Gruesome-Chow — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$8

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

54.9%

Resolved

Trades

589

lifetime

Volume

$1.95K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-05

last 06-13 00:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 25 days

Categories

Politics

62% 39% +$6

Other

25% 53% -$21

Tech

7% 86% +$8

Sports

6% — —

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-13).

Open positions Resolved markets (20) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump say "My father" this week?	62	$292	253	253	+0	No	+$18	05-06 16:17
Will Trump say "Kamala" this week?	48	$200	271	234	+37	No	-$1	05-06 17:40
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?	31	$170	159	154	+5	Yes	+$3	05-06 20:47
Will Khamzat Chimaev be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	15	$113	65	65	+0	open	—	05-10 17:25
Will Trump say "Cuba" this week?	54	$89	82	82	+0	Yes	+$11	05-16 23:14
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	24	$75	53	53	+0	No	-$3	05-14 10:08
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	5	$72	37	37	+0	No	$0	05-10 08:14
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?	10	$62	40	40	+0	open	—	05-09 22:18
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?	8	$56	40	40	+0	open	—	06-13 00:44
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?	24	$54	40	26	+15	Yes	-$10	05-15 04:52
Will Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in May?	23	$51	49	42	+7	No	-$6	05-16 23:22
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	19	$47	52	52	+0	Yes	+$0	05-12 21:37
Will MrBeast say "Feastables" during his next YouTube video?	21	$40	45	27	+19	No	-$8	05-16 15:16
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	4	$38	21	21	+0	No	+$1	06-13 00:45
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	8	$34	20	20	+0	open	—	06-13 00:45
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	6	$31	18	18	+0	open	—	06-13 00:45
Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027?	10	$29	25	25	+0	open	—	06-13 00:45
Google x SpaceX agree to put data centers in space by June 30?	15	$27	17	17	+0	No	+$1	06-13 00:45
Will Bernie say "Greed" or "Greedy" in Maine?	7	$22	25	21	+4	No	-$2	05-23 10:51
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 80% by June 30?	15	$21	31	13	+19	Yes	-$9	05-23 16:01
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	3	$20	11	11	+0	No	+$0	05-18 22:13
AI bubble burst in 2026?	4	$20	13	13	+0	open	—	05-16 23:41
Will Lee Zeldin leave the Trump administration before 2027?	6	$18	15	15	+0	open	—	06-13 00:45
Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?	6	$18	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	05-16 15:13
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027?	7	$17	15	15	+0	open	—	06-13 00:44
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?	4	$16	11	11	+0	open	—	06-13 00:45
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?	10	$15	14	12	+2	Yes	$0	05-13 19:41
Will Trump speak to Ursula von der Leyen in May?	9	$15	16	7	+9	Yes	-$5	05-07 14:53
Will Trump speak to Mark Rutte in May?	4	$15	10	10	+0	No	$0	05-14 17:12
Will Marco Rubio say "President" or "Trump" 10+ times during press briefing today?	7	$12	6	6	+0	Yes	+$0	05-05 20:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-13 00:45:48	Tucker Carlson announces a run for office by June 30?	No	SELL	3	90¢	$3	0x92805d…
06-13 00:45:45	Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?	No	SELL	4	81¢	$3	0x7a3048…
06-13 00:45:42	OpenAI IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	4	53¢	$2	0x115912…
06-13 00:45:39	Will Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	SELL	4	66¢	$3	0x471e41…
06-13 00:45:36	Will Google Gemini score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam?	No	SELL	5	86¢	$4	0x226299…
06-13 00:45:31	Google x SpaceX agree to put data centers in space by June 30?	No	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0x0388d0…
06-13 00:45:30	Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?	No	SELL	6	60¢	$4	0x5c69b1…
06-13 00:45:27	Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Yes	SELL	6	33¢	$2	0x2951ce…
06-13 00:45:24	Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?	No	SELL	7	83¢	$6	0xe2cc33…
06-13 00:45:21	gpt 5pt6 released by june 15 2026 343	No	SELL	7	96¢	$7	0x8d6041…
06-13 00:45:18	Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?	No	SELL	7	84¢	$6	0x8b0422…
