Idealistic-Colleague — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$15.8K

Unrealized P&L

-$161

Hit rate

82.6%

Resolved

Trades

3,817

lifetime

Volume

$880.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$231

Open exposure

$838

1 position

First seen

2026-01-08

last 11-05 15:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 28 days

Categories

Politics

70% 72% +$1,121

Sports

26% 58% -$15,886

Crypto

3% 33% -$93

Other

1% 40% -$931

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

27 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+12,889	$999	6¢	$838	-$161	11-05 15:43

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	277	$280.1K	195,995	195,995	+0	Yes	+$11,191	06-15 14:08
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	202	$155.7K	81,764	81,764	+0	Yes	+$427	06-15 20:23
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	508	$66.4K	634,839	634,839	+0	No	+$4,415	07-06 20:58
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	157	$47.4K	143,004	137,967	+5,037	No	+$467	05-31 15:24
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	20	$43.7K	58,727	58,727	+0	Yes	+$1,258	06-14 22:41
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	322	$34.7K	1,293,073	300,319	+992,754	No	-$4,639	07-05 21:52
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	174	$28.8K	547,082	233,118	+313,963	No	-$10,051	06-29 23:18
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	374	$28.2K	113,622	100,733	+12,889	open	—	11-05 15:43
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	101	$25.1K	188,129	95,103	+93,026	No	-$7,048	07-15 20:52
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	41	$23.0K	92,547	50,153	+42,394	No	-$5,236	05-10 07:41
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	75	$21.3K	12,485	23,484	-11,000	Yes	-$4,130	05-01 13:08
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	94	$19.6K	71,522	80,608	-9,085	No	+$279	04-30 22:31
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	333	$16.8K	500,000	500,000	+0	No	+$200	07-05 17:49
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	42	$15.4K	42,500	42,500	+0	No	+$345	06-26 19:34
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	51	$14.0K	51,877	51,877	-0	Yes	+$462	07-03 00:12
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	86	$12.3K	27,549	29,735	-2,185	No	+$1,160	04-21 13:28
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	15	$12.0K	192,036	192,036	+0	No	+$1,276	07-03 18:58
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	133	$11.7K	35,502	35,502	+0	No	+$35	07-19 22:01
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	27	$5.3K	36,342	35,172	+1,170	No	+$1,379	05-22 19:55
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	10	$5.2K	9,822	8,409	+1,413	No	-$1,108	09-16 17:24
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	83	$4.6K	751,539	751,539	+0	No	-$603	07-03 01:02
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	11	$3.5K	1,670	9,700	-8,030	Yes	-$5,540	04-28 13:54
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in April?	29	$794	2,338	4,023	-1,685	Yes	+$216	04-14 09:34
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	7	$791	14,822	12,472	+2,350	No	-$312	05-26 21:10
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	5	$780	402	402	+0	Yes	+$1	06-15 07:51
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	17	$530	20,000	20,000	+0	No	+$50	07-07 00:30
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 24th?	493	$429	30,177	67,906	-37,728	No	+$117	04-24 20:01
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	26	$414	268,725	14,150	+254,575	No	-$326	07-10 20:58
us x iran permanent peace deal by october 31 2026	2	$392	201	201	+0	Yes	+$2	06-15 15:30
us x iran permanent peace deal by august 31 2026	2	$389	201	201	+0	Yes	+$0	06-15 08:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-05 15:43:03	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	68	7¢	$5	0x49f150…
10-19 22:17:54	Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	131	3¢	$4	0xc07ab5…
10-17 05:52:58	Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	131	1¢	$1	0x531b06…
10-13 09:15:08	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0xbaa1f2…
10-13 08:41:43	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	28¢	$2	0x8f9d8b…
10-13 08:39:58	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	30¢	$3	0xd56a17…
10-12 23:12:00	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	39	26¢	$10	0x04b404…
10-08 11:52:48	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	27¢	$7	0x025650…
10-07 01:59:39	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	99	36¢	$36	0x3a06e2…
10-06 23:08:50	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	36¢	$9	0x4f1c20…
10-06 12:20:07	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	310	36¢	$112	0x533a85…
10-04 05:27:07	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	33¢	$99	0x25e76b…
10-02 03:01:11	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,743	37¢	$645	0xe954e4…
10-02 02:03:21	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	271	37¢	$100	0x2f5527…
10-02 00:25:23	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	26	37¢	$9	0x00e36f…
10-01 23:08:30	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	37¢	$2	0xf801a6…
10-01 09:18:42	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	33¢	$11	0x6a5a1e…
09-28 01:50:03	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	243	35¢	$85	0xdf02eb…
09-27 19:49:38	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	158	38¢	$60	0xdb163c…
09-27 19:37:50	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	75	38¢	$29	0xc8a411…
09-27 03:12:54	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	170	33¢	$56	0x52b470…
09-25 18:41:06	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	156	36¢	$56	0xa41454…
09-25 17:04:39	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	38¢	$3	0xe24f00…
09-25 16:47:41	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0x1b078c…
09-25 10:11:02	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	38¢	$2	0xc67fe1…
09-25 07:40:45	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	88	36¢	$32	0xd2ef20…
09-20 15:17:57	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,442	27¢	$659	0x09d27b…
09-16 17:24:10	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	15	14¢	$2	0x5d5323…
09-16 17:22:49	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,398	14¢	$196	0x1cb1bc…
