Low-Dragonfly — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$122

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

88.3%

Resolved

Trades

760

lifetime

Volume

$33.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$43

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-27 15:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Other

66% 71% +$109

Crypto

11% 100% +$11

Politics

10% 100% +$3

Sports

7% — —

Tech

5% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
lol gen jdg 2026 03 17 game3	9	$1.8K	2,283	0	+2,283	open	—	03-17 14:45
si hit 80 high jan 2026 988 594 987	4	$1.1K	603	603	+0	open	—	01-07 02:04
will norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	4	$890	451	451	+0	open	—	02-19 11:31
Over $5M committed to the Infinex public sale?	6	$854	986	986	+0	open	—	01-10 01:36
Over $25M committed to the Trove public sale?	4	$772	403	403	+0	open	—	01-11 03:01
will google have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	3	$720	742	0	+742	open	—	01-26 14:44
gc hit 4200 low jan 2026 289 371 251 294	2	$705	301	408	-107	open	—	01-28 14:11
lol ly lll 2026 03 17 game2	8	$667	591	577	+13	open	—	03-17 16:58
will trump deport 250000 500000 people	7	$618	335	334	+0	open	—	02-27 13:44
si hit 110 high jan 2026 293 432 128	3	$600	689	0	+689	open	—	01-26 15:01
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 985	2	$498	511	0	+511	open	—	01-26 14:43
Opinion FDV above $400M one day after launch?	3	$496	520	520	+0	open	—	03-06 10:54
Seeker FDV above $100M one day after launch?	3	$477	279	279	+0	open	—	01-21 08:01
Fogo FDV above $300M one day after launch?	2	$460	118	418	-300	open	—	01-10 14:17
si hit 90 high jan 2026 157 295 494	6	$458	242	242	+0	open	—	01-15 05:20
lol gen g2 2026 03 21	6	$438	341	297	+44	open	—	03-21 14:52
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	6	$435	415	109	+306	open	—	03-26 06:38
will opinion launch a token on march 5	2	$429	231	231	+0	open	—	03-04 07:36
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	2	$402	225	225	+0	open	—	01-05 16:01
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?	6	$402	217	217	+0	open	—	01-24 17:53
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	2	$400	238	238	+0	open	—	05-01 21:53
Zama auction clearing price above $0.03?	2	$400	427	0	+427	open	—	01-17 14:54
Over $10M committed to the Infinex public sale?	2	$400	464	0	+464	open	—	01-09 16:23
gpt ads by march 31 269 364 978	2	$390	203	203	+0	open	—	01-16 20:03
will t lm be the next president of vietnam	3	$367	209	209	+0	open	—	03-04 07:36
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?	3	$350	363	0	+363	open	—	03-05 05:17
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 4 million	3	$342	196	155	+40	open	—	01-26 15:12
Will Trump visit China by June 30?	4	$340	394	0	+394	open	—	03-26 06:37
Over $7M committed to the Infinex public sale?	2	$332	294	294	+0	open	—	01-10 05:14
Zama FDV above $600M one day after launch?	8	$329	266	266	+0	open	—	01-28 06:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-27 15:22:28	will trump say percent 15 times during michigan remarks 20260724162420351	No	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0xac4eeb…
07-27 15:21:57	will trump say transgender during michigan remarks 20260724162420367	No	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x6cd3e4…
07-27 15:21:40	will trump say mars during michigan remarks 20260724162420363	No	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xacd0da…
07-26 08:00:45	iran military action against a gulf state on july 25 20260708212322950	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xd0f21e…
07-26 07:59:10	will elon post football on x this week 20260717142156657	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xd366b3…
07-26 07:58:25	will trump post crypto or bitcoin on truth social this week 20260717142647657	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xd021ff…
07-26 07:57:46	will trump say spain this week 20260719005322434	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xc9f163…
07-26 07:57:28	will trump say messi this week 20260719005322433	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x738ccf…
07-26 07:57:06	will trump say six seven this week 20260719005322432	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc9dc7d…
07-26 07:56:46	lol al blg 2026 07 26 total games 2pt5	Under	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x7689e2…
07-01 11:41:10	will claude mythos 5 be restored for us customers by june 30 20260613213553562	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x7aeaa2…
07-01 11:39:04	Will OpenSea launch a token by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x451ac2…
06-26 04:11:11	Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	57	30¢	$17	0x2ba8ee…
06-26 04:10:59	Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	Yes	SELL	448	22¢	$100	0xea1f6b…
06-23 13:15:22	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31	Yes	BUY	23	88¢	$20	0x952470…
06-23 13:14:26	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	No	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x0d523e…
06-21 08:30:07	starmer out by october 31 2026 896 929 365 346 935	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x776e22…
06-21 08:23:08	fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 team total home 0pt5	Over	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x78a4e5…
06-21 08:21:13	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	Yes	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xca7b5f…
06-21 08:17:05	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?	Yes	BUY	255	1¢	$2	0x775bd4…
06-21 08:16:34	tesla and spacex merger officially announced by september 30	Yes	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x65ec65…
06-21 08:16:25	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	Yes	BUY	54	37¢	$20	0xb16b27…
06-17 04:56:40	will trump agree to unfreeze iranian assets by june 30	Yes	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x059c97…
06-17 04:56:32	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	Yes	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0x218c85…
06-17 04:56:02	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	No	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0x28855f…
06-17 04:54:52	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xbf61e3…
06-17 04:54:20	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x22e975…
06-17 04:53:10	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	Yes	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x55b080…
06-17 04:52:59	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 17	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x1dd08c…
06-17 04:52:37	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x0965c2…
06-16 11:27:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	7	39¢	$3	0x2635ff…
06-16 11:26:48	fifwc irq nor 2026 06 16 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x65ea50…
06-16 11:26:09	fifwc irq nor 2026 06 16 team total home 0pt5	Over	SELL	12	42¢	$5	0xafec6d…
06-16 11:24:51	fifwc arg alg 2026 06 16 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x6cc06a…
06-16 11:23:25	fifwc arg alg 2026 06 16 team total home 1pt5	Over	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x63042d…
