Shimmering-Simplicity — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$8

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

171

lifetime

Volume

$15.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$93

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-04

last 06-21 03:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Sports

43% 0% $-5

Other

32% 0% $-3

Crypto

16% — —

Politics

8% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	9	$1.1K	546	546	+0	No	$-1	03-11 12:55
will bitcoin reach 90k in march 2026	9	$1.0K	522	522	+0	open	—	03-13 21:15
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	6	$762	396	396	+0	open	—	04-09 04:57
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	4	$693	368	368	+0	Yes	$-1	03-09 02:20
will atltico madrid reach the uefa champions league quarter finals	4	$638	331	331	+0	open	—	03-16 21:18
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	4	$607	318	318	+0	open	—	03-26 20:31
Netanyahu out by April 30?	7	$598	310	310	+0	open	—	03-30 04:06
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	4	$473	252	252	+0	open	—	04-07 22:39
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?	4	$420	215	215	+0	open	—	04-12 22:02
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	3	$376	196	196	+0	No	$-4	03-05 00:15
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	4	$365	195	195	+0	open	—	03-04 10:18
Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	5	$364	191	191	+0	open	—	03-07 16:34
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$354	181	181	+0	No	$-1	03-10 17:16
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	4	$353	190	190	+0	open	—	03-08 19:13
will bitcoin dip to 45k in march 2026	2	$335	172	172	+0	open	—	03-12 01:15
Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$332	171	171	+0	open	—	03-12 13:17
will matt fitzpatrick win the 2026 masters tournament	4	$319	163	163	+0	open	—	03-20 00:23
will bitcoin dip to 50k in march 2026	2	$312	159	159	+0	open	—	03-23 19:42
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$311	160	160	+0	open	—	03-17 11:19
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	6	$310	162	162	+0	open	—	05-19 19:05
will cameron young win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$308	159	159	+0	open	—	03-15 23:04
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	2	$306	158	158	+0	open	—	03-16 13:27
Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$303	156	156	+0	No	$-1	03-17 15:42
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	3	$300	153	153	+0	open	—	03-23 06:08
will purdue win the 2026 ncaa tournament	3	$299	156	156	+0	open	—	03-20 10:50
Will Man City win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$299	151	151	+0	open	—	03-17 21:24
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	2	$295	153	153	+0	open	—	03-27 19:03
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$294	151	151	+0	open	—	03-27 02:23
Will the Anaheim Ducks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$289	148	148	+0	open	—	03-29 03:09
will crude oil cl hit low 85 by end of march 893 949 456 773	3	$288	148	148	+0	open	—	03-28 17:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-21 03:54:29	Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	72	95¢	$68	0x84a2fa…
06-20 23:50:29	Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	72	96¢	$69	0x5443c6…
06-19 16:00:07	Will Netherlands advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	72	92¢	$66	0xf4d392…
06-19 09:57:23	Will Netherlands advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	72	93¢	$67	0x0ef661…
06-19 04:34:02	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	59	90¢	$53	0x3cc39d…
06-19 00:04:44	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	59	91¢	$54	0xcffb2e…
06-17 07:37:47	will croatia reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149754	No	SELL	45	91¢	$41	0x027701…
06-16 23:35:47	will croatia reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149754	No	BUY	45	92¢	$41	0x8efafd…
06-16 23:05:38	Will Ecuador reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	48	97¢	$47	0xe62e6b…
06-16 16:58:26	Will Ecuador reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	48	98¢	$47	0xfead04…
06-15 20:37:37	Will Ivory Coast reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	49	98¢	$48	0x900d2c…
06-15 08:54:09	will croatia reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149754	No	BUY	57	92¢	$53	0x725a94…
06-13 19:22:57	Will USA reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	59	92¢	$54	0x3ba0fc…
06-13 11:19:09	Will USA reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	59	94¢	$55	0x9d069e…
06-12 12:44:46	Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	97¢	$19	0xe9026e…
06-12 05:38:52	Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x6923a7…
06-11 04:24:49	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	51	94¢	$48	0x346287…
06-10 23:22:04	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	51	95¢	$48	0x188d68…
06-10 06:24:10	will bitcoin reach 75k in june 2026	No	SELL	48	93¢	$45	0xdb9b1d…
06-09 23:17:13	will bitcoin reach 75k in june 2026	No	BUY	48	95¢	$46	0x61ccca…
06-09 15:56:43	Will Switzerland reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	20	96¢	$19	0x12aafd…
06-09 09:56:21	Will Switzerland reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x9b783e…
06-07 04:22:45	Will Belgium advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	49	95¢	$46	0x99fd07…
06-06 22:11:54	Will Belgium advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	49	96¢	$47	0x5c1288…
06-06 21:38:19	Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	41	97¢	$40	0xc381ee…
06-06 14:32:48	Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	41	97¢	$40	0x385d0e…
06-06 09:15:31	Will Argentina advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	63	95¢	$60	0xe42665…
06-06 03:05:06	Will Argentina advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	63	96¢	$60	0xe601ce…
06-04 22:04:49	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	65	92¢	$60	0xe903a6…
06-04 15:00:22	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	65	93¢	$60	0x134b5e…
06-04 14:26:18	spacex ipo closing market cap above 3pt2t	No	SELL	62	94¢	$58	0x8ffebe…
06-04 09:22:19	spacex ipo closing market cap above 3pt2t	No	BUY	62	93¢	$57	0xb1fb53…
06-04 08:47:21	will bitcoin dip to 47pt5k in june 2026 352	No	SELL	42	93¢	$39	0xd3f022…
