%
Resolved
235
Trades
330
lifetime
Volume
$5.83K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$18
Open exposure
$955
30 positions
First seen
2026-02-13
last 07-12 00:40
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 52 days
Categories
Politics
55% 68% -$114
Other
43% 63% -$63
Sports
2% 54% -$18
Crypto
0% 0% -$5
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-12).
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -1,111 -$101 16¢ $-173 -$71 06-24 01:31
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -5,182 -$47 2¢ $-130 -$83 07-04 16:06
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -2,754 -$104 4¢ $-98 +$7 06-03 01:43
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -4,177 -$50 2¢ $-81 -$31 06-03 14:28
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -1,576 -$65 5¢ $-80 -$16 07-04 16:05
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -1,421 -$69 5¢ $-73 -$4 06-03 01:43
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -2,857 -$20 2¢ $-53 -$33 06-03 15:51
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -1,850 -$17 2¢ $-36 -$19 07-11 19:09
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -2,110 -$21 1¢ $-31 -$9 07-04 16:07
Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -5,778 -$46 0¢ $-20 +$26 07-11 19:09
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -1,111 -$21 2¢ $-19 +$2 06-03 02:16
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -5,381 -$38 0¢ $-19 +$19 07-11 19:09
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -476 -$12 4¢ $-17 -$5 06-03 01:42
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes -18 -$15 94¢ $-17 -$2 06-03 02:16
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes -87 -$17 15¢ $-13 +$5 04-28 18:22
Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -1,667 -$15 1¢ $-12 +$2 06-03 15:51
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -12 -$10 96¢ $-11 -$1 05-13 11:11
Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -3,125 -$25 0¢ $-11 +$14 07-04 16:05
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes -125 -$44 8¢ $-11 +$33 04-28 13:13
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -3,000 -$18 0¢ $-10 +$8 07-04 16:07
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -1,333 -$9 1¢ $-7 +$2 07-11 19:10
Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -3,571 -$32 0¢ $-5 +$27 06-03 01:43
Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -1,818 -$16 0¢ $-5 +$12 07-11 19:09
Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -2,857 -$20 0¢ $-4 +$16 06-12 12:47
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -20 -$4 16¢ $-3 +$0 07-11 19:10
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -2,000 -$16 0¢ $-3 +$13 07-04 16:07
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026? Yes -4 -$2 80¢ $-3 -$1 06-03 01:44
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes -4 -$2 68¢ $-3 -$1 06-03 01:44
Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -1,818 -$11 0¢ $-3 +$8 06-03 15:51
Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026? Yes -2 -$2 90¢ $-2 $0 06-03 01:54