Droopy-Amazon — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$30

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

81.5%

Resolved

Trades

229

lifetime

Volume

$849

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-02-08

last 07-23 06:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Crypto

38% 36% $-5

Politics

37% 67% +$35

Other

21% 100% +$0

Sports

4% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

28 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+19	$5	14¢	$2	$-2	06-16 04:51

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	2	$47	42	42	+0	Yes	+$37	05-09 05:55
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	3	$32	24	24	+0	open	—	03-04 11:30
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	2	$31	21	21	+0	open	—	03-03 05:55
btc updown 5m 1776711900	2	$20	16	15	+1	open	—	04-20 19:10
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	1	$20	65	0	+65	open	—	02-14 10:41
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	1	$20	36	0	+36	open	—	02-08 20:42
will emmanuel grgoire win the paris mayor election	1	$20	28	0	+28	open	—	02-08 20:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	3	$18	37	12	+25	Down	+$4	05-08 20:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	2	$16	11	11	+0	Up	+$6	05-08 21:05
will the individual taxation referendum be approved in switzerlands 8 march 2026 popular vote	2	$15	10	10	+0	open	—	03-08 15:18
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	2	$15	49	0	+49	open	—	03-01 06:08
will trump say tariff 6 times during meetings with chancellor merz	1	$14	29	0	+29	open	—	03-03 05:57
will cdu win the most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	2	$14	10	10	+0	open	—	03-09 16:58
btc updown 5m 1774701600	2	$14	9	9	+0	open	—	03-28 12:45
btc updown 5m 1776586200	3	$13	28	8	+20	open	—	04-19 08:12
btc updown 5m 1776587400	3	$11	9	9	+1	open	—	04-19 08:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	3	$10	7	7	+0	open	—	04-30 19:25
will trump say kennedy or autism during the 2026 state of the union address 214	1	$10	24	0	+24	open	—	02-11 21:54
us iran nuclear deal by march 31	1	$10	32	0	+32	open	—	02-26 11:04
will knee injury be said at the super bowl	1	$10	37	0	+37	open	—	02-08 20:50
will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	1	$10	90	0	+90	open	—	03-01 10:23
btc updown 5m 1784713200	2	$10	42	0	+42	open	—	07-22 09:44
will bernie sanders say minneapolis during the fighting oligarchy rally	1	$10	14	0	+14	open	—	02-09 13:01
iran confirmed not to participate in 2026 fifa world cup by march 31	1	$9	11	0	+11	open	—	03-01 21:30
will trump say friend of mine during meetings with chancellor merz	1	$7	16	0	+16	open	—	03-03 14:24
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$7	30	0	+30	open	—	03-31 10:00
btc updown 5m 1776588600	2	$6	6	6	+0	open	—	04-19 08:55
btc updown 5m 1776588300	4	$6	6	6	+0	open	—	04-19 08:50
trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	1	$6	15	0	+15	open	—	03-04 19:45
will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	1	$6	19	0	+19	open	—	03-09 19:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-23 06:40:21	btc updown 5m 1784788800	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x34c08a…
07-23 06:35:36	btc updown 5m 1784788500	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x0167d3…
07-23 06:33:22	btc updown 5m 1784788200	Up	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xac9c4f…
07-22 09:52:28	btc updown 5m 1784713800	Up	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x08723f…
07-22 09:48:19	btc updown 5m 1784713500	Down	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x67f726…
07-22 09:44:15	btc updown 5m 1784713200	Down	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x791ea4…
07-22 09:43:06	btc updown 5m 1784713200	Down	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x51a6b8…
07-22 09:40:28	what will be the next fed rate change 20260713235358796	Cut	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xa16640…
07-21 08:14:00	will tesla say income 10 times during earnings call 20260713183304165	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xcc6745…
07-21 08:12:09	will general motors say electric car during earnings call 20260713183530320	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x32bfa5…
07-19 15:16:54	will the announcers say goal 75 times during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716154956884	No	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xfdf73f…
07-19 15:16:09	will the announcers say handball during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403316	No	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x0b1c16…
07-19 15:15:19	will the announcers say trump during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403317	Yes	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xdbc47d…
07-19 15:15:09	will the announcers say ronaldo during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716154956905	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x2d4057…
07-19 15:14:12	will the announcers say super bowl during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403335	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xa1c93f…
07-19 15:14:01	will the announcers say ticket during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403330	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xeb6a23…
07-19 15:13:45	will the announcers say powerade during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403325	No	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xeb47af…
07-19 15:13:30	will the announcers say shakira during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403318	Yes	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0xc1e5a3…
07-19 15:13:06	will the announcers say qatar or russia during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716154956897	No	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xe7a554…
07-19 15:10:36	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xe49cc1…
07-02 05:11:23	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xf4820a…
06-29 14:56:49	will russia capture all of huliaipole by september 30	No	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xe7e137…
06-25 05:40:11	will the announcers say trump during the turkiye vs usa fifa world cup match 20260623182415036	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x79b15d…
06-19 19:54:52	starmer out by june 26 2026	No	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x366580…
06-16 04:51:09	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x7ba7e1…
06-13 08:53:43	will starmer say europe during the next pmq 20260610160650642	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xef002b…
