Realized P&L
+$508
Unrealized P&L
+$1
Hit rate
54.2%
Resolved
533
Trades
1,771
lifetime
Volume
$11.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$314
17 positions
First seen
2026-02-24
last 11-06 01:56
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 123 days
Categories
Crypto
43% 33% +$228
Other
42% 38% +$219
Politics
10% 42% -$5
Sports
4% 42% +$70
Tech
0% 0% -$4
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
12 active days in 12wk • peak 101 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +207 $55 28¢ $57 +$2 11-05 12:44
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +266 $50 21¢ $56 +$7 11-06 01:56
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of November 2 2026? Yes +544 $58 9¢ $51 -$7 11-03 13:49
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +44 $20 67¢ $29 +$9 11-05 01:29
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in November? Yes +38 $20 64¢ $24 +$4 11-04 12:35
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in November? Yes +30 $15 70¢ $21 +$6 11-02 18:08
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +119 $15 12¢ $14 -$1 11-05 00:46
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +44 $15 30¢ $13 -$2 10-31 07:20
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +185 $15 7¢ $13 -$2 11-05 00:46
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -12 -$10 98¢ $-12 -$2 05-04 19:52
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in November? Yes +13 $5 44¢ $6 +$1 11-02 17:45
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +41 $5 13¢ $5 +$0 11-05 01:36
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +26 $5 19¢ $5 $0 11-05 01:36
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +4 $4 100¢ $4 +$0 11-03 09:14
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No -6 $1 9¢ $-1 -$2 06-12 10:48
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 Week of November 2 2026? Yes +53 $5 0¢ $0 -$5 11-05 03:33
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? No +35 $10 0¢ $0 -$10 11-03 09:11