Low-Dragonfly 0xb12e62…532408 Create alert
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Realized P&L
-$465
Unrealized P&L
-$22
Hit rate
70.8%
Resolved
506
Trades
880
lifetime
Volume
$37.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$43
Open exposure
$1.24K
17 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 09-24 08:41
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 132 days
Categories
Other
61% 70% +$82
Crypto
17% 77% -$454
Politics
9% 79% -$45
Sports
8% 72% -$85
Tech
5% 79% +$39
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
9 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +900 $733 67¢ $607 -$126 09-11 09:45
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes +250 $116 56¢ $139 +$23 08-24 04:44
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? Yes +172 $36 76¢ $132 +$96 09-11 15:58
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? No -104 -$102 99¢ $-103 -$2 06-14 08:00
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes +101 $83 94¢ $95 +$12 08-24 06:18
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes +50 -$16 88¢ $44 +$60 08-24 04:08
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? Yes +230 $175 19¢ $44 -$132 09-24 08:41
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? Yes -25 -$21 100¢ $-25 -$4 06-17 04:55
Will Zcash reach $2000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +93 $20 16¢ $15 -$5 09-08 16:43
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026? Yes -57 -$17 12¢ $-7 +$10 06-26 04:11
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch? Yes +30 $8 23¢ $7 -$1 08-24 04:09
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? Yes -398 -$66 2¢ $-6 +$60 06-26 04:10
Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? No +5 $5 100¢ $5 +$0 06-24 08:19
Will UNI reach $11.00 by December 31, 2026? Yes +20 $6 18¢ $4 -$3 09-11 16:01
will ethereum reach 3000 by december 31 2026 from june 8 Yes +10 $7 11¢ $1 -$6 09-24 08:41
Will Hyperliquid reach $120 by December 31, 2026? Yes +10 $4 8¢ $1 -$3 09-24 08:41
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +10 $2 3¢ $0 -$1 09-24 08:40