Whole-Incision — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

8.7%

Resolved

Trades

199

lifetime

Volume

$2.61K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-02

last 07-06 04:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

48% — —

Other

31% 100% +$0

Sports

10% 0% $-0

Tech

9% — —

Politics

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

26 active days in 12wk • peak 37 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	5	$241	122	122	+0	open	—	04-09 23:23
btc updown 15m 1770044400	8	$176	235	232	+3	open	—	02-02 15:12
nba hou phx 2026 04 07	2	$143	102	101	+2	open	—	04-08 05:25
Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?	4	$139	71	71	+0	open	—	03-18 23:51
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	4	$134	68	68	+0	open	—	04-17 10:37
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$105	54	54	+0	No	$-0	03-30 09:11
btc updown 5m 1774502100	2	$74	63	62	+1	open	—	03-26 05:19
will bitcoin reach 90k in march 2026	2	$69	35	35	+0	open	—	03-26 03:29
will crude oil cl hit high 180 by end of march 692	2	$69	35	35	+0	open	—	03-23 15:44
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	2	$69	35	35	+0	open	—	03-20 00:28
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	2	$69	35	35	+0	open	—	04-17 01:03
Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	2	$67	34	34	+0	open	—	04-18 14:35
btc updown 5m 1776090000	2	$62	41	40	+1	open	—	04-13 14:21
Cerebras IPO before 2027?	3	$56	28	28	+0	open	—	05-08 01:56
btc updown 5m 1776089700	2	$54	47	45	+2	open	—	04-13 14:16
Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in May?	2	$54	27	27	+0	open	—	05-14 12:58
Will SpaceX IPO by May 31, 2026?	2	$48	24	24	+0	open	—	05-21 02:07
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?	2	$48	24	24	+0	open	—	05-17 00:10
Will Czechia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$42	21	21	+0	open	—	04-12 08:34
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?	2	$40	20	20	+0	open	—	06-14 09:10
Will XRP reach $2.40 in May?	2	$40	20	20	+0	open	—	05-15 13:56
btc updown 15m 1770043500	2	$38	24	23	+0	open	—	02-02 14:57
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	2	$36	18	18	+0	open	—	05-16 02:49
btc updown 5m 1774497900	1	$35	177	0	+177	open	—	03-26 04:10
Iran leadership change by June 30?	2	$32	16	16	+0	open	—	06-25 04:48
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	2	$32	17	17	+0	open	—	07-01 07:06
btc updown 5m 1775984700	6	$31	35	33	+1	open	—	04-12 09:09
btc updown 5m 1774496100	1	$30	62	0	+62	open	—	03-26 03:35
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$27	13	13	+0	open	—	04-12 08:34
btc updown 5m 1775992800	4	$23	27	26	+1	open	—	04-12 11:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-06 04:49:25	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	7	96¢	$6	0xa135b2…
07-01 07:07:23	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	7	96¢	$6	0xadeaba…
07-01 07:06:46	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	SELL	17	92¢	$16	0x1cc874…
06-29 00:44:32	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	BUY	17	93¢	$16	0x3dfe92…
06-25 04:48:37	Iran leadership change by June 30?	No	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0x776f10…
06-23 07:13:08	Iran leadership change by June 30?	No	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x5433c7…
06-23 07:12:34	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	SELL	8	87¢	$7	0x63581a…
06-23 01:13:29	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0x917318…
06-21 07:51:32	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of June?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x86fe97…
06-14 09:10:58	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xe5c4a5…
06-10 12:50:16	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x0de087…
06-10 12:49:39	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,500 by end of June?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xe6471b…
06-10 12:49:33	Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x4888be…
05-29 08:46:46	Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$10	0x3d5d14…
05-29 08:46:29	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in May?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x6ec4ac…
05-29 08:46:13	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,500 by end of June?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x4340e9…
05-29 08:45:59	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	10	93¢	$9	0x2d6a0d…
05-28 10:04:11	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x07a052…
05-25 02:45:56	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$1	0xaf86a2…
05-25 02:45:52	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x480288…
05-21 15:40:39	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	SELL	4	99¢	$3	0xfdc228…
05-21 15:40:33	Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in May?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x6d7abd…
05-21 15:40:30	Will XRP reach $3.00 in May?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x4f4057…
05-21 02:08:12	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$3	0x630c3b…
05-21 02:07:53	Will XRP reach $3.00 in May?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa927e4…
05-21 02:07:41	Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in May?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc230be…
05-21 02:07:25	Will SpaceX IPO by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0xdd74ae…
05-20 14:47:33	Will SpaceX IPO by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x271ad7…
05-20 14:47:15	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	9	95¢	$9	0xabbfc1…
05-19 10:13:04	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	9	96¢	$9	0xdb23b6…
05-17 00:10:36	Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?	No	SELL	24	99¢	$24	0x684b06…
05-17 00:10:22	Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?	No	BUY	24	99¢	$24	0x5a5078…
05-17 00:09:42	Will Poland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x2366c3…
