Stiff-Rostrum — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

—

Unrealized P&L

-$124

Hit rate

—

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

622 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$38.1K lifetime

Avg / trade

$61

Open exposure

$725

3 positions

First seen

2026-03-02

last 09-19 01:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 55 days

Categories

Politics

48% 44% -$820

Other

47% 49% -$655

Tech

4% 67% -$656

Crypto

1% 25% -$34

Sports

0% 100% +$19

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	-400	-$300	92¢	$-366	-$66	06-11 20:10
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	-307	-$248	88¢	$-269	-$20	05-07 21:00
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	-97	-$52	92¢	$-90	-$37	05-20 21:22

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	14	$2.6K	1,500	1,500	+0	No	+$224	05-26 19:32
Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	32	$2.2K	3,636	3,355	+281	No	-$296	05-21 22:25
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	9	$1.6K	1,200	1,200	+0	No	+$52	06-28 03:56
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	8	$1.5K	1,080	1,080	+0	No	-$5	04-28 18:54
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	9	$1.2K	2,699	699	+2,000	Yes	+$145	05-01 20:11
LoL: Team Vitality vs Solary (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffs	10	$1.2K	716	716	+0	Team Vitality	-$72	04-28 18:14
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?	4	$1.0K	525	525	+0	Yes	+$1	05-16 07:50
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?	4	$913	500	500	+0	No	+$53	06-02 02:36
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	5	$871	500	500	+0	Yes	+$119	03-08 21:12
will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	5	$776	500	500	+0	No	+$114	03-11 22:19
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	2	$773	500	500	+0	No	+$158	04-23 21:37
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	5	$756	1,260	0	+1,260	Yes	-$756	06-30 23:20
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?	15	$679	478	478	+0	open	—	06-20 00:22
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?	3	$663	390	390	+0	Yes	-$26	05-17 18:43
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	2	$662	300	607	-307	open	—	05-07 21:00
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	6	$643	763	563	+200	Yes	+$170	04-16 06:27
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	11	$630	600	600	+0	No	+$270	04-26 20:43
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	2	$620	323	323	+0	No	+$20	05-11 03:13
jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 10	9	$613	693	313	+380	No	+$313	04-09 17:32
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	3	$592	451	451	+0	No	+$308	06-01 05:32
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 17	5	$559	312	312	+0	No	+$59	06-17 19:26
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	4	$528	300	300	+0	No	+$30	05-20 00:34
will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day in march	2	$497	300	300	+0	No	+$101	03-31 21:41
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?	3	$489	400	400	+0	No	+$123	05-27 19:23
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	1	$483	700	0	+700	Yes	-$483	06-08 19:49
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	2	$469	300	300	+0	No	+$109	07-13 16:06
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	2	$440	500	500	+0	No	+$10	03-16 21:41
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	2	$405	300	300	+0	open	—	06-15 22:38
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?	2	$390	600	600	+0	open	—	06-14 22:32
will sinners win best picture at the 98th academy awards	1	$373	474	0	+474	No	+$101	03-07 17:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-19 01:10:19	Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	1,262	24¢	$308	0x7bde2e…
08-01 12:57:59	will spider man brand new day score at least 90 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260630144026313	No	BUY	36	27¢	$10	0x8f8c2d…
08-01 12:51:39	will spider man brand new day score at least 90 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260630144026313	No	BUY	11	27¢	$3	0x93b9dd…
08-01 12:45:59	will spider man brand new day score at least 90 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260630144026313	No	BUY	13	27¢	$3	0x1d702b…
08-01 12:44:51	will spider man brand new day score at least 90 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260630144026313	No	BUY	25	27¢	$7	0xe2a081…
08-01 12:31:23	will spider man brand new day score at least 90 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260630144026313	No	BUY	44	27¢	$12	0x5d581f…
08-01 12:12:50	will spider man brand new day score at least 90 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260630144026313	No	BUY	62	27¢	$17	0xfb3917…
08-01 10:36:54	will spider man brand new day score at least 90 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260630144026313	No	BUY	10	27¢	$3	0x151727…
07-13 19:36:50	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	Yes	SELL	214	20¢	$42	0xf37bf3…
07-13 19:30:19	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	Yes	SELL	0	20¢	$0	0xcbdbac…
07-13 19:27:52	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	Yes	BUY	654	20¢	$130	0xb87815…
07-13 16:06:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	300	96¢	$289	0x34e719…
07-01 16:58:38	will claude mythos 5 be restored for us customers by june 30 20260613213553562	Yes	SELL	157	99¢	$156	0x05e82b…
06-30 23:20:40	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	BUY	110	38¢	$42	0xce2e85…
06-30 17:39:56	Will New People (NL) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	446	2¢	$11	0x0d13f1…
06-30 17:39:34	Will New People (NL) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	1,074	2¢	$25	0xf7fc94…
06-29 16:24:56	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	BUY	500	80¢	$400	0x0b401d…
06-28 23:31:59	will claude mythos 5 be restored for us customers by june 30 20260613213553562	Yes	BUY	157	73¢	$114	0xd00216…
06-28 03:56:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	600	99¢	$592	0x95fe24…
06-21 21:21:50	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	250	12¢	$30	0x066e7d…
06-21 21:14:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	300	60¢	$180	0x883aa0…
06-21 00:32:32	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	No	BUY	200	6¢	$11	0x45ce95…
06-20 00:35:35	another gta vi trailer released by june 26	Yes	BUY	300	56¢	$168	0x5c5b22…
06-20 00:22:40	Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?	No	SELL	478	83¢	$397	0x1f112b…
06-18 16:49:46	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	No	BUY	150	33¢	$49	0x7ba7c7…
06-17 21:58:40	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	No	BUY	100	53¢	$53	0x90030f…
