Realized P&L
+$18.4K
Unrealized P&L
-$1.45K
Hit rate
73.6%
Resolved
120
Trades
6,036
lifetime
Volume
$385.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$64
Open exposure
$5.88K
5 positions
First seen
2026-02-24
last 06-11 18:46
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 40 days
Categories
Other
48%
50%
+$5,406
Politics
39%
47%
+$12,187
Sports
13%
67%
+$2,886
Crypto
1%
0%
-$1,194
Tech
0%
0%
-$861
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-11).
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | -7,777 | -$5,072 | 66¢ | $-5113 | -$42 | 05-26 06:57 | |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | +5,555 | $1,889 | 11¢ | $583 | -$1,305 | 04-28 13:22 | |
| Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch? | Yes | +222 | $47 | 74¢ | $164 | +$118 | 06-02 08:52 | |
| Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch? | No | +1,811 | $181 | 1¢ | $19 | -$162 | 04-28 12:45 | |
| Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? | No | +185 | $61 | 2¢ | $5 | -$56 | 04-28 13:20 |
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026 | 89 | $39.5K | 127,778 | 9,999 | +117,779 | No | +$16,329 | 04-16 04:06 |
| us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026 | 2 | $26.5K | 26,555 | 0 | +26,555 | No | +$91 | 04-30 20:20 |
| elon musk of tweets february 20 february 27 320 339 | 99 | $19.1K | 28,374 | 111 | +28,263 | No | +$5,325 | 02-27 08:43 |
| elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 180 199 | 142 | $18.3K | 84,083 | 525 | +83,558 | No | -$6,769 | 03-06 14:20 |
| Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals? | 4 | $16.3K | 9,393 | 8,383 | +1,011 | No | +$274 | 04-30 20:17 |
| khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28 | 17 | $14.4K | 119,588 | 110,669 | +8,919 | Yes | +$561 | 03-03 23:04 |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? | 195 | $13.9K | 29,826 | 7,777 | +22,049 | No | -$7,294 | 05-31 00:23 |
| elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 200 219 | 70 | $12.1K | 30,102 | 2,345 | +27,757 | Yes | +$9,575 | 03-03 07:10 |
| us x iran ceasefire by april 7 | 3 | $11.0K | 11,111 | 0 | +11,111 | Yes | +$111 | 04-08 20:52 |
| elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 340 359 | 39 | $10.5K | 11,756 | 2,187 | +9,569 | No | +$370 | 03-03 01:04 |
| elon musk of tweets march 19 march 21 65 89 | 135 | $10.4K | 54,493 | 3,121 | +51,372 | No | -$8,864 | 03-21 08:08 |
| Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair? | 13 | $10.4K | 10,962 | 0 | +10,962 | No | +$551 | 02-28 23:22 |
| elon musk of tweets february 20 february 27 300 319 | 78 | $9.6K | 13,445 | 1,911 | +11,534 | Yes | +$3,326 | 02-27 09:21 |
| elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 300 319 | 76 | $9.3K | 19,438 | 0 | +19,438 | No | +$509 | 03-02 17:00 |
| netanyahu out by march 31 854 | 8 | $8.7K | 29,997 | 0 | +29,997 | No | +$156 | 03-21 15:19 |
| elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 160 179 | 67 | $6.7K | 59,244 | 861 | +58,383 | No | +$1,066 | 03-05 19:29 |
| elon musk of tweets february 20 february 27 280 299 | 211 | $6.7K | 117,424 | 9,809 | +107,614 | No | -$3,929 | 02-27 08:21 |
| elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 220 239 | 89 | $5.7K | 72,579 | 8,603 | +63,976 | No | +$1,013 | 03-03 16:40 |
| us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026 | 87 | $5.3K | 29,999 | 0 | +29,999 | No | -$5,322 | 04-21 06:50 |
| elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 180 199 | 228 | $5.3K | 183,983 | 12,550 | +171,433 | No | +$13 | 03-03 14:14 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | 54 | $5.1K | 0 | 7,777 | -7,777 | open | — | 05-26 06:57 |
| will trump say biden 10 times during the 2026 state of the union address 599 | 5 | $5.0K | 9,123 | 0 | +9,123 | No | +$4,106 | 02-24 23:31 |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | 39 | $4.7K | 5,803 | 1,219 | +4,584 | Yes | +$1,705 | 04-16 14:39 |
| nhl car sea 2026 03 02 | 3 | $4.6K | 3,333 | 3,333 | +0 | Kraken | +$2,063 | 03-03 06:52 |
| elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 140 159 | 64 | $4.6K | 84,352 | 0 | +84,352 | No | +$355 | 03-05 10:13 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | 34 | $4.5K | 23,331 | 0 | +23,331 | No | -$4,533 | 04-22 16:59 |
| nba okc nyk 2026 03 04 | 3 | $3.6K | 2,222 | 2,222 | +0 | Thunder | +$864 | 03-05 02:42 |
| elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 180 199 | 12 | $3.2K | 4,127 | 0 | +4,127 | No | +$572 | 03-06 05:32 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | 1 | $3.1K | 0 | 3,333 | -3,333 | No | -$267 | 04-28 13:27 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? | 3 | $3.0K | 3,333 | 0 | +3,333 | Yes | +$293 | 02-28 23:22 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open this tab to load correlated wallets… | ||||