06-04 03:45:27	will bitcoin dip to 47pt5k in june 2026 352	No	BUY	42	94¢	$39	0xbf0049…
06-03 20:37:34	Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	58	95¢	$55	0x7159df…
06-03 14:32:13	Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	58	97¢	$56	0xa35b50…
05-19 19:05:30	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	No	SELL	58	95¢	$55	0x8c252f…
05-19 13:00:54	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	No	BUY	58	96¢	$55	0x61a02d…
05-19 12:23:21	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	No	SELL	61	96¢	$59	0x45c246…
05-19 08:22:30	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	No	BUY	61	96¢	$59	0xb050f9…
05-18 03:37:30	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	No	SELL	44	94¢	$41	0xf4beee…
05-16 03:32:30	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	No	BUY	44	96¢	$42	0xe7f5fa…
05-12 09:36:40	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	No	SELL	49	97¢	$47	0x35de96…
05-06 06:15:48	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	No	BUY	49	96¢	$47	0x44a751…
04-19 18:43:20	nba orl det 2026 04 19 points jalen suggs 2pt5	Yes	SELL	56	53¢	$30	0x17b9ca…
04-19 09:33:36	nba orl det 2026 04 19 points jalen suggs 2pt5	Yes	BUY	56	97¢	$54	0x39ec9a…
04-14 22:13:06	Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	40	96¢	$38	0xa464b5…
04-14 00:23:39	Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	40	96¢	$38	0x6c6479…
04-14 00:09:33	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	51	92¢	$47	0x4ee5a7…
04-13 17:02:01	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	51	93¢	$47	0x95849f…
04-13 16:14:45	Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	SELL	53	96¢	$50	0x1d7576…
04-13 10:03:57	Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	BUY	53	96¢	$51	0x2ce5d3…
04-13 08:52:15	Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	SELL	40	95¢	$38	0x923dd8…
04-13 03:01:25	Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	BUY	40	95¢	$38	0x573924…
04-12 22:02:01	Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	57	98¢	$56	0xea5dca…
04-12 17:01:17	Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	57	98¢	$56	0x1a9ea7…
04-12 08:39:23	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	51	96¢	$49	0xbe820a…
04-12 00:00:25	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	51	96¢	$49	0xd10abf…
04-11 23:50:31	will shane lowry win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	63	93¢	$59	0x1f0367…
04-11 17:49:13	will shane lowry win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0x4d22a3…
04-11 17:44:31	will shane lowry win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	52	98¢	$51	0x4a0216…
04-10 01:00:31	Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	42	96¢	$40	0x5102d4…
04-09 17:53:05	Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	42	97¢	$40	0xe78d48…
04-09 14:32:07	Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	57	97¢	$56	0x9bdfef…
04-09 06:20:25	Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	57	97¢	$56	0x8df22a…
04-09 04:57:55	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	SELL	58	96¢	$55	0x2a88ff…
04-08 21:19:37	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	BUY	58	96¢	$55	0xaf836b…
04-08 13:38:49	Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	43	98¢	$42	0xc19950…
04-08 08:02:49	Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	43	98¢	$42	0x47c735…
04-07 22:39:41	Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	66	96¢	$63	0x716f02…
04-07 15:27:47	Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	66	96¢	$63	0x79febe…
03-31 15:05:07	Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	62	97¢	$60	0x823d33…
03-31 05:21:57	Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	62	98¢	$60	0x6f404a…
03-30 04:06:22	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	SELL	158	97¢	$152	0xeed867…
03-29 22:36:10	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	BUY	158	97¢	$153	0x589da6…
03-29 03:09:46	Will the Anaheim Ducks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	148	97¢	$145	0xc395d4…
03-28 20:36:56	Will the Anaheim Ducks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	148	98¢	$145	0x949efd…
03-28 17:54:55	will crude oil cl hit low 85 by end of march 893 949 456 773	No	SELL	148	97¢	$144	0x6a13a1…
03-28 10:27:31	will crude oil cl hit low 85 by end of march 893 949 456 773	No	BUY	48	97¢	$47	0x054e56…
03-28 10:26:03	will crude oil cl hit low 85 by end of march 893 949 456 773	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0x71db64…
03-28 02:11:35	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	SELL	152	96¢	$146	0x378391…
03-27 20:22:45	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	BUY	47	97¢	$45	0xa4aace…
03-27 20:22:45	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x1126a5…
03-27 20:15:21	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	BUY	0	97¢	$0	0xbe720d…
03-27 20:10:59	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	BUY	95	97¢	$92	0x22195c…
03-27 19:03:59	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	SELL	153	96¢	$148	0x8fc685…
03-27 13:53:27	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	153	96¢	$147	0x12325e…
03-27 02:23:05	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	151	98¢	$147	0xd194fa…
03-26 21:54:45	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	151	97¢	$147	0x371dc8…
03-26 20:31:43	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	154	96¢	$148	0x1c7be7…
03-26 13:48:05	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	154	96¢	$148	0x69e669…
03-24 14:06:57	Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	158	97¢	$154	0x705711…
03-24 10:04:09	Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	158	98¢	$154	0x4616ec…
03-23 19:42:05	will bitcoin dip to 50k in march 2026	No	SELL	159	98¢	$156	0x2e2cd3…
03-23 08:14:05	will bitcoin dip to 50k in march 2026	No	BUY	159	98¢	$156	0x9c9db6…
03-23 06:08:43	Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	153	98¢	$150	0xa5ead6…
03-23 02:30:23	Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	55	98¢	$54	0x0ccf65…
03-23 01:56:17	Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	98	98¢	$96	0x9013af…
03-20 23:42:53	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	164	94¢	$155	0xcb6d27…
03-20 18:36:39	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	164	95¢	$156	0xead1d8…