Gruesome-Chow — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$13

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

68.3%

Resolved

Trades

398

lifetime

Volume

$1.31K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-05

last 06-13 00:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Politics

77% 50% +$13

Other

20% — —

Tech

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump say "My father" this week?	62	$292	253	253	+0	No	+$18	05-06 16:17
Will Trump say "Kamala" this week?	48	$200	271	234	+37	No	$-1	05-06 17:40
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?	31	$170	159	154	+5	Yes	+$3	05-06 20:47
Will Trump say "Cuba" this week?	54	$89	82	82	+0	open	—	05-16 23:14
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	24	$75	53	53	+0	open	—	05-14 10:08
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	5	$72	37	37	+0	open	—	05-10 08:14
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?	24	$54	40	26	+15	open	—	05-15 04:52
Will MrBeast say "Feastables" during his next YouTube video?	21	$40	45	27	+19	open	—	05-16 15:16
Will Bernie say "Greed" or "Greedy" in Maine?	7	$22	25	21	+4	open	—	05-23 10:51
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 80% by June 30?	15	$21	31	13	+19	open	—	05-23 16:01
Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?	5	$15	7	10	-4	open	—	05-16 15:13
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?	10	$15	14	12	+2	open	—	05-13 19:41
Will Trump speak to Ursula von der Leyen in May?	9	$15	16	7	+9	Yes	$-5	05-07 14:53
Will Marco Rubio say "President" or "Trump" 10+ times during press briefing today?	7	$12	6	6	+0	Yes	+$0	05-05 20:21
Will Bernie say "Healthcare" 4+ times in Maine?	4	$12	7	7	+0	open	—	05-23 10:42
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?	1	$11	0	14	-14	open	—	06-13 00:44
Will NVIDIA say "Vara" or "Rubin" 10+ times during their next earnings call?	5	$10	15	2	+14	open	—	05-20 05:31
Will "AI" be said 20+ times during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	05-11 21:13
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	1	$10	0	11	-11	open	—	06-13 00:45
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	1	$10	0	10	-10	open	—	06-13 00:45
Will Trump say "Ship" or "Chip" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$8	10	0	+10	open	—	05-14 10:38
Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?	3	$8	9	6	+3	open	—	05-05 21:02
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	1	$8	0	10	-10	open	—	06-13 00:45
Will Lee Zeldin leave the Trump administration before 2027?	1	$7	0	12	-12	open	—	06-13 00:45
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?	1	$7	0	11	-11	open	—	06-13 00:45
Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 20+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	6	$7	6	6	+0	open	—	05-18 13:24
gpt 5pt6 released by june 15 2026 343	1	$7	0	7	-7	open	—	06-13 00:45
Will Bernie say "Corrupt" or "Corruption" in Maine?	3	$6	4	4	+0	open	—	05-23 10:48
Will NVIDIA say "Data Center" 20+ times during their next earnings call?	3	$6	4	4	+0	open	—	05-20 21:23
Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?	1	$6	0	7	-7	open	—	06-13 00:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-13 00:45:48	Tucker Carlson announces a run for office by June 30?	No	SELL	3	90¢	$3	0x92805d…
06-13 00:45:45	Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?	No	SELL	4	81¢	$3	0x7a3048…
06-13 00:45:42	OpenAI IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	4	53¢	$2	0x115912…
06-13 00:45:39	Will Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	SELL	4	66¢	$3	0x471e41…
06-13 00:45:36	Will Google Gemini score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam?	No	SELL	5	86¢	$4	0x226299…
06-13 00:45:31	Google x SpaceX agree to put data centers in space by June 30?	No	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0x0388d0…
06-13 00:45:30	Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?	No	SELL	6	60¢	$4	0x5c69b1…
06-13 00:45:27	Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Yes	SELL	6	33¢	$2	0x2951ce…
06-13 00:45:24	Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?	No	SELL	7	83¢	$6	0xe2cc33…
06-13 00:45:21	gpt 5pt6 released by june 15 2026 343	No	SELL	7	96¢	$7	0x8d6041…
06-13 00:45:18	Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?	No	SELL	7	84¢	$6	0x8b0422…
06-13 00:45:16	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	No	SELL	10	79¢	$8	0x93af97…
06-13 00:45:13	Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	SELL	10	55¢	$6	0x341d38…
