Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$54

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

50.7%

Resolved

116

Trades

373

lifetime

Volume

$851

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-14

last 08-03 03:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 48 days

Categories

Politics

47% 44% -$21

Other

41% 47% -$22

Sports

8% 55% -$4

Tech

4% 50% -$4

Crypto

0% 0% -$3

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-08-03).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
T20 Series Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka: Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka	Sri Lanka		-5	-$3	85¢	$-4	-$1	07-13 02:08

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	17	$46	47	47	+0	Yes	$0	06-15 03:27
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	16	$35	107	107	+0	No	-$2	06-21 10:21
starmer out by july 31 2026	10	$29	56	20	+36	Yes	+$5	06-20 00:03
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	7	$24	25	25	+0	Yes	+$1	06-07 09:24
will mohammad bagher ghalibaf sign a us x iran deal by july 31	6	$19	12	12	+0	No	+$1	06-24 15:24
cs2 fokus eye 2026 04 08	1	$18	28	0	+28	EYEBALLERS	-$18	04-08 01:55
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	4	$16	10	10	+0	No	+$1	06-10 01:29
Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	5	$16	25	25	+0	No	+$0	06-05 23:50
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?	10	$15	37	35	+2	Yes	$0	06-21 03:06
will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	5	$14	16	16	+0	Yes	+$2	06-13 19:23
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	6	$14	43	8	+35	Yes	-$10	06-15 03:27
Will Karen Bass & Nithya Raman advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	5	$14	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	06-04 21:05
Anthropic IPO before 2027?	4	$13	36	36	+0	open	—	07-01 02:54
Iran leadership change by December 31?	3	$13	8	8	+0	open	—	07-01 02:54
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	4	$13	10	10	+0	No	+$0	06-08 13:22
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	3	$12	9	9	+0	open	—	07-01 02:54
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	3	$12	15	15	+0	No	+$2	06-19 09:51
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	4	$12	7	7	+0	open	—	06-22 04:51
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	4	$12	7	7	+0	open	—	07-01 02:54
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	3	$12	10	10	+0	No	+$1	07-13 02:08
russia ukraine peace talks by december 31 2026 20260609012542189	3	$12	15	15	+0	open	—	07-01 02:54
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 17, 2026?	5	$12	28	28	+0	No	+$3	06-16 09:11
Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?	3	$11	15	15	+0	No	+$2	06-20 23:27
iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	3	$10	6	6	+0	No	+$1	07-01 02:54
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	5	$10	38	38	+0	No	-$2	06-13 02:44
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?	2	$10	10	10	+0	Yes	+$3	06-15 01:25
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	4	$10	9	9	+0	No	-$2	06-13 04:36
will iran close its airspace by august 31 20260609184136057	4	$9	8	8	+0	Yes	-$2	06-17 15:07
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	8	$9	50	50	+0	No	+$2	06-14 23:23
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	4	$9	10	10	+0	No	-$1	06-13 15:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-03 03:44:32	wta boisson ruzic 2026 08 02	Lois Boisson	BUY	2	73¢	$2	0x1af022…
07-13 02:10:40	wta bondar tormo 2026 07 13	Anna Bondar	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x3fab17…
07-13 02:09:31	Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	111	0¢	$0	0xd5dda9…
07-13 02:09:19	will anthropics valuation hit high 5pt0t by december 31	Yes	SELL	17	3¢	$1	0x0f46cb…
07-13 02:09:07	will openais valuation hit high 900b by december 31 942 235	No	SELL	10	28¢	$3	0x853cf1…
07-13 02:08:59	T20 Series Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka: Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka	Sri Lanka	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0x332ae5…
07-13 02:08:35	Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	10	62¢	$6	0xda2f0e…
07-01 02:58:43	SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?	OpenAI	SELL	16	9¢	$1	0x4620ee…
07-01 02:55:08	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x5c9472…
07-01 02:55:08	Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0x474466…
07-01 02:55:07	Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	SELL	1	71¢	$1	0xa117dd…
07-01 02:55:07	SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?	OpenAI	SELL	1	9¢	$0	0x4a252b…
07-01 02:55:05	Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	5	45¢	$2	0x2ff89b…
07-01 02:55:04	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	25	12¢	$3	0x3b83ae…
07-01 02:55:04	trump meets with putin by december 31	No	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0x35ca3b…
07-01 02:55:02	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	No	SELL	5	76¢	$4	0xaec4e0…
07-01 02:55:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	20	16¢	$3	0x2fb514…
07-01 02:55:01	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	No	SELL	5	83¢	$4	0x9e47bb…
07-01 02:54:59	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	No	SELL	6	90¢	$6	0xb68c1f…
07-01 02:54:59	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 10 879 888 944	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x7ea616…
07-01 02:54:58	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	82¢	$6	0x98f6e0…
07-01 02:54:58	russia ukraine peace talks by december 31 2026 20260609012542189	No	SELL	15	39¢	$6	0x6cfbda…
07-01 02:54:58	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	SELL	9	74¢	$6	0x52b43d…
07-01 02:54:56	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	SELL	8	83¢	$7	0x952ddd…
07-01 02:54:55	Anthropic IPO before 2027?	No	SELL	36	23¢	$8	0xb882e1…
07-01 00:45:02	saudi arabia bans us military aircraft by june 30	Yes	SELL	15	1¢	$0	0x1d24e9…
06-30 12:29:25	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0xd7aab5…
06-30 10:40:58	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	SELL	10	10¢	$1	0xc7a4a7…
06-28 21:23:29	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xfc7013…
06-28 10:34:40	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x7b54d2…
06-28 08:31:11	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xe62c3d…
06-28 05:14:16	Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by June 30?	No	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x9a8de0…
06-28 01:38:35	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 10	Yes	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0xea252a…
06-27 23:48:29	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x235293…
