Realized P&L
-$12
Unrealized P&L
+$4
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved
2
Trades
813
lifetime
Volume
$2.53K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$119
23 positions
First seen
2026-01-20
last 06-29 18:17
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
56% 0% $-11
Other
31% 0% $-1
Sports
10%
Tech
3%
Crypto
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
38 active days in 12wk • peak 41 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -17 $-14 86¢ $-15 $-1 06-13 14:05
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes -16 $-11 84¢ $-13 $-3 06-08 07:56
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No -13 $-13 100¢ $-13 $-0 06-09 12:33
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? Yes +32 $12 34¢ $11 $-1 06-22 00:36
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30? No +8 $6 100¢ $8 +$2 06-22 14:18
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No -8 $-6 100¢ $-7 $-1 06-16 17:31
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? Yes +8 $6 90¢ $7 +$1 06-05 19:00
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? No +10 $5 58¢ $6 +$1 06-22 10:02
Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +7 $4 76¢ $5 +$1 06-15 03:55
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +7 $4 72¢ $5 +$1 06-20 15:03
Will Pump.fun dip to $0.0010 by December 31, 2026? Yes +5 $4 82¢ $4 +$1 06-25 18:09
Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026? No +15 $6 26¢ $4 $-2 06-02 06:15
Metamask FDV above $300M one day after launch? No +5 $4 76¢ $4 +$0 06-22 06:45
Will Pump.fun reach $0.0034 by December 31, 2026? No +5 $4 74¢ $4 $-0 06-25 18:15
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting? Yes +20 $4 17¢ $3 $-1 06-25 15:11
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026? Yes +14 $4 23¢ $3 $-0 06-10 02:03
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +4 $2 65¢ $2 +$0 06-24 07:58
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30? No +1 $1 100¢ $1 +$0 06-05 01:25
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +1 $1 84¢ $1 +$0 06-16 04:36
Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026? Yes +17 $1 $1 +$0 06-10 10:00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +48 $-2 $0 +$2 06-25 18:11
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes -9 $-1 $-0 +$1 06-13 00:53
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? Yes -5 $-2 $-0 +$2 06-19 19:14