06-13 00:45:10	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	10	94¢	$10	0x7c0349…
06-13 00:45:07	Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	11	65¢	$7	0xb17dde…
06-13 00:45:04	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	11	90¢	$10	0x172729…
06-13 00:45:00	Will Lee Zeldin leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	SELL	12	64¢	$7	0x07118f…
06-13 00:44:57	Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	SELL	13	45¢	$6	0x3411b0…
06-13 00:44:54	Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	SELL	14	73¢	$11	0x65aca7…
06-13 00:44:52	Will Donald Trump visit Canada in 2026?	Yes	SELL	17	25¢	$4	0x8054f0…
05-24 09:28:21	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	SELL	2	75¢	$1	0x8e952c…
05-24 09:24:44	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	4	67¢	$3	0x76f366…
05-24 09:24:18	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0x9909a6…
05-23 16:01:06	Will Polymarket mindshare hit 80% by June 30?	No	SELL	0	45¢	$0	0x6bb4f8…
05-23 16:00:59	Will Polymarket mindshare hit 80% by June 30?	No	SELL	0	45¢	$0	0xa3f05d…
05-23 16:00:13	Will Polymarket mindshare hit 80% by June 30?	No	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x7dbc9e…
05-23 10:51:15	Will Bernie say "Greed" or "Greedy" in Maine?	No	SELL	9	35¢	$3	0x98f608…
05-23 10:50:32	Will Bernie say "Greed" or "Greedy" in Maine?	No	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0x38bec2…
05-23 10:49:41	Will Bernie say "Greed" or "Greedy" in Maine?	Yes	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0xd0504c…
05-23 10:49:39	Will Bernie say "Greed" or "Greedy" in Maine?	No	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0x9ae34c…
05-23 10:49:20	Will Bernie say "Greed" or "Greedy" in Maine?	Yes	SELL	7	70¢	$5	0xc879b0…
05-23 10:48:10	Will Bernie say "Corrupt" or "Corruption" in Maine?	Yes	SELL	1	68¢	$1	0x4ce30f…
05-23 10:47:33	Will Bernie say "Greed" or "Greedy" in Maine?	Yes	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0xbfcd95…
05-23 10:47:33	Will Bernie say "Greed" or "Greedy" in Maine?	No	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x88452f…
05-23 10:44:29	Will Bernie say "Corrupt" or "Corruption" in Maine?	Yes	SELL	4	73¢	$3	0xca492d…
05-23 10:43:40	Will Bernie say "Corrupt" or "Corruption" in Maine?	Yes	BUY	4	67¢	$3	0x46e621…
05-23 10:42:44	Will Bernie say "Healthcare" 4+ times in Maine?	Yes	SELL	5	81¢	$4	0xf79d02…
05-23 10:42:22	Will Bernie say "Healthcare" 4+ times in Maine?	Yes	BUY	4	84¢	$3	0xcdd029…
05-23 10:42:22	Will Bernie say "Healthcare" 4+ times in Maine?	Yes	SELL	3	82¢	$2	0xc972d9…
05-23 10:42:02	Will Bernie say "Healthcare" 4+ times in Maine?	Yes	BUY	3	87¢	$3	0xb27897…
05-22 10:04:40	Will Polymarket mindshare hit 80% by June 30?	No	SELL	0	53¢	$0	0x8f8b01…
05-20 21:23:55	Will NVIDIA say "Data Center" 20+ times during their next earnings call?	Yes	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x1aaa5c…
05-20 15:30:18	Will NVIDIA say "Incredible" or "Unprecedented" during their next earnings call?	Yes	SELL	0	79¢	$0	0xb2fa06…
05-20 05:31:04	Will NVIDIA say "Vara" or "Rubin" 10+ times during their next earnings call?	No	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x8c2411…
05-20 05:31:04	Will NVIDIA say "Vara" or "Rubin" 10+ times during their next earnings call?	Yes	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x5dcd7d…
05-20 05:29:00	Will NVIDIA say "Data Center" 20+ times during their next earnings call?	Yes	SELL	2	72¢	$2	0xb5546e…
05-19 16:52:29	Will NVIDIA say "Data Center" 20+ times during their next earnings call?	Yes	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0xa4c27a…
05-19 16:44:26	Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 10+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	Yes	SELL	3	95¢	$3	0x0885c5…
05-19 07:09:35	Will NVIDIA say "Incredible" or "Unprecedented" during their next earnings call?	Yes	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0x66fe41…
05-19 06:00:15	Will NVIDIA say "Vara" or "Rubin" 10+ times during their next earnings call?	Yes	SELL	1	75¢	$1	0x1d1eee…
05-19 06:00:12	Will NVIDIA say "Vara" or "Rubin" 10+ times during their next earnings call?	Yes	SELL	1	75¢	$1	0xe97ea8…
05-19 05:59:49	Will NVIDIA say "Vara" or "Rubin" 10+ times during their next earnings call?	Yes	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0xe6e780…
05-18 13:24:39	Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 20+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	Yes	SELL	1	66¢	$1	0x45acaa…
