Realized P&L
-$909
Unrealized P&L
+$1.87K
Hit rate
86.8%
Resolved
10
Trades
9,405
lifetime
Volume
$900.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$96
Open exposure
$7.79K
21 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 07-01 00:19
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Politics
81% 80% $-909
Other
14%
Crypto
4%
Sports
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
66 active days in 12wk • peak 511 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +1,824 $1,264 86¢ $1.6K +$295 06-27 12:14
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? No +1,234 $846 100¢ $1.2K +$386 06-21 03:04
Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026? No -600 $-599 100¢ $-599 $-0 06-10 00:12
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No +483 $334 100¢ $482 +$148 06-19 20:49
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +2,442 $346 18¢ $427 +$81 06-30 23:12
Ethereum all time high by June 30, 2026? No -400 $-400 100¢ $-400 +$0 06-26 23:08
Iran leadership change by June 30? No +400 $378 100¢ $400 +$22 06-01 14:26
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No +378 $319 100¢ $377 +$58 06-09 18:34
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +400 $344 90¢ $362 +$18 06-01 13:56
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No -342 $-320 100¢ $-341 $-21 06-17 16:43
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +400 $286 84¢ $334 +$48 06-01 15:17
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by June 30, 2026? No -300 $-300 100¢ $-300 +$0 06-28 18:23
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No -200 $-210 100¢ $-200 +$10 06-27 15:42
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? No +200 $182 96¢ $191 +$9 05-31 05:26
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No -200 $-188 95¢ $-190 $-2 06-11 11:08
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +270 $-15 70¢ $188 +$203 06-29 19:32
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes -343 $-98 30¢ $-105 $-7 06-19 12:02
XRP all time high by June 30, 2026? No -100 $-100 100¢ $-100 $-0 06-26 21:19
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No -4 $-307 99¢ $-4 +$302 06-28 02:12
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? Yes -790 $-317 $-2 +$315 06-19 19:11
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No +0 $-4 100¢ $0 +$4 06-12 00:11