06-27 06:04:55	saudi arabia bans us military aircraft by june 30	Yes	SELL	17	5¢	$1	0x63f061…
06-27 04:18:58	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xa6635b…
06-27 02:32:22	Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by June 30?	No	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x97ec09…
06-26 23:00:08	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	No	BUY	0	80¢	$0	0xaddedc…
06-26 23:00:05	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	No	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xeac81e…
06-26 10:42:20	xrp above 0pt7 on june 26 2026	No	BUY	174	1¢	$1	0xa1e58f…
06-26 02:02:58	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	4	11¢	$0	0x4c24dd…
06-26 00:18:55	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	5	11¢	$1	0x8096c6…
06-25 19:04:17	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x6d3850…
06-25 17:19:53	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	No	SELL	4	22¢	$1	0x7651c6…
06-25 15:34:02	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	No	SELL	10	24¢	$2	0xb0d365…
06-25 15:33:58	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	SELL	5	77¢	$4	0x073f8b…
06-25 13:48:41	Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?	No	SELL	5	76¢	$4	0x6ede38…
06-25 12:03:59	Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xf33f12…
06-25 10:20:43	Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xb32814…
06-25 05:21:41	Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0x002362…
06-25 03:38:29	Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	80	1¢	$1	0xa8eaea…
06-25 01:54:38	Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x1db816…
06-24 20:42:56	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by june 26 20260622192122519	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x16cc6f…
06-24 18:58:17	Will Qatar advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0xad543c…
06-24 17:12:52	russia ukraine peace talks by december 31 2026 20260609012542189	No	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xb8aa38…
06-24 15:24:17	russia ukraine peace talks by december 31 2026 20260609012542189	No	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0x67bc8c…
06-24 15:24:13	ethereum above 1400 on june 25 2026	No	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x078022…
06-24 15:24:05	will mohammad bagher ghalibaf sign a us x iran deal by july 31	No	SELL	2	85¢	$2	0x0e0655…
06-24 13:53:41	will mohammad bagher ghalibaf sign a us x iran deal by july 31	No	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0xd1742f…
06-24 13:39:19	Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x6e06b4…
06-24 10:15:26	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	No	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x2bf604…
06-24 08:31:20	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	No	BUY	10	26¢	$3	0x261529…
06-23 20:26:07	Will Micah Lasher be the democratic nominee for NY-12?	Yes	SELL	5	73¢	$4	0x764465…
06-23 16:56:16	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	No	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x1211c8…
06-23 06:35:11	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by june 26 20260622192122519	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x0963b4…
06-23 06:35:01	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xec64d0…
06-22 22:00:35	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on June 23?	No	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x9533c8…
06-22 10:14:53	Will Micah Lasher be the democratic nominee for NY-12?	Yes	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x299e76…
06-22 04:51:08	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	80¢	$2	0xfd52a2…
06-22 03:02:56	will anthropics valuation hit high 5pt0t by december 31	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xeb13e0…
06-22 03:02:53	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	81¢	$4	0xa31edf…
06-22 01:13:19	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x3b978b…
06-21 23:23:16	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	85¢	$2	0x01ec57…
06-21 21:31:19	will mohammad bagher ghalibaf sign a us x iran deal by july 31	No	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0xa171f5…
06-21 19:39:40	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	Yes	SELL	2	19¢	$0	0x48d418…
06-21 15:51:58	starmer out by june 22 2026	Yes	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0xddacc9…
06-21 15:51:46	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x5c7ea7…
06-21 12:11:02	will mohammad bagher ghalibaf sign a us x iran deal by july 31	No	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xb68f64…
06-21 10:21:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	3	7¢	$0	0xd09527…
06-21 08:32:35	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	25	7¢	$2	0xce5d9a…
06-21 06:44:25	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0x47f887…
06-21 04:55:43	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	15	15¢	$2	0xa73eee…
06-21 03:06:46	Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0xfede45…
06-21 03:06:46	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?	Yes	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xbfe9fe…
06-21 01:17:08	starmer out by june 22 2026	No	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0x1021e2…
06-21 01:17:02	will mohammad bagher ghalibaf sign a us x iran deal by july 31	No	SELL	5	75¢	$4	0xc041ee…
06-20 23:27:50	starmer out by june 22 2026	No	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x26148f…
06-20 23:27:49	Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	15	43¢	$6	0x468402…
06-20 23:27:47	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xe63ad9…
06-20 23:27:41	starmer out by june 26 2026	No	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0xe4b693…
06-20 21:34:19	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	No	BUY	10	7¢	$1	0xb9b8a3…
06-20 19:43:32	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xe9bf2e…
06-20 19:43:29	Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x3a5f6a…
06-20 17:51:17	Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0xcbd285…
06-20 17:51:10	will mohammad bagher ghalibaf sign a us x iran deal by july 31	No	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x8c02f8…
06-20 17:51:08	Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	91	1¢	$1	0x5bcebb…
06-20 12:18:05	Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x835f68…
06-20 00:29:01	Will Haiti win on 2026-06-19?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x5214f3…
06-20 00:03:58	starmer out by july 31 2026	No	BUY	9	17¢	$2	0x6b7f2c…
06-19 23:51:23	wnba tor conn 2026 06 19	Connecticut Sun	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x6341cc…