06-16 11:22:49	fifwc irq nor 2026 06 16 team total home 0pt5	Over	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x3bf443…
06-16 11:22:16	will hyperliquid reach 90 by december 31 2026 from june 8	Yes	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0xfb9398…
06-15 13:44:58	spx opens up or down on june 16 2026	Up	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xac6c86…
06-14 08:00:42	Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	21	97¢	$20	0x01f6c7…
06-14 08:00:21	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	104	98¢	$102	0x40dbc3…
06-10 17:01:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xcc79c3…
06-05 14:26:51	Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	7	11¢	$1	0xf616b9…
06-05 14:26:40	Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	56	89¢	$50	0xefd65f…
05-21 04:06:20	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0xbd9bec…
05-21 04:05:59	Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Weibo Gaming (+1.5)	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0xcd3bbf…
05-21 04:05:45	LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x43065b…
05-20 03:23:16	Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs MIBR (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group B	MIBR	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x510251…
05-20 03:23:02	Counter-Strike: Legacy vs NRG (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group A	NRG	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x89a97c…
05-20 03:22:36	Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs TYLOO (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group A	TYLOO	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0xdf2cec…
05-20 02:54:32	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x2412b1…
05-20 02:54:15	Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Kiwoom DRX (+1.5)	T1	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xb4c09b…
05-20 02:54:06	Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Kiwoom DRX (+1.5)	T1	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0xcccdd7…
05-20 02:53:40	LoL: T1 vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 1 Winner	T1	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0xdea9cc…
05-20 02:53:12	LoL: T1 vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	T1	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x069dd4…
05-19 03:07:02	Game Handicap: BFX (-1.5) vs Nongshim Red Force (+1.5)	BNK FEARX	BUY	15	39¢	$6	0x17528a…
05-19 03:06:34	LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winner	BNK FEARX	BUY	15	62¢	$9	0xac404b…
05-19 03:06:08	LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs	BNK FEARX	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x373939…
05-19 03:05:24	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	24	63¢	$15	0x7b93d2…
05-19 03:05:08	Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5)	Hanwha Life Esports	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x53663c…
05-19 03:04:28	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs	Hanwha Life Esports	BUY	18	82¢	$15	0x0a815a…
05-19 01:39:21	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	14	79¢	$11	0xf8e1ee…
05-15 16:30:27	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xc73545…
05-15 16:29:52	LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	BNK FEARX	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0xc070e8…
05-13 18:27:21	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 13?	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x347b40…
05-13 18:25:44	Will Trump say "IQ" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0xaea251…
05-13 18:25:23	Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x1832a3…
05-13 18:25:13	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0x9b01ef…
05-13 18:24:22	Will Trump say "Transgender" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x2a2e55…
05-13 18:24:06	Will Trump say "Six Seven" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x559bde…
05-13 18:23:54	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0xe98103…
05-13 18:23:47	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0x59a51b…
05-13 18:22:07	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $92 in May?	Yes	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x4136c4…
05-13 18:21:52	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $90 in May?	Yes	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x0f34cd…
05-13 16:28:38	Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xcdb467…
05-11 22:07:45	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xa80058…
05-11 22:07:33	Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Passion UA (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B	Natus Vincere	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x80c79e…
05-11 22:06:02	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0xcd4d30…
05-11 22:05:57	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xe31518…
05-11 22:05:23	Will Solana reach $100 in May?	Yes	BUY	24	85¢	$20	0x1a9a9c…
05-10 17:57:20	Will Solana reach $100 in May?	Yes	BUY	26	76¢	$20	0xf76d42…
05-09 23:13:21	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	31	98¢	$30	0x031fbe…
05-09 23:13:12	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0x8f6f32…
05-09 23:12:16	Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs Kiwoom DRX (+1.5)	Hanwha Life Esports	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0xeb6b3a…
05-09 23:11:53	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	19	78¢	$15	0xf09540…
05-08 07:40:09	Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs JD Gaming (+1.5)	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	101	40¢	$40	0x3fac1c…
05-08 07:37:35	Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs JD Gaming (+1.5)	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	125	40¢	$50	0x3557a9…
05-07 06:17:15	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	29	70¢	$20	0xda7b2e…
05-06 07:51:44	Will Zcash reach $600 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0x697c22…
05-06 06:36:56	Will Hyperliquid reach $48 in May?	Yes	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x7f59f7…
05-06 03:23:10	Will Zcash reach $600 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0xed1293…
05-06 03:00:38	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0x180471…
05-06 02:59:58	Will Hyperliquid reach $48 in May?	Yes	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0xd70bc9…
05-06 02:58:56	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0x85c6ee…
05-04 23:25:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0xe7941a…
05-04 08:20:46	LoL: T1 vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs	T1	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x4d03bd…
05-04 08:20:40	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x641f5e…
05-04 08:20:10	Billions FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd43726…
05-04 08:19:48	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x034ae2…
05-01 22:06:48	Will there be a safety car during the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x5cda80…
05-01 22:06:30	Will there be a red flag during the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?	No	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x0e81f8…