Defiant-Controller — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$24

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

735

lifetime

Volume

$1.77K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-13

last 06-30 07:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

62% 0% $-11

Politics

23% — —

Sports

10% 0% $-13

Tech

5% — —

Crypto

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

54 active days in 12wk • peak 36 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	20	$54	56	56	+0	open	—	06-27 13:54
will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	18	$52	43	33	+10	open	—	06-18 13:35
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	17	$47	78	78	+0	open	—	06-27 08:15
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	24	$40	178	178	+0	open	—	06-25 18:16
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	13	$36	35	35	+0	open	—	06-12 13:06
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	9	$30	25	25	+0	open	—	06-12 12:50
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	5	$30	17	22	-5	open	—	05-27 11:15
iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	13	$28	124	81	+43	open	—	06-25 07:41
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	15	$24	91	91	+0	open	—	06-14 13:28
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	9	$23	21	21	+0	open	—	06-30 07:03
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	6	$22	16	16	+0	open	—	06-13 08:53
Phoenix Mercury vs. New York Liberty: O/U 171.5	5	$19	12	12	+0	open	—	05-28 01:25
Spurs vs. Thunder	7	$17	38	5	+33	open	—	05-27 03:30
gpt 5pt6 released by july 6 2026	13	$17	60	60	+0	open	—	06-29 01:46
will wti crude oil wti hit low 85 in june 342	5	$16	38	38	+0	open	—	06-11 12:35
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs GenOne (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #2 Playoffs	4	$16	10	10	+0	open	—	05-28 13:55
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	7	$16	48	48	+0	open	—	06-30 07:02
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	10	$15	35	35	+0	open	—	06-27 13:54
Counter-Strike: magic vs FaZe (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs	6	$14	42	0	+42	open	—	05-28 17:59
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Voca (BO5) - ESL Challenger League North America Finals Playoffs	4	$14	8	8	+0	open	—	05-29 05:26
will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	8	$13	50	50	+0	open	—	06-26 19:14
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	7	$13	25	25	+0	open	—	06-26 14:31
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	4	$13	12	12	+0	open	—	06-30 07:03
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?	3	$12	7	7	+0	open	—	06-30 07:03
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	4	$12	8	8	+0	open	—	06-30 07:03
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	7	$12	7	7	+0	open	—	06-21 02:38
iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	2	$12	10	10	+0	open	—	06-30 07:03
russia x ukraine ceasefire by october 31 2026	3	$12	7	7	+0	open	—	06-30 07:03
Miami Marlins vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5	9	$12	43	0	+43	open	—	05-27 19:51
us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	3	$12	8	8	+0	open	—	06-30 07:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-30 07:16:14	Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	58¢	$2	0x043fce…
06-30 07:16:07	russia ukraine peace talks by december 31 2026 20260609012542189	No	SELL	10	39¢	$4	0xbff891…
06-30 07:03:50	will benjamin netanyahu sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950076	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x2e5f52…
06-30 07:03:49	will sheikh tamim bin hamad al thani sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950079	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x97c9dc…
06-30 07:03:44	israel withdraws from lebanon by august 31 2026	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0xc28012…
06-30 07:03:43	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	No	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0x200d68…
06-30 07:03:40	israel x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x5bd52e…
06-30 07:03:34	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	72¢	$4	0x09e91c…
06-30 07:03:31	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x72a2f8…
06-30 07:03:29	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xc238a8…
06-30 07:03:26	russia x ukraine ceasefire by october 31 2026	No	SELL	7	84¢	$6	0x9fbd83…
06-30 07:03:20	Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	SELL	8	75¢	$6	0x1204a3…
06-30 07:03:17	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	No	SELL	8	83¢	$6	0xa679ae…
06-30 07:03:16	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	No	SELL	8	76¢	$6	0x484b55…
06-30 07:03:13	Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	59¢	$3	0x78fbf2…
06-30 07:03:10	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0x848181…
06-30 07:03:07	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	12	55¢	$7	0xdf10e8…
06-30 07:03:02	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	15	37¢	$6	0x9a6ae6…
06-30 07:03:01	russia ukraine peace talks by december 31 2026 20260609012542189	No	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0xf16b40…
06-30 07:02:56	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	Yes	SELL	23	17¢	$4	0x704080…
06-30 07:02:46	Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	OpenAI	SELL	48	14¢	$7	0xf1de45…
06-29 16:38:22	gpt 5pt6 released by july 10 2026 416	Yes	SELL	10	51¢	$5	0x1f0558…
06-29 13:26:01	will abbas araghchi attend a us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 20260622201044260	No	SELL	5	24¢	$1	0xa02e62…
06-29 13:09:59	will abbas araghchi attend a us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 20260622201044260	No	SELL	5	24¢	$1	0xb83035…
06-29 01:46:52	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	No	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0x443187…
06-29 01:46:47	gpt 5pt6 released by july 6 2026	Yes	SELL	1	8¢	$0	0x61cbe2…
06-29 01:39:28	gpt 5pt6 released by july 6 2026	Yes	SELL	30	8¢	$2	0xef3b85…
06-29 01:32:16	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	No	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0x45dd1a…
06-29 01:32:14	gpt 5pt6 released by july 6 2026	Yes	SELL	9	12¢	$1	0x6ab8e4…
06-28 20:30:31	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	No	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x5103da…
06-28 16:00:14	Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x9d0dd6…
06-28 14:43:25	will abbas araghchi attend a us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 20260622201044260	No	BUY	10	26¢	$3	0x0e4a0d…
