Realized P&L
-$694
Unrealized P&L
-$2.49K
Hit rate
81.0%
Resolved
24
Trades
6,369
lifetime
Volume
$1.38M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$217
Open exposure
$6.72K
17 positions
First seen
2026-02-22
last 06-30 05:07
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Politics
55% 40% $-4,579
Other
32% 82% +$3,683
Tech
12% 100% +$202
Crypto
0%
Pop-Culture
0%
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
76 active days in 12wk • peak 258 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +18,377 $2,551 14¢ $2.5K $-70 06-25 19:25
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +2,212 $1,725 99¢ $2.2K +$474 06-15 20:53
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +1,064 $500 62¢ $665 +$165 06-25 18:00
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? Yes -416,900 $-3,407 $-417 +$2,990 06-19 01:47
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? Yes +3,221 $387 11¢ $338 $-48 06-26 19:09
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? Yes +53,779 $4,271 $269 $-4,002 06-30 05:07
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? Yes +183,608 $1,905 $184 $-1,721 06-26 02:56
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes +1,429 $200 10¢ $136 $-64 06-02 23:25
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? Yes +3,150 $103 $8 $-95 06-22 00:52
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June? Yes +3,857 $11 $8 $-3 06-24 16:40
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes? No -6,018 $-12 $-6 +$6 06-22 18:29
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by June 30? Yes -350 $-38 $-6 +$32 06-13 20:41
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June? Yes +2,540 $13 $3 $-10 06-23 05:34
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? Yes +769 $100 $1 $-99 06-07 22:47
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June? Yes +1,020 $40 $1 $-39 06-03 01:43
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? Yes +296 $5 $0 $-5 06-21 18:23
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June? Yes +49 $2 $0 $-2 06-07 22:47