Realized P&L
+$95
Unrealized P&L
+$16
Hit rate
89.0%
Resolved
814
Trades
1,888
lifetime
Volume
$16.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$9
Open exposure
$489
16 positions
First seen
2026-03-17
last 10-29 06:05
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 116 days
Categories
Other
58% 82% -$1
Sports
37% 85% +$46
Politics
3% 82% +$72
Tech
2% 83% -$3
Crypto
1% 52% -$19
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
70 active days in 12wk • peak 80 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -108 -$105 97¢ $-105 +$1 10-02 15:39
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by october 31 20260810151043583 No +76 $75 100¢ $76 +$1 10-21 05:03
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? No +51 $50 99¢ $51 +$1 09-06 09:46
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +50 $45 94¢ $47 +$2 09-06 09:49
Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026? No +44 $40 98¢ $43 +$3 10-26 07:42
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? No +36 $30 92¢ $33 +$3 10-26 15:57
Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? No +27 $25 88¢ $24 -$1 10-20 03:55
US recession by end of 2026? No +16 $15 94¢ $15 +$0 10-02 05:21
Trump out as President before 2027? No +16 $15 96¢ $15 +$0 08-25 03:13
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? Yes +18 $15 82¢ $15 $0 10-25 12:33
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +22 $10 66¢ $15 +$5 07-14 04:14
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +69 $10 16¢ $11 +$1 07-23 05:07
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +215 $10 5¢ $11 +$1 07-23 05:15
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +12 $10 83¢ $10 +$0 07-23 05:07
Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026? Yes +10 $10 96¢ $10 $0 10-23 05:46
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +143 $10 6¢ $9 -$1 07-23 05:07