05-18 10:55:05	Will Polymarket mindshare hit 80% by June 30?	No	SELL	0	52¢	$0	0x117197…
05-18 10:54:09	Will Polymarket mindshare hit 80% by June 30?	No	SELL	0	52¢	$0	0x0f1582…
05-18 10:14:11	Will Polymarket mindshare hit 80% by June 30?	No	SELL	0	47¢	$0	0x649b48…
05-18 10:13:42	Will Polymarket mindshare hit 80% by June 30?	No	SELL	0	57¢	$0	0x56e29b…
05-18 08:25:43	Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 20+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	Yes	SELL	1	61¢	$0	0xfc08de…
05-18 07:05:53	Will Polymarket mindshare hit 80% by June 30?	No	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0x8f6866…
05-18 06:58:06	Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 20+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	Yes	SELL	1	66¢	$1	0xefe7b4…
05-18 06:57:28	Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 20+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	Yes	SELL	2	74¢	$2	0x753e33…
05-17 22:10:43	Will Polymarket mindshare hit 80% by June 30?	No	SELL	1	44¢	$0	0x573268…
05-17 08:02:34	Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 20+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	Yes	SELL	1	58¢	$0	0xc8dcc6…
05-17 07:59:59	Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 20+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	Yes	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0xf2b7a6…
05-16 23:14:38	Will Trump say "Cuba" this week?	No	SELL	1	37¢	$0	0x59a2f2…
05-16 23:14:13	Will Trump say "Cuba" this week?	No	SELL	0	51¢	$0	0x235444…
05-16 23:14:04	Will Trump say "Cuba" this week?	No	SELL	0	51¢	$0	0x379dba…
05-16 23:13:28	Will Trump say "Cuba" this week?	No	SELL	1	53¢	$0	0xbd49d8…
05-16 23:11:36	Will Trump say "Cuba" this week?	No	SELL	4	51¢	$2	0x9d1bdf…
05-16 23:09:40	Will Trump say "Cuba" this week?	No	SELL	1	60¢	$0	0x8340d1…
05-16 23:05:40	Will Trump say "Cuba" this week?	Yes	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0x042dfa…
05-16 23:01:44	Will Trump say "Cuba" this week?	Yes	SELL	3	61¢	$2	0x5c7396…
05-16 23:01:00	Will Trump say "Cuba" this week?	Yes	BUY	4	69¢	$3	0xd877af…
05-16 23:01:00	Will Trump say "Cuba" this week?	Yes	SELL	15	61¢	$9	0x173ef7…
05-16 22:59:59	Will Trump say "Cuba" this week?	Yes	SELL	4	65¢	$3	0xf47e8c…
05-16 22:58:18	Will Trump say "Cuba" this week?	No	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0xd2cbe7…
05-16 22:58:16	Will Trump say "Cuba" this week?	Yes	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x6763c3…
05-16 22:57:18	Will Trump say "Cuba" this week?	No	SELL	2	66¢	$2	0xa78f7f…
05-16 22:56:40	Will Trump say "Cuba" this week?	No	SELL	3	62¢	$2	0x940d95…
05-16 22:55:38	Will Trump say "Cuba" this week?	Yes	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0xf28d38…
05-16 22:55:38	Will Trump say "Cuba" this week?	No	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x6daad8…
05-16 22:54:42	Will Trump say "Cuba" this week?	No	SELL	5	57¢	$3	0xd4bdca…
05-16 22:54:35	Will Trump say "Cuba" this week?	No	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xcd4f57…
05-16 22:54:35	Will Trump say "Cuba" this week?	No	SELL	8	58¢	$5	0x20f298…
05-16 22:49:54	Will Trump say "Cuba" this week?	Yes	SELL	1	67¢	$1	0x5f5505…
05-16 22:47:39	Will Trump say "Cuba" this week?	No	SELL	1	78¢	$1	0xe4f19f…
05-16 22:46:25	Will Trump say "Cuba" this week?	Yes	SELL	5	61¢	$3	0x18fd74…
05-16 22:46:22	Will Trump say "Cuba" this week?	Yes	SELL	3	66¢	$2	0x0c2c15…
05-16 22:44:47	Will Trump say "Cuba" this week?	Yes	BUY	14	22¢	$3	0xaeb05b…
05-16 22:44:47	Will Trump say "Cuba" this week?	No	BUY	4	82¢	$3	0x108c6d…
05-16 22:43:37	Will Trump say "Cuba" this week?	Yes	SELL	1	57¢	$1	0xc2d02f…
05-16 22:43:02	Will Trump say "Cuba" this week?	Yes	SELL	1	61¢	$1	0xfbb889…
05-16 22:40:18	Will Trump say "Cuba" this week?	Yes	SELL	3	54¢	$2	0x4c6df3…
05-16 22:38:38	Will Trump say "Cuba" this week?	Yes	SELL	1	66¢	$1	0x0b19f6…
05-16 22:38:24	Will Trump say "Cuba" this week?	Yes	SELL	1	66¢	$0	0x027b39…
05-16 22:37:42	Will Trump say "Cuba" this week?	Yes	SELL	1	60¢	$0	0xaa68ef…
05-16 22:37:32	Will Trump say "Cuba" this week?	Yes	SELL	1	66¢	$0	0xa65b7a…
05-16 22:37:18	Will Trump say "Cuba" this week?	Yes	SELL	1	68¢	$1	0x01b24b…
05-16 22:31:00	Will Trump say "Cuba" this week?	No	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0xae9073…
05-16 22:31:00	Will Trump say "Cuba" this week?	Yes	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x648c17…