Realized P&L
+$43
Unrealized P&L
-$5
Hit rate
96.9%
Resolved
5
Trades
900
lifetime
Volume
$24.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$27
Open exposure
$472
14 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-12 06:49
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Other
85% 75% +$28
Politics
14% 100% +$15
Tech
1%
Crypto
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
69 active days in 12wk • peak 31 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? Yes -120 $-91 78¢ $-93 $-2 05-30 06:13
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -100 $-84 82¢ $-82 +$2 06-01 05:49
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June? No +80 $71 90¢ $72 +$1 06-12 01:54
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $70 on the final trading day of June 2026? Yes +71 $63 93¢ $66 +$3 06-12 13:44
Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026? No -70 $-63 92¢ $-64 $-1 06-10 14:52
Bank of England rate hike in 2026? Yes -52 $-27 72¢ $-38 $-11 05-31 03:23
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $65 on the final trading day of June 2026? Yes +18 $17 97¢ $17 +$0 06-12 16:49
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? No +20 $12 62¢ $12 +$0 06-11 06:03
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T No +10 $7 100¢ $10 +$3 06-12 14:06
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30? No -10 $-9 97¢ $-10 $-1 05-31 18:59
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes -10 $-2 42¢ $-4 $-2 06-06 15:53
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes -10 $-4 20¢ $-2 +$1 05-30 04:34
Starmer out by June 30, 2026? Yes -10 $-2 16¢ $-2 $-0 06-11 04:58
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? Yes -5 $-2 24¢ $-1 +$0 05-27 21:42