Courageous-Celeriac — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$6

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

86.2%

Resolved

Trades

184

lifetime

Volume

$814

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-15

last 06-22 09:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Crypto

60% 79% +$1

Other

28% 100% +$0

Politics

10% 67% $-7

Tech

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 62 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (17) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	3	$176	238	164	+73	open	—	04-03 21:48
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 12?	11	$49	54	0	+54	Yes	+$5	05-12 15:25
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 5?	1	$33	35	0	+35	Yes	+$2	05-05 12:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	2	$28	32	0	+32	Up	+$4	05-05 21:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	1	$25	36	0	+36	Up	+$11	05-05 22:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	1	$25	27	0	+27	Up	+$2	05-05 19:41
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 13?	2	$20	12	12	+0	Down	+$0	05-13 08:41
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	2	$16	8	8	+0	open	—	05-11 22:16
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	2	$15	23	0	+23	open	—	05-21 11:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	2	$15	17	0	+17	Up	$-4	05-05 22:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	4	$15	81	81	+0	Up	+$3	05-05 19:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	2	$14	10	10	+0	open	—	05-16 20:54
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 5-11?	4	$14	7	7	+0	Yes	+$0	05-11 12:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	4	$13	10	10	+0	Down	+$1	05-05 22:39
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	05-11 12:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	05-16 20:57
Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	05-12 14:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	Up	+$0	05-13 08:42
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	05-11 12:37
Did a crypto hedge fund blow up?	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	05-11 19:01
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	05-11 18:28
Will Putin visit China by May 31?	2	$10	6	6	+0	open	—	05-12 15:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	3	$9	37	3	+33	Down	$-3	05-05 22:19
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	1	$8	9	0	+9	open	—	05-13 18:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	3	$7	5	4	+1	Down	+$0	05-05 22:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	7	$7	7	0	+7	Down	+$0	05-06 07:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	2	$7	4	4	+0	Down	+$1	05-05 22:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	2	$6	4	4	+0	Up	+$0	05-05 22:24
Will Jared Kushner attend Trump’s Xi summit?	3	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	05-14 23:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	2	$6	6	6	+0	Down	+$0	05-05 20:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-22 09:51:32	will starmer say europe during resignation 20260622052443850	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x7ef6a4…
05-26 08:30:22	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	5¢	$0	0xf64e64…
05-23 21:01:36	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xe72fb1…
05-21 11:34:51	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	4	82¢	$3	0x88218b…
05-21 11:34:46	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xee4359…
05-21 11:33:01	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0x6e3cce…
05-21 11:32:47	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	No	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0x72db64…
05-21 11:32:02	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xdd97ec…
05-18 22:18:22	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	53	2¢	$1	0xdc3ada…
05-16 20:57:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xc29760…
05-16 20:56:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xa94852…
05-16 20:54:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	SELL	10	97¢	$9	0xcd331a…
05-16 20:50:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xb5854f…
05-15 13:04:34	Will Trump say "NVIDIA" this week?	Yes	SELL	1	77¢	$1	0xd83afb…
05-15 11:22:15	Will Trump say "TikTok" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xee335c…
05-14 23:23:03	Will Trump say "Boeing" this week?	Yes	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0xec7a7e…
05-14 23:21:55	Will Jared Kushner attend Trump’s Xi summit?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xd56f63…
05-14 12:19:38	Will Trump say "NVIDIA" this week?	Yes	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xaf7d31…
05-13 21:25:45	Will any of Trump’s sons attend Trump’s Xi summit?	Yes	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xbb4d39…
05-13 21:25:24	Will Jared Kushner attend Trump’s Xi summit?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x7b61d5…
05-13 21:22:47	Will Jared Kushner attend Trump’s Xi summit?	No	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x31c02e…
05-13 18:49:13	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	BUY	9	88¢	$8	0xedb618…
05-13 18:42:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xc900fa…
05-13 08:42:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xeb438e…
05-13 08:42:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x3721d8…
05-13 08:41:30	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 13?	Up	SELL	12	85¢	$10	0x469533…
05-13 08:34:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x1b93f7…
05-13 08:20:46	Will Trump say "TikTok" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xd4e61b…
05-13 08:19:45	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x939552…
05-13 08:19:18	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x396db0…
05-13 08:10:16	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 13?	Up	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x69df85…
05-13 08:08:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x1d8c9f…
05-12 20:29:18	Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in May 2026?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x1e21cd…
05-12 15:25:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	3	80¢	$2	0x978f99…
