Realized P&L (90d)
+$10
Unrealized P&L
-$5
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved (90d)
1
Trades (90d)
21
21 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$316
$316 lifetime
Avg / trade
$15
Open exposure
$197
17 positions
First seen
2026-05-07
last 05-15 10:49
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
62%
Politics
38% 100% +$10
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
6 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31? No -64 $-62 96¢ $-62 $-0 05-14 11:04
Starmer out by June 30, 2026? No -33 $-26 74¢ $-25 +$1 05-09 19:02
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +20 $11 68¢ $14 +$2 05-09 19:07
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026? Yes +1,645 $15 $11 $-4 05-15 10:09
Will Croatia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026? No +17 $10 62¢ $10 +$0 05-15 10:20
Will Czechia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026? No +13 $10 78¢ $10 +$0 05-15 10:29
Will Romania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026? Yes +12 $10 84¢ $10 $-0 05-15 10:15
Will Albania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026? No +14 $10 66¢ $9 $-1 05-15 10:29
Will Denmark be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026? Yes +22 $10 39¢ $8 $-2 05-15 10:05
Will Denmark be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026? Yes +12 $10 68¢ $8 $-2 05-15 10:05
Will France win Eurovision 2026? Yes +516 $11 $8 $-2 05-15 10:09
Will Ukraine be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026? No +24 $10 32¢ $8 $-2 05-15 10:15
Will Poland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026? Yes +69 $5 $6 +$1 05-15 10:31
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026? No +11 $5 49¢ $5 +$0 05-15 10:49
Will Lithuania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026? Yes +27 $2 $2 $-0 05-15 10:30
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? Yes +14 $1 $1 $-0 05-14 11:29
Starmer out by May 15, 2026? Yes -40 $-4 $-0 +$4 05-07 08:14