Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$47
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
122
lifetime
Volume
$5.14K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$42
Open exposure
$482
13 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 05-31 18:09
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
66%
Other
33%
Crypto
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
4 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -665 $-106 26¢ $-170 $-63 05-31 18:08
Iran Nuke before 2027? Yes -690 $-49 10¢ $-66 $-17 05-31 18:08
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? Yes -3,053 $-85 $-61 +$24 05-31 18:08
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? Yes -574 $-43 11¢ $-60 $-17 05-31 18:08
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes -1,078 $-61 $-54 +$7 05-31 18:08
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes -465 $-30 $-29 +$2 05-31 18:08
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? Yes -300 $-25 $-20 +$6 05-31 18:08
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? Yes -168 $-12 $-9 +$3 05-31 18:08
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30? Yes -623 $-7 $-5 +$3 05-31 18:08
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? Yes -493 $-4 $-3 +$1 05-31 18:09
NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in June 30, 2026? Yes -329 $-7 $-2 +$4 05-31 18:09
Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026? Yes -337 $-3 $-2 +$1 05-31 18:09
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? Yes -100 $-2 $-1 +$1 05-31 18:09