Realized P&L
+$21.9K
Unrealized P&L
-$4.46K
Hit rate
72.7%
Resolved
834
Trades
7,219
lifetime
Volume
$1.54M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$214
Open exposure
$11.8K
10 positions
First seen
2026-02-22
last 10-22 04:46
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 143 days
Categories
Politics
55% 50% +$78,980
Other
34% 50% -$69,631
Tech
11% 61% +$13,480
Crypto
0% 38% +$39
Pop-Culture
0% 67% -$474
Sports
0% 62% -$492
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
11 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -36,900 -$4,521 18¢ $-6642 -$2,121 08-04 16:42
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes -30,000 -$3,900 15¢ $-4350 -$450 10-02 01:21
US strike on Colombia by December 31? Yes -1,624 -$357 20¢ $-333 +$24 08-04 19:06
Anthropic IPO before 2027? Yes -178 -$154 94¢ $-168 -$15 10-22 04:45
US strike on Mexico by December 31? Yes -3,875 -$358 3¢ $-128 +$230 10-22 04:45
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes -2,000 $2,034 6¢ $-110 -$2,144 10-04 21:17
Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026? Yes +1,521 $32 5¢ $75 +$43 06-15 21:17
Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026? No +60 $44 40¢ $24 -$20 05-28 13:16
Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes -18 -$5 32¢ $-6 -$1 10-22 04:46
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes +112 $10 2¢ $2 -$8 05-09 03:49