Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$12
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
137
lifetime
Volume
$403
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$15
9 positions
First seen
2026-01-15
last 06-30 03:56
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
58%
Other
24%
Sports
11%
Crypto
6%
Tech
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
21 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026? No +6 $6 100¢ $6 +$0 06-19 11:14
Will Patrick Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding? Yes +4 $4 94¢ $4 $-0 06-27 23:57
Will any U.S. Senator enter Iran by June 30? No +2 $2 100¢ $2 +$0 06-27 23:58
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? Yes +20 $1 $1 +$0 06-19 11:17
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? Yes +10 $3 10¢ $1 $-2 06-08 11:43
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? Yes +21 $1 $1 $-0 06-19 10:45
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30? Yes +42 $5 $0 $-5 06-08 13:37
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? Yes +10 $3 $0 $-3 06-14 15:59
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? Yes +6 $2 $0 $-2 06-09 22:03