06-13 00:45:16	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	No	SELL	10	79¢	$8	0x93af97…
06-13 00:45:13	Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	SELL	10	55¢	$6	0x341d38…
06-13 00:45:10	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	10	94¢	$10	0x7c0349…
06-13 00:45:07	Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	11	65¢	$7	0xb17dde…
06-13 00:45:04	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	11	90¢	$10	0x172729…
06-13 00:45:00	Will Lee Zeldin leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	SELL	12	64¢	$7	0x07118f…
06-13 00:44:57	Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	SELL	13	45¢	$6	0x3411b0…
06-13 00:44:54	Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	SELL	14	73¢	$11	0x65aca7…
06-13 00:44:52	Will Donald Trump visit Canada in 2026?	Yes	SELL	17	25¢	$4	0x8054f0…
05-24 09:28:21	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	SELL	2	75¢	$1	0x8e952c…
05-24 09:24:44	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	4	67¢	$3	0x76f366…
05-24 09:24:18	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0x9909a6…
05-24 08:55:25	Will Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	BUY	4	67¢	$3	0x611c5c…
05-24 03:18:45	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0x96f839…
05-23 22:25:43	Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	SELL	7	67¢	$5	0xd059f6…
05-23 20:09:34	Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0xe49dc4…
05-23 16:01:06	Will Polymarket mindshare hit 80% by June 30?	No	SELL	0	45¢	$0	0x6bb4f8…
05-23 16:00:59	Will Polymarket mindshare hit 80% by June 30?	No	SELL	0	45¢	$0	0xa3f05d…
05-23 16:00:13	Will Polymarket mindshare hit 80% by June 30?	No	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x7dbc9e…
05-23 10:51:15	Will Bernie say "Greed" or "Greedy" in Maine?	No	SELL	9	35¢	$3	0x98f608…
05-23 10:50:32	Will Bernie say "Greed" or "Greedy" in Maine?	No	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0x38bec2…
05-23 10:49:41	Will Bernie say "Greed" or "Greedy" in Maine?	Yes	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0xd0504c…
05-23 10:49:39	Will Bernie say "Greed" or "Greedy" in Maine?	No	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0x9ae34c…
05-23 10:49:20	Will Bernie say "Greed" or "Greedy" in Maine?	Yes	SELL	7	70¢	$5	0xc879b0…
05-23 10:48:10	Will Bernie say "Corrupt" or "Corruption" in Maine?	Yes	SELL	1	68¢	$1	0x4ce30f…
05-23 10:47:33	Will Bernie say "Greed" or "Greedy" in Maine?	Yes	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0xbfcd95…
05-23 10:47:33	Will Bernie say "Greed" or "Greedy" in Maine?	No	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x88452f…
05-23 10:44:29	Will Bernie say "Corrupt" or "Corruption" in Maine?	Yes	SELL	4	73¢	$3	0xca492d…
05-23 10:43:40	Will Bernie say "Corrupt" or "Corruption" in Maine?	Yes	BUY	4	67¢	$3	0x46e621…
05-23 10:42:44	Will Bernie say "Healthcare" 4+ times in Maine?	Yes	SELL	5	81¢	$4	0xf79d02…
05-23 10:42:22	Will Bernie say "Healthcare" 4+ times in Maine?	Yes	BUY	4	84¢	$3	0xcdd029…
05-23 10:42:22	Will Bernie say "Healthcare" 4+ times in Maine?	Yes	SELL	3	82¢	$2	0xc972d9…
05-23 10:42:02	Will Bernie say "Healthcare" 4+ times in Maine?	Yes	BUY	3	87¢	$3	0xb27897…
05-23 10:26:05	GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?	No	SELL	1	39¢	$0	0x0f2963…
05-23 10:25:16	GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?	No	SELL	0	38¢	$0	0xb2b8b9…
05-23 10:24:46	GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?	No	SELL	0	37¢	$0	0x6303d6…
05-23 10:24:25	GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?	No	SELL	0	36¢	$0	0x49fbfe…
05-23 10:24:10	GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?	No	SELL	0	36¢	$0	0x3ae76e…
05-23 10:21:23	GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0x649411…
05-23 09:13:52	Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x85700a…
05-23 07:57:20	Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?	No	BUY	38	8¢	$3	0x3a6535…
05-23 06:05:34	Tucker Carlson announces a run for office by June 30?	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x75736e…
05-23 05:59:37	Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?	No	BUY	3	87¢	$3	0xa9d71b…
05-23 05:58:32	Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?	No	BUY	4	83¢	$3	0xb653ac…
05-22 21:19:35	OpenAI IPO before 2027?	No	SELL	12	29¢	$4	0x41dd4e…
05-22 21:19:29	Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	4	70¢	$3	0x17485d…
05-22 20:50:40	Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	SELL	6	68¢	$4	0x61f588…
