Motherly-Holiday-Leptocephalus — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$115

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

26.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$243

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-05-09

last 06-20 21:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 18 days

Categories

Other

43% 3% -$33

Politics

28% 14% -$49

Tech

17% 0% -$30

Crypto

13% 0% -$3

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-20).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes		+77	$1	0¢	$0	-$1	05-11 17:22

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	2	$40	156	156	+0	No	+$30	06-20 21:04
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?	2	$30	293	0	+293	Yes	-$30	05-11 01:46
Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026?	3	$25	268	268	+0	Yes	-$15	05-22 23:32
Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026?	2	$19	214	214	+0	open	—	05-11 18:13
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	2	$10	109	109	+0	Yes	+$0	05-10 01:08
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	1	$10	43	0	+43	Yes	-$10	05-09 23:27
Will MrBeast hit 491 million subscribers by June 30?	1	$10	184	0	+184	Yes	-$10	05-10 00:45
Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026?	2	$9	92	92	+0	open	—	05-23 00:46
Will MrBeast hit 122.5 billion views by May 31?	2	$9	186	0	+186	Yes	-$9	05-11 17:54
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	2	$6	8	0	+8	Yes	+$2	05-23 01:11
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	1	$5	100	0	+100	No	-$5	05-12 21:46
Will Trump Leave China on May 15?	1	$5	79	0	+79	Yes	-$5	05-12 17:15
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	1	$5	139	0	+139	No	-$5	05-10 01:35
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	2	$4	141	0	+141	Yes	-$4	05-12 16:42
Will MrBeast's next video get between 45 and 50 million views on day 1?	1	$3	75	0	+75	No	-$3	05-12 17:01
Will Scott Bessent attend Trump’s Xi summit?	1	$2	34	0	+34	Yes	-$2	05-12 21:57
Will Tim Cook attend Trump’s Xi summit?	1	$2	83	0	+83	Yes	-$2	05-12 21:56
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on May 10?	1	$2	133	0	+133	No	-$2	05-09 23:53
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 20 million views on day 1?	1	$2	203	0	+203	No	-$2	05-12 17:01
Will MrBeast's next video get between 20 and 25 million views on day 1?	1	$2	100	0	+100	No	-$2	05-12 17:01
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	1	$2	2,000	0	+2,000	Yes	-$2	05-09 21:46
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country?	1	$2	73	0	+73	No	-$2	05-12 21:51
Will Trump Leave China on May 17?	1	$2	122	0	+122	No	-$2	05-12 22:02
Will any CEO of a publicly-listed US company attend Trump’s Xi summit?	1	$2	136	0	+136	Yes	-$2	05-12 21:57
Will Trump Leave China on May 16?	1	$2	71	0	+71	No	-$2	05-12 22:02
Will Marco Rubio attend Trump’s Xi summit?	1	$2	47	0	+47	Yes	-$2	05-12 21:57
Will Melania Trump attend Trump’s Xi summit?	1	$2	69	0	+69	No	-$2	05-12 21:56
Will Elon Musk attend Trump’s Xi summit?	1	$2	84	0	+84	Yes	-$2	05-12 21:56
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 12, 2026?	2	$2	174	0	+174	No	-$2	05-11 20:33
Will Trump Leave China on May 14?	1	$2	89	0	+89	No	-$2	05-12 22:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-20 21:04:32	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	156	22¢	$35	0x821494…
05-27 15:37:14	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	167	1¢	$1	0x7db514…
05-27 15:37:03	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	83	1¢	$1	0x0fdda9…
05-26 11:43:48	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	BUY	29	3¢	$1	0xa8144c…
05-26 11:39:52	Will "Passenger" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 9.5m and 11m?	No	BUY	23	4¢	$1	0xbe67d5…
05-26 11:36:13	Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0x1ba44c…
05-26 11:35:28	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	29	3¢	$1	0x76fcc8…
05-23 01:11:39	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	Yes	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x3fe969…
05-23 01:11:06	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0xae6a38…
05-23 00:59:19	Will Trump and Putin not meet?	No	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0xa72fa0…
05-23 00:56:45	Will Trump attend his son's wedding?	Yes	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0xf3db1a…
05-23 00:46:50	Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	92	5¢	$4	0x6ab209…
05-23 00:41:14	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	Yes	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xc2ab93…
05-22 23:32:54	Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	268	2¢	$5	0x3c0889…