06-28 13:51:01	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x8ce5cd…
06-28 13:29:43	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0x228916…
06-28 13:11:38	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	No	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x3c482d…
06-28 05:19:17	gpt 5pt6 released by july 6 2026	Yes	BUY	21	14¢	$3	0x7eed55…
06-28 04:42:59	gpt 5pt6 released by july 6 2026	Yes	BUY	2	12¢	$0	0xab976a…
06-28 00:32:20	gpt 5pt6 released by july 6 2026	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x6d0e9d…
06-27 22:54:38	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	15	6¢	$1	0x4c1b4e…
06-27 22:47:34	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	10	5¢	$1	0x9c4c27…
06-27 22:32:19	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	25	5¢	$1	0xd3fa7e…
06-27 22:10:19	gpt 5pt6 released by july 6 2026	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xd23325…
06-27 21:57:13	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	30	11¢	$3	0x1b137f…
06-27 21:28:28	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0x152530…
06-27 20:54:04	israel x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xeca17f…
06-27 20:05:44	gpt 5pt6 released by july 6 2026	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xa69340…
06-27 20:01:10	iran successfully targets shipping on june 27 20260625225210238	Yes	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x14ffd7…
06-27 19:32:19	Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	OpenAI	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xf1a23c…
06-27 19:01:34	Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	OpenAI	BUY	8	16¢	$1	0x3301e5…
06-27 16:12:53	Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x09236a…
06-27 15:01:49	gpt 5pt6 released by july 10 2026 416	Yes	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xbd0745…
06-27 14:46:56	gpt 5pt6 released by july 10 2026 416	Yes	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x4fcbb4…
06-27 13:54:11	gpt 5pt6 released by july 6 2026	Yes	SELL	10	17¢	$2	0xc5a41b…
06-27 13:54:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	12	46¢	$6	0x7daeea…
06-27 13:54:10	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	Yes	SELL	20	17¢	$3	0x6f5937…
06-27 13:45:04	gpt 5pt6 released by july 6 2026	Yes	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0xcceaed…
06-27 13:15:49	gpt 5pt6 released by july 6 2026	Yes	SELL	5	17¢	$1	0xa2c09f…
06-27 13:08:17	gpt 5pt6 released by july 6 2026	Yes	SELL	5	17¢	$1	0x311ad1…
06-27 13:00:31	gpt 5pt6 released by july 6 2026	Yes	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0xd9c169…
06-27 11:47:32	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	Yes	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0x621dd9…
06-27 10:57:23	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	Yes	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x0e71ed…
06-27 10:42:19	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x2a1067…
06-27 10:08:07	iran successfully targets shipping by july 7 20260625215135370	No	BUY	6	7¢	$0	0x272a25…
06-27 10:07:56	iran successfully targets shipping by july 7 20260625215135370	No	BUY	10	7¢	$1	0x54c55e…
06-27 10:07:47	iran successfully targets shipping by july 7 20260625215135370	No	BUY	10	7¢	$1	0xf2af7d…
06-27 10:05:34	iran successfully targets shipping by july 7 20260625215135370	No	BUY	4	7¢	$0	0xac9935…
06-27 09:45:05	iran successfully targets shipping by july 7 20260625215135370	No	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x1999ed…
06-27 09:45:04	iran successfully targets shipping by july 7 20260625215135370	No	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0xaf3263…
06-27 09:36:28	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	Yes	SELL	5	19¢	$1	0xb7e731…
06-27 09:29:11	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	Yes	SELL	5	19¢	$1	0xb06dad…
06-27 09:21:40	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	Yes	SELL	5	19¢	$1	0xfbebb9…
06-27 08:15:59	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	5	29¢	$1	0xa1052f…
06-27 08:09:02	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	10	29¢	$3	0x666b16…
06-27 03:33:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x8a84e2…
06-26 21:25:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x317b25…
06-26 21:02:47	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x500ac7…
06-26 19:14:44	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	Yes	SELL	15	6¢	$1	0x63f41d…
06-26 19:03:04	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	Yes	SELL	10	4¢	$0	0xa77205…
06-26 18:48:07	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	Yes	SELL	25	3¢	$1	0x6e5398…
06-26 17:58:28	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	Yes	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x300857…
06-26 17:31:08	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xf0b014…
06-26 17:05:29	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	Yes	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0x92c968…
06-26 15:01:49	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x43e3e5…
06-26 14:46:43	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0x144b76…
06-26 14:31:23	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	SELL	4	24¢	$1	0x24ff2f…
06-26 14:24:16	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0x8996ed…
06-26 14:17:25	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0x35f7bf…
06-26 14:10:00	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	SELL	1	26¢	$0	0x40218e…
06-26 14:02:30	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	SELL	10	26¢	$3	0xe41642…
06-26 13:58:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	10	54¢	$5	0x9bcf2d…
06-26 13:58:01	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	15	37¢	$6	0x517f3b…
06-26 13:17:04	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	BUY	15	21¢	$3	0xba8293…
06-26 13:00:23	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0x4848fe…
06-26 08:17:49	russia ukraine peace talks by december 31 2026 20260609012542189	No	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x4e9b06…
06-26 07:57:05	russia ukraine peace talks by december 31 2026 20260609012542189	No	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0xeffd8a…
06-26 07:57:02	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	Yes	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x93a9a2…
06-26 07:36:25	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xc5de8f…
06-26 07:29:14	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	Yes	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xe0f20a…
06-25 22:02:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x5d9038…
06-25 18:58:50	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x5a1bc9…