05-22 20:50:28	Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	SELL	16	70¢	$11	0x69c93f…
05-22 10:40:09	Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x6acbce…
05-22 10:27:11	GPT-5.6 released by June 8, 2026?	No	SELL	0	65¢	$0	0x01a983…
05-22 10:27:04	GPT-5.6 released by June 8, 2026?	No	SELL	0	69¢	$0	0x3e061d…
05-22 10:23:13	GPT-5.6 released by June 8, 2026?	No	SELL	0	67¢	$0	0x05ea6e…
05-22 10:18:19	GPT-5.6 released by June 8, 2026?	No	SELL	0	75¢	$0	0x79c24d…
05-22 10:04:40	Will Polymarket mindshare hit 80% by June 30?	No	SELL	0	53¢	$0	0x8f8b01…
05-22 03:03:14	GPT-5.6 released by June 8, 2026?	No	SELL	0	61¢	$0	0x4a50f7…
05-21 13:17:47	GPT-5.6 released by June 8, 2026?	No	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x466da1…
05-21 08:35:46	Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?	No	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0x1e6987…
05-21 06:49:08	Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x9a25da…
05-21 06:48:32	OpenAI IPO before 2027?	No	BUY	12	25¢	$3	0x661468…
05-20 22:25:50	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	82¢	$1	0xf35c7d…
05-20 21:23:55	Will NVIDIA say "Data Center" 20+ times during their next earnings call?	Yes	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x1aaa5c…
05-20 19:13:08	OpenAI IPO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	4	71¢	$3	0x459329…
05-20 19:04:49	Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	SELL	3	67¢	$2	0x5e2f78…
05-20 15:30:18	Will NVIDIA say "Incredible" or "Unprecedented" during their next earnings call?	Yes	SELL	0	79¢	$0	0xb2fa06…
05-20 05:31:04	Will NVIDIA say "Vara" or "Rubin" 10+ times during their next earnings call?	No	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x8c2411…
05-20 05:31:04	Will NVIDIA say "Vara" or "Rubin" 10+ times during their next earnings call?	Yes	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x5dcd7d…
05-20 05:29:00	Will NVIDIA say "Data Center" 20+ times during their next earnings call?	Yes	SELL	2	72¢	$2	0xb5546e…
05-19 19:39:29	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	82¢	$2	0x912e5c…
05-19 19:21:05	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3	81¢	$2	0x750e29…
05-19 19:09:56	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3	81¢	$2	0xdf3be3…
05-19 16:52:29	Will NVIDIA say "Data Center" 20+ times during their next earnings call?	Yes	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0xa4c27a…
05-19 16:44:26	Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 10+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	Yes	SELL	3	95¢	$3	0x0885c5…
05-19 16:23:54	Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?	No	BUY	3	87¢	$3	0x0310aa…
05-19 07:09:35	Will NVIDIA say "Incredible" or "Unprecedented" during their next earnings call?	Yes	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0x66fe41…
05-19 06:00:15	Will NVIDIA say "Vara" or "Rubin" 10+ times during their next earnings call?	Yes	SELL	1	75¢	$1	0x1d1eee…
05-19 06:00:12	Will NVIDIA say "Vara" or "Rubin" 10+ times during their next earnings call?	Yes	SELL	1	75¢	$1	0xe97ea8…
05-19 05:59:49	Will NVIDIA say "Vara" or "Rubin" 10+ times during their next earnings call?	Yes	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0xe6e780…
05-18 22:13:18	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	SELL	7	97¢	$7	0x821c25…
05-18 17:55:10	Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?	No	BUY	38	8¢	$3	0x586c43…
05-18 16:57:51	Will Donald Trump visit Ireland in 2026?	No	SELL	3	58¢	$2	0x8e4336…
05-18 13:24:39	Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 20+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	Yes	SELL	1	66¢	$1	0x45acaa…
05-18 10:55:05	Will Polymarket mindshare hit 80% by June 30?	No	SELL	0	52¢	$0	0x117197…
05-18 10:54:09	Will Polymarket mindshare hit 80% by June 30?	No	SELL	0	52¢	$0	0x0f1582…
05-18 10:14:11	Will Polymarket mindshare hit 80% by June 30?	No	SELL	0	47¢	$0	0x649b48…
05-18 10:13:42	Will Polymarket mindshare hit 80% by June 30?	No	SELL	0	57¢	$0	0x56e29b…
05-18 09:31:52	Will Lee Zeldin leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xcc2d08…
05-18 09:30:53	Will Lee Zeldin leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0xd9c90c…
05-18 09:30:30	Will Lee Zeldin leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	SELL	0	64¢	$0	0x1a2bba…
05-18 09:30:26	Will Lee Zeldin leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	SELL	0	64¢	$0	0xd74b56…