05-16 10:54:31	Will Poland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd4342c…
05-16 02:49:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0x7964e7…
05-15 14:00:07	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x851ede…
05-15 13:56:57	Will XRP reach $2.40 in May?	No	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0xa26acb…
05-14 12:59:09	Will XRP reach $2.40 in May?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xb80d25…
05-14 12:58:20	Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in May?	No	SELL	27	99¢	$27	0x8c27f1…
05-14 12:57:43	Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in May?	No	BUY	27	99¢	$27	0x32c281…
05-14 12:57:26	Will Frenchie die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x2e0b72…
05-14 12:57:19	Will Frenchie die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x07234d…
05-08 01:56:18	Cerebras IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0xafd3da…
05-05 05:02:40	Cerebras IPO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x4e4fa7…
05-05 05:01:00	Cerebras IPO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xd0ddbf…
04-28 05:06:38	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x6390d7…
04-25 07:36:48	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xfa2654…
04-22 09:16:32	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	64¢	$7	0x25a86d…
04-18 14:36:28	elon musk of tweets april 16 april 18 65 89	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x412452…
04-18 14:36:14	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x4bd5b0…
04-18 14:35:58	Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	SELL	34	99¢	$34	0xb18f47…
04-17 12:10:38	Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x5993a4…
04-17 10:41:58	btc updown 5m 1776422400	Down	SELL	4	20¢	$1	0x870549…
04-17 10:40:54	btc updown 5m 1776422400	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xbeed1c…
04-17 10:39:12	btc updown 5m 1776422100	Down	SELL	3	95¢	$3	0x4f4021…
04-17 10:38:20	btc updown 5m 1776422100	Down	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0xdce4cd…
04-17 10:37:58	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	SELL	35	99¢	$34	0x590489…
04-17 01:03:58	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	35	99¢	$34	0xc479fd…
04-17 01:03:44	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	No	SELL	35	98¢	$34	0xc2bee2…
04-17 01:03:24	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	No	BUY	35	98¢	$34	0x494926…
04-16 11:50:40	btc updown 5m 1776340200	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x2e4b4c…
04-16 11:46:56	btc updown 5m 1776339900	Down	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x75c5db…
04-16 11:43:44	btc updown 5m 1776339600	Up	SELL	5	61¢	$3	0x53537f…
04-16 11:41:16	btc updown 5m 1776339600	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xf5f1a2…
04-16 11:39:06	btc updown 5m 1776339300	Down	SELL	4	77¢	$3	0xfcbf02…
04-16 11:38:24	btc updown 5m 1776339300	Down	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x6fe544…
04-16 11:37:52	btc updown 5m 1776339300	Up	SELL	3	46¢	$1	0x67c22f…
04-16 11:36:30	btc updown 5m 1776339300	Up	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0xdbb23e…
04-16 11:34:08	btc updown 5m 1776339000	Up	SELL	5	82¢	$4	0xbd787a…
04-16 11:32:04	btc updown 5m 1776339000	Up	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x632bc7…
04-16 11:31:42	btc updown 5m 1776339000	Down	SELL	5	58¢	$3	0xba17ca…
04-16 11:30:36	btc updown 5m 1776339000	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x3a9b23…
04-16 11:26:28	btc updown 5m 1776338700	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x36d2c5…
04-16 11:20:18	btc updown 5m 1776338400	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x61f141…
04-16 11:18:34	btc updown 5m 1776338100	Down	SELL	4	67¢	$3	0x689031…
04-16 11:17:56	btc updown 5m 1776338100	Down	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0xb33d5f…
04-16 11:16:38	btc updown 5m 1776338100	Down	SELL	6	54¢	$3	0x01713c…
04-16 11:15:58	btc updown 5m 1776338100	Down	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0xc482f3…
04-16 11:11:12	btc updown 5m 1776337800	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xea4e4a…
04-16 10:36:18	btc updown 5m 1776335700	Down	SELL	5	67¢	$3	0x9ce515…
04-16 10:35:36	btc updown 5m 1776335700	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xc081b8…
04-16 10:34:24	btc updown 5m 1776335400	Down	SELL	6	56¢	$3	0x16dd6a…
04-16 10:32:28	btc updown 5m 1776335400	Down	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x3994af…
04-16 10:31:20	btc updown 5m 1776335400	Up	SELL	4	66¢	$3	0x1d282d…
04-16 10:30:50	btc updown 5m 1776335400	Up	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0xc6372e…
04-16 10:29:46	btc updown 5m 1776335100	Down	SELL	12	20¢	$2	0x6e7bdd…
04-16 10:29:36	btc updown 5m 1776335100	Down	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0xb5a7e5…
04-16 10:16:42	btc updown 5m 1776334500	Up	SELL	5	69¢	$3	0x63aa51…
04-16 10:15:36	btc updown 5m 1776334500	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x523689…
04-16 10:12:40	btc updown 5m 1776334200	Up	SELL	7	4¢	$0	0x965ac4…
04-16 10:10:22	btc updown 5m 1776334200	Up	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0xd1a562…
04-16 10:05:54	btc updown 5m 1776333900	Up	SELL	5	62¢	$3	0xa70f35…
04-16 10:05:26	btc updown 5m 1776333900	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xac9cca…
04-16 10:00:56	btc updown 5m 1776333600	Up	SELL	4	75¢	$3	0x23f227…
04-16 10:00:16	btc updown 5m 1776333600	Up	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xec4c55…
04-16 09:52:24	btc updown 5m 1776333000	Up	SELL	5	54¢	$3	0x568a44…
04-16 09:52:08	btc updown 5m 1776333000	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xf6d97a…
04-14 11:40:13	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	SELL	33	99¢	$33	0xe3180d…
04-14 11:40:07	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	33	99¢	$33	0xf539b8…
04-13 14:21:25	btc updown 5m 1776090000	Up	SELL	40	83¢	$33	0x1c32dc…