09-16 17:21:25	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,200	15¢	$180	0x2d00f5…
09-15 14:53:54	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,656	19¢	$695	0x3c261a…
09-14 14:48:09	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5,000	15¢	$750	0x61610f…
09-13 17:06:04	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	507	19¢	$96	0x51da68…
09-13 16:57:24	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	764	19¢	$145	0x99ba7b…
09-13 08:33:31	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	19¢	$2	0xb44281…
09-13 01:59:58	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	298	19¢	$57	0x9e1c43…
09-11 12:30:07	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5,000	35¢	$1,750	0x6175da…
09-11 10:06:45	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	201	39¢	$78	0x3b3939…
09-11 04:50:58	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	201	39¢	$78	0x00aec8…
09-11 04:34:51	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	3,000	38¢	$1,140	0xadf49f…
09-10 23:58:16	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	208	36¢	$75	0x7f935f…
09-10 22:28:31	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3,000	35¢	$1,050	0xeff7d6…
09-10 22:07:01	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	208	36¢	$75	0xfa3e9f…
09-05 03:57:58	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4,300	25¢	$1,075	0x8151ba…
09-05 03:57:25	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	26¢	$260	0x368667…
09-05 03:40:45	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	191	26¢	$50	0xb83a25…
09-05 02:43:57	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xbbbe16…
09-03 20:41:28	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	865	31¢	$268	0xe3442f…
09-03 20:40:48	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	31¢	$1	0xe2036b…
09-03 19:51:15	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	31¢	$5	0xbb212c…
09-03 19:43:51	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	795	31¢	$246	0x6f104a…
09-03 19:42:40	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,169	31¢	$672	0x752225…
09-03 16:52:10	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	31¢	$4	0x6122ef…
09-03 16:50:19	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	85	31¢	$26	0xa6c50e…
09-03 14:47:06	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	25¢	$10	0x596e94…
09-03 13:38:43	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4,149	21¢	$871	0x9d2995…
09-03 11:52:52	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4,149	19¢	$788	0xe3ca0e…
09-01 16:07:37	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,986	22¢	$877	0x8d0c2f…
08-20 08:16:09	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7,194	13¢	$935	0x67e34b…
08-20 01:57:03	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	538	13¢	$70	0xd13129…
08-20 00:27:33	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	382	13¢	$50	0x22f28c…
08-19 22:20:49	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	833	12¢	$100	0xf31205…
08-19 22:14:28	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3,053	12¢	$366	0x443efe…
08-19 22:02:27	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	12¢	$2	0xf38e28…
08-19 21:53:40	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	12¢	$24	0xd6346c…
08-19 21:48:25	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	252	12¢	$30	0x7e336d…
08-19 21:21:36	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	143	12¢	$17	0x522500…
08-19 21:20:57	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	525	12¢	$63	0x87c26c…
08-19 21:08:00	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,766	12¢	$212	0xdaa0f9…
08-19 21:06:01	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	282	12¢	$34	0x93337e…
08-19 16:38:55	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,000	10¢	$100	0xd87aac…
08-19 16:35:55	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	185	10¢	$19	0x771a39…
08-19 16:24:10	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	67	10¢	$7	0xb5bc2e…
08-19 15:39:58	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	7¢	$1	0x54a979…
08-19 07:48:57	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	393	8¢	$31	0xd57aab…
08-19 07:10:55	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	464	7¢	$32	0x22f33a…
08-19 00:43:34	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	464	7¢	$32	0x416e89…
08-18 14:18:27	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0x8b7222…
08-18 11:42:03	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	194	7¢	$14	0xa1d6a5…
08-17 23:37:06	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	994	7¢	$70	0x7d1f24…
08-17 20:09:31	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	161	7¢	$11	0x05f228…
08-17 14:44:49	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	832	7¢	$58	0xce07ef…
08-17 10:39:28	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,000	8¢	$80	0x22ca62…
08-17 10:35:52	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	8¢	$8	0xac9791…
08-17 03:01:57	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	8¢	$2	0xd8e6d8…
08-16 23:04:36	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	8¢	$8	0x6b42c3…
08-16 20:01:49	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	300	8¢	$24	0xb9fa0b…
08-16 18:31:15	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	130	7¢	$9	0x453049…
08-16 04:07:31	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	8¢	$1	0x0f4662…
08-15 21:44:16	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	8¢	$1	0xea0476…
08-15 16:19:16	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	8¢	$8	0x1c9d04…
08-15 04:10:42	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	36	8¢	$3	0x4114cc…
08-15 00:36:39	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	8¢	$1	0xdfb121…
08-14 16:58:28	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0xb4b073…
08-14 12:35:34	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	238	8¢	$19	0x2d8e67…
08-14 11:41:36	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,947	8¢	$236	0xa73ef3…
08-13 02:20:48	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,710	9¢	$244	0x1a3442…
08-13 02:11:04	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,801	9¢	$252	0xc23e90…
08-12 10:46:25	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	9¢	$0	0x96d5cd…
08-11 23:31:07	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	9¢	$0	0xe8645f…