05-29 21:50:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	33¢	$1	0xea87f9…
05-29 21:46:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x5d0d5c…
05-29 21:45:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd393a3…
05-29 14:57:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x32ac35…
05-28 19:13:54	Will Dell say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 12+ times during earnings call?	No	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0x635596…
05-28 05:59:27	US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x19a07e…
05-28 05:58:57	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x721787…
05-27 20:44:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xc8c54e…
05-27 17:12:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x5126d0…
05-27 04:45:51	Will Trump say "Fraud" during Cabinet meeting?	No	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x057a7d…
05-25 19:23:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x8f25de…
05-21 06:12:55	Will Trump say "All time high" during Kevin Warsh's swearing-in ceremony?	Yes	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xefa297…
05-21 06:12:39	Will Trump say "Oil" during Kevin Warsh's swearing-in ceremony?	Yes	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x46cd54…
05-21 06:12:30	Will Trump say "War" during Kevin Warsh's swearing-in ceremony?	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x379d10…
05-21 06:04:52	Will Bernie say "Tariff" in Maine?	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x73fe4b…
05-19 18:25:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x72bdbf…
05-19 18:20:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xd0a8fc…
05-19 15:50:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x7fd3a5…
05-19 15:45:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x0c61b1…
05-19 15:42:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x6c68fe…
05-19 09:04:54	Will Starmer say "Brexit" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xf96eac…
05-18 18:42:09	Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x53b4f6…
05-18 09:27:52	Will the NYT front page headlines say "Europe" this week?	No	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x1da87f…
05-16 11:05:21	Will "Representing" be said 5+ times during Eurovision?	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x9c07b8…
05-15 14:26:26	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 31?	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xea0abd…
05-11 16:04:17	Trump approval Up or Down this week?	Down	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x21f058…
05-11 15:55:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xe7d886…
05-11 15:50:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x65e288…
05-11 15:48:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xd8ed26…
05-10 15:55:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xd753c1…
05-10 15:51:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xb2b81b…
05-10 07:26:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xbe4c72…
05-10 07:22:53	Will Trump say "Sleepy Joe" this week?	No	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xa151d1…
05-10 07:22:32	Will Trump say "Hantavirus" this week?	No	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0xdcc57b…
05-09 16:15:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x7a8498…
05-09 16:11:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xd02d78…
05-09 16:10:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xf457d8…
05-09 06:08:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x7290b8…
05-09 06:08:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x4b4c04…
05-09 06:02:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x28f70b…
05-09 05:55:44	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	42	100¢	$42	0xc4b1c8…
05-09 05:55:16	Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x304204…
05-09 05:54:38	Will Trump say "Tanker" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x5c0e40…
05-09 05:54:24	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x4a62d1…
05-08 21:05:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x0cba7f…
05-08 21:00:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x971013…
05-08 20:55:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x0462cd…
05-08 20:52:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x0eeeca…
05-08 20:52:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	SELL	12	96¢	$11	0xfc7743…
05-08 20:50:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	12	52¢	$6	0x76cee6…
05-07 18:10:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x16f71c…
05-07 18:05:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x62a90d…
05-07 07:48:06	Will Trump say "Kamala" this week?	No	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x05747a…
05-06 14:20:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x830c91…
05-06 14:15:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x2a4d71…
05-04 19:50:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x0caeed…
05-04 19:45:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x201d64…
05-04 19:41:34	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x8da382…
05-04 15:46:14	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x59b138…
05-03 21:35:40	Will Starmer say "Trump" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x594052…
05-02 11:45:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x22dfab…
05-02 11:43:58	Will Bernie Sanders's remarks not air?	Yes	BUY	41	2¢	$1	0x30216c…
04-30 19:25:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x40a6d8…
04-30 19:20:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xd505ca…
04-30 19:20:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x17b9a2…
04-30 19:20:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xec36bd…
04-30 19:15:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x47e551…
04-30 19:11:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x39619b…
04-30 19:10:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x07ade3…
04-26 03:20:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x9cdb42…
04-25 16:39:52	Will Trump say "Pope" or "Christian" during WHCA Dinner events?	Yes	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x28972b…
04-24 19:54:10	btc updown 5m 1777060200	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xc55811…
04-23 08:50:48	will trump say tariff during healthcare event	Yes	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x865e3b…
04-22 17:53:50	Will Trump say "Space" or "Moon" during WHCA Dinner events?	Yes	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0xa3305f…