05-12 15:24:13	Will Putin visit China by May 31?	Yes	SELL	6	80¢	$5	0x6fd6e3…
05-12 15:10:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0xfea574…
05-12 14:36:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x2f26eb…
05-12 14:23:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	18	97¢	$17	0xe8ed17…
05-12 14:22:27	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x4d3227…
05-12 14:22:14	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x7c06e7…
05-12 14:22:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 12?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xde8f00…
05-12 14:21:36	Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?	Yes	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x8fa4ab…
05-12 12:43:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x907751…
05-12 12:12:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x0487af…
05-12 10:08:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xfa330e…
05-12 09:39:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x83ab3c…
05-12 09:06:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x5b70c7…
05-12 07:44:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	3	86¢	$3	0xf6668f…
05-12 07:40:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 12?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x8be0bb…
05-12 07:36:27	Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x075fd3…
05-11 22:53:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x19e63f…
05-11 22:49:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xfc7ca4…
05-11 22:38:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 12?	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x9d3181…
05-11 22:37:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x4630bd…
05-11 22:37:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x8c9bfb…
05-11 22:35:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xd69e91…
05-11 22:34:49	Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x0495b8…
05-11 22:28:43	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x642c1b…
05-11 22:26:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x30a2b3…
05-11 22:16:14	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x215afd…
05-11 20:37:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	86¢	$3	0x2dbb54…
05-11 20:36:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	4	78¢	$3	0xc36ad3…
05-11 19:42:18	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0x7b5018…
05-11 19:16:26	Will Putin visit China by May 31?	Yes	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x691632…
05-11 19:01:19	Did a crypto hedge fund blow up?	Yes	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0xd21979…
05-11 18:28:02	Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xa07ebd…
05-11 12:37:48	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	No	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0xaea8bc…
05-11 12:37:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xa0cb71…
05-11 12:37:17	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 5-11?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xb03625…
05-11 12:36:23	Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in May 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x6d60db…
05-11 12:32:44	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xeac69d…
05-10 19:59:40	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 5-11?	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xa6456b…
05-10 19:16:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xce7726…
05-10 15:18:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	SELL	1	75¢	$1	0x24630e…
05-10 15:17:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x655ad3…
05-10 13:45:47	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 5-11?	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x4efad5…
05-09 23:34:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x600ad1…
05-09 23:02:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x653a82…
05-09 20:19:03	Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xc4f3e1…
05-09 20:14:33	Will Trump say "Ruckus" this week?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xcd28b4…
05-09 20:12:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 9?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x37e299…
05-09 20:05:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x21fa0e…
05-09 20:02:32	Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x4148a7…
05-09 20:01:17	Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in May 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xfcf742…
05-09 20:01:03	Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in May 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x249c2b…
05-09 19:50:22	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x399c6e…
05-09 19:47:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xe9a990…
05-09 19:41:32	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 9?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x314722…
05-09 19:40:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xcb8d39…
05-09 19:14:37	Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x98dbfe…
05-07 20:05:29	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x57b32d…
05-07 19:58:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0x524774…
05-07 14:01:47	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 7?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x15ed46…
05-07 14:01:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x36090c…
05-06 22:38:22	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xe94c37…
05-06 22:33:33	Will Trump say "China" during events with Brazilian president?	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x04baf8…
05-06 22:33:16	Will Trump say "Six Seven" during events with Brazilian president?	No	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x910c3e…
05-06 22:32:37	Will Trump say "Sea" or "Water" during events with Brazilian president?	Yes	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xefe7f7…
05-06 22:32:14	Will Trump say "Rare earth" or "Mineral" during events with Brazilian president?	Yes	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x80f398…
05-06 22:23:29	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x9bc323…