Realized P&L
-$117.5K
Unrealized P&L
-$3.65K
Hit rate
26.2%
Resolved
55
Trades
1,626
lifetime
Volume
$953.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$587
Open exposure
$39.7K
6 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 09-16 03:02
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 26 days
Categories
Politics
85% 50% -$119,844
Other
15% 64% +$2,102
Crypto
0% 100% +$180
Sports
0% 100% +$27
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
2 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes -40,000 -$35,499 96¢ $-38380 -$2,881 07-13 18:14
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027? No -500 -$434 99¢ $-494 -$59 05-27 21:18
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027? No -500 -$463 98¢ $-491 -$29 05-22 05:23
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No -288 -$271 100¢ $-288 -$17 05-15 10:28
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026? Yes +2,251 $720 1¢ $29 -$691 09-16 03:02
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? No +0 -$24 97¢ $0 +$24 07-17 14:42