Realized P&L
-$909
Unrealized P&L
+$1.07K
Hit rate
86.8%
Resolved
10
Trades
9,911
lifetime
Volume
$955.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$96
Open exposure
$6.11K
10 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 07-21 16:09
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Politics
78% 80% $-909
Other
17%
Crypto
4%
Sports
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
81 active days in 12wk • peak 511 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +4,524 $3,348 72¢ $3.2K $-114 07-21 16:09
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +3,240 $662 46¢ $1.5K +$845 07-15 16:05
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +400 $344 90¢ $358 +$14 06-01 13:56
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +400 $286 74¢ $294 +$8 06-01 15:17
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? No +200 $182 98¢ $195 +$13 05-31 05:26
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No -200 $-188 96¢ $-192 $-4 06-11 11:08
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No -200 $-188 95¢ $-190 $-2 07-01 14:30
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No -130 $-343 99¢ $-128 +$215 07-12 06:57
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? No +14 $8 44¢ $6 $-2 07-03 05:40
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes -343 $-98 $-4 +$94 06-19 12:02