06-17 21:58:26	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	No	BUY	400	53¢	$212	0x849c56…
06-17 19:26:55	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 17	No	SELL	252	99¢	$249	0x154559…
06-17 19:26:17	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 17	No	SELL	17	99¢	$16	0xdeb30d…
06-17 19:24:40	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 17	No	SELL	35	99¢	$35	0x44606c…
06-17 19:11:38	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 17	No	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x7991ae…
06-16 01:40:07	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 17	No	BUY	312	80¢	$250	0xb19f94…
06-15 22:38:34	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	300	72¢	$216	0x94e5b1…
06-14 22:48:43	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	689	26¢	$179	0x098620…
06-14 22:32:34	russia x ukraine ceasefire by december 31 2026	Yes	SELL	600	31¢	$186	0x308bcd…
06-14 21:50:36	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 14	No	SELL	154	2¢	$3	0x7bde99…
06-14 18:52:51	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 14	No	BUY	154	85¢	$131	0x96f3a8…
06-11 20:16:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	409	75¢	$307	0x06d142…
06-11 20:15:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x42c580…
06-11 20:15:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	40	75¢	$30	0x20846d…
06-11 20:13:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	49	75¢	$37	0x201278…
06-11 20:12:09	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	82	75¢	$61	0x1fbbce…
06-11 20:10:54	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	SELL	400	75¢	$300	0xdd47ea…
06-10 20:56:18	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by july 31 2026	No	BUY	650	46¢	$299	0x9efa05…
06-10 20:01:45	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by july 31 2026	No	BUY	15	45¢	$7	0x65eec8…
06-10 19:47:57	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by july 31 2026	No	BUY	23	45¢	$10	0xdc8e58…
06-08 20:12:10	will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	89	91¢	$81	0x2ee045…
06-08 20:01:10	will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x79d5b7…
06-08 19:49:52	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	700	69¢	$483	0x4798bd…
06-08 19:47:39	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	535	5¢	$27	0x3a8cbb…
06-08 02:35:09	Will Nikita Kucherov win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?	Yes	BUY	43	81¢	$35	0x0d47e3…
06-08 02:31:51	Will Connor McDavid win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?	No	BUY	65	83¢	$54	0x5e3190…
06-07 19:02:09	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?	Yes	SELL	500	5¢	$23	0x73255d…
06-07 07:35:49	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	500	15¢	$76	0xeea519…
06-05 22:41:34	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	500	17¢	$85	0x55cf7d…
06-03 18:55:12	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	161	89¢	$144	0xa0c514…
06-03 17:03:25	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	91¢	$1	0x99fe21…
06-03 14:33:45	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	167	91¢	$152	0x9bd81b…
06-03 14:33:37	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x87c559…
06-03 14:33:30	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x2f69d2…
06-03 13:11:48	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x05a9ec…
06-02 21:51:30	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	91¢	$32	0x7a7765…
06-02 20:23:10	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x50df35…
06-02 19:00:32	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	91¢	$36	0x7d5f63…
06-02 18:15:05	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	111	91¢	$101	0x1f0265…
06-02 16:56:15	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x50b43b…
06-02 14:27:27	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	37	91¢	$33	0xa546e9…
06-02 06:34:20	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	109	91¢	$99	0xfbe38b…
06-02 02:54:11	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	56	91¢	$51	0x54e958…
06-02 02:46:53	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	141	91¢	$128	0x1a6de3…
06-02 02:36:11	NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	371	97¢	$361	0xf6f72c…
06-02 02:05:49	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	56	91¢	$51	0x9a2ee9…
06-02 02:05:37	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	56	91¢	$51	0x0b7c46…
06-02 01:50:31	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0x1ca076…
06-02 00:42:14	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	91¢	$46	0xf52f02…
06-02 00:41:13	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0xa01e4c…
06-01 05:32:41	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	451	100¢	$450	0x232f59…
05-29 17:58:27	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	51	35¢	$18	0xd52694…
05-29 16:06:12	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	400	31¢	$124	0x2069cd…
05-29 16:03:06	NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	129	94¢	$121	0x4df2fc…
05-29 08:18:01	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	247	26¢	$64	0xbfbe2c…
05-29 07:57:22	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	34	26¢	$9	0xaf7e2f…
05-29 07:32:50	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	26¢	$9	0xb4d590…
05-29 06:03:56	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x0f5de0…
05-29 04:35:04	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	26¢	$0	0x1975cf…
05-29 04:34:55	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	26¢	$0	0xf91a6d…
05-29 04:34:13	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	26¢	$9	0xbe0479…
05-29 03:31:51	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0x7d044d…
05-29 02:51:24	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	125	26¢	$32	0xa40c4a…
05-29 00:35:13	NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	133	86¢	$114	0xbf0ef7…
05-29 00:34:54	NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	367	86¢	$316	0x027354…
05-27 23:27:36	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	800	13¢	$104	0x7a8837…
05-27 19:37:58	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	500	28¢	$140	0x08334b…
05-27 19:23:07	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?	No	SELL	400	77¢	$306	0xc4837f…
05-27 02:29:58	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	535	43¢	$230	0xf1835c…
05-26 23:52:08	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	24¢	$72	0x68ed2b…
05-26 19:32:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	600	98¢	$587	0xd2162e…
05-26 00:07:43	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x3aed44…
05-26 00:07:31	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through December 31?	Yes	BUY	500	1¢	$6	0x77e992…
05-26 00:07:25	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xd738e1…