05-13 11:47:44	Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5)	TheMongolz	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xa69f60…
05-12 22:31:20	Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	143	7¢	$10	0xbae8cf…
05-12 22:02:21	Will Trump Leave China on May 14?	Yes	BUY	89	2¢	$2	0xc2726c…
05-12 22:02:08	Will Trump Leave China on May 17?	Yes	BUY	122	2¢	$2	0x9ff219…
05-12 22:02:03	Will Trump Leave China on May 16?	Yes	BUY	71	3¢	$2	0xd2b4af…
05-12 21:57:35	Will Marco Rubio attend Trump’s Xi summit?	No	BUY	47	4¢	$2	0x3002d6…
05-12 21:57:21	Will any CEO of a publicly-listed US company attend Trump’s Xi summit?	No	BUY	136	1¢	$2	0xc49897…
05-12 21:57:06	Will Scott Bessent attend Trump’s Xi summit?	No	BUY	34	6¢	$2	0x7bd1aa…
05-12 21:56:50	Will Melania Trump attend Trump’s Xi summit?	Yes	BUY	69	3¢	$2	0xf86bfe…
05-12 21:56:34	Will Elon Musk attend Trump’s Xi summit?	No	BUY	84	2¢	$2	0x8d5c07…
05-12 21:56:01	Will Tim Cook attend Trump’s Xi summit?	No	BUY	83	2¢	$2	0xe7a49c…
05-12 21:51:54	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country?	Yes	BUY	73	3¢	$2	0x8b155c…
05-12 21:46:30	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x3d3aee…
05-12 19:19:09	Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xd71257…
05-12 19:19:04	Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xd3d956…
05-12 19:18:55	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x92f88f…
05-12 19:18:47	Will Stephen Miran be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xe8e581…
05-12 19:18:40	Will Jerome Powell be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x0664b4…
05-12 19:18:26	Will Christopher Waller be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x8bbd41…
05-12 19:18:17	Will Kevin Hassett be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x758b2d…
05-12 19:18:03	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xa523ac…
05-12 17:15:40	Will Trump Leave China on May 15?	No	BUY	79	6¢	$5	0x84dd05…
05-12 17:01:31	Will MrBeast's next video get between 45 and 50 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	75	4¢	$3	0x427a8c…
05-12 17:01:15	Will MrBeast's next video get between 20 and 25 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xa64e5a…
05-12 17:01:03	Will MrBeast's next video get less than 20 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	203	1¢	$2	0xf019bb…
05-12 16:46:04	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x1f28a7…
05-12 16:42:18	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	80	2¢	$2	0xbfb7b1…
05-12 13:49:36	Will Donald Trump visit China on May 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	48	2¢	$1	0xf6244d…
05-12 12:21:45	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	61	3¢	$2	0xe9a3b0…
05-11 20:33:10	Will Donald Trump visit China on May 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	91	1¢	$1	0x1778c7…
05-11 20:30:53	Will Donald Trump visit China on May 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	83	1¢	$1	0xfb7992…
05-11 18:13:40	Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	214	4¢	$9	0x3b3fa3…
05-11 17:54:58	Will MrBeast hit 122.5 billion views by May 31?	No	BUY	41	2¢	$1	0x1fe218…
05-11 17:34:29	Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	92	5¢	$5	0x44c15b…
05-11 17:32:55	Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	214	5¢	$10	0xb91258…
05-11 17:22:13	Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	77	1¢	$1	0xb16798…
05-11 17:19:56	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	156	3¢	$5	0x116fcd…
05-11 01:46:43	Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?	No	BUY	245	4¢	$10	0x0dd272…
05-10 01:35:27	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	139	3¢	$5	0x5dccfe…
05-10 01:08:59	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	No	SELL	109	5¢	$5	0x409cdd…
05-10 00:53:11	Will MrBeast hit 122.5 billion views by May 31?	No	BUY	145	5¢	$8	0x36dc10…
05-10 00:45:15	Will MrBeast hit 491 million subscribers by June 30?	No	BUY	184	5¢	$10	0xba311b…
05-09 23:53:30	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on May 10?	Yes	BUY	133	2¢	$2	0x12ed94…
05-09 23:48:42	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 10?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x441e6d…
05-09 23:27:45	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0xee7163…
05-09 23:03:36	Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x8e70bc…
05-09 22:16:40	Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?	No	BUY	48	41¢	$20	0xf52a35…
05-09 21:46:05	Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0x197b44…
05-09 21:21:47	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	No	BUY	109	5¢	$5	0xcdf855…
05-09 21:09:09	Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	125	8¢	$10	0x6105b6…