Phony-Inhibitor — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

—

Unrealized P&L

+$133

Hit rate

—

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

456 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$373.7K lifetime

Avg / trade

$820

Open exposure

$9.04K

15 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-29 08:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 124 days

Categories

Crypto

96% 90% +$752

Other

4% 90% +$27

Tech

0% 75% -$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

41 active days in 12wk • peak 36 trades/day

Open positions (15) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?	No	+6,289	$6,000	98¢	$6.2K	+$173	10-03 00:14
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	+2,015	$1,996	99¢	$2.0K	-$3	10-29 08:17
Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	+283	$272	97¢	$275	+$3	09-05 05:17
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	-211	-$210	100¢	$-210	$0	10-09 04:22
Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	-207	-$206	100¢	$-206	-$1	08-21 01:11
Will Lighter reach $10 before 2027?	No	-118	-$100	95¢	$-112	-$12	08-26 00:49
Base FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	-53	-$31	38¢	$-20	+$11	07-23 00:39
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?	No	+11	$10	98¢	$11	+$1	10-03 01:24
Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2027?	Yes	+10	$10	99¢	$10	+$0	10-08 00:37
Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	+10	$10	97¢	$10	$0	10-08 00:37
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?	Yes	+11	$10	76¢	$8	-$2	10-03 01:23
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	+132	$33	4¢	$5	-$27	07-24 05:43
Papertrade FDV above $25M one day after launch?	Yes	+11	$10	45¢	$5	-$5	10-19 00:06
gmgn fdv above 200m one day after launch	Yes	+10	$4	40¢	$4	+$0	08-12 15:13
ostium fdv above 100m one day after launch	Yes	+11	$5	3¢	$0	-$5	06-13 01:34

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Ethereum reach $3,200 September 14-20?	6	$13.0K	6,541	6,541	+0	No	+$35	09-20 12:39
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	2	$10.0K	5,030	5,030	+0	No	+$15	05-23 05:52
will ethereum reach 2500 in july 2026	2	$8.8K	4,409	4,409	+0	No	+$5	07-30 00:20
will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	20	$8.0K	4,008	4,008	+0	No	+$10	02-12 21:05
will ethereum reach 3100 in august 2026	41	$7.7K	4,369	3,401	+968	No	+$29	08-29 12:58
will ethereum reach 3300 in september 2026	1	$6.6K	6,619	0	+6,619	No	+$19	09-28 06:55
Will Ethereum reach $3,400 September 21-27?	1	$6.6K	6,612	0	+6,612	No	+$12	09-26 01:01
will ethereum reach 2700 on september 16 2026	1	$6.5K	6,513	0	+6,513	No	+$13	09-16 23:58
Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 on September 22?	1	$6.5K	6,520	0	+6,520	No	+$20	09-22 23:55
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on September 22?	1	$6.5K	6,507	0	+6,507	No	+$7	09-22 00:23
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 23?	1	$6.5K	6,513	0	+6,513	Yes	+$13	09-23 04:42
bitcoin above 56k on july 30 2026	2	$6.4K	6,406	0	+6,406	Yes	+$6	07-30 00:21
will bitcoin reach 66k on july 23	2	$6.0K	6,080	0	+6,080	No	+$70	07-24 00:30
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?	1	$6.0K	6,289	0	+6,289	open	—	10-03 00:14
will bitcoin dip to 64k on july 22	1	$6.0K	6,012	0	+6,012	No	+$12	07-23 00:08
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on September 10?	1	$6.0K	6,034	0	+6,034	No	+$34	09-10 00:28
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 2?	1	$6.0K	6,009	0	+6,009	No	+$9	09-02 00:38
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in May?	30	$5.6K	2,808	2,808	+0	No	+$6	05-26 03:38
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	3	$5.0K	5,025	0	+5,025	No	+$25	04-04 01:49
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 11?	1	$4.9K	4,905	0	+4,905	No	+$5	09-11 00:10
Concrete FDV above $50M one day after launch?	2	$4.3K	4,319	0	+4,319	Yes	+$11	10-01 05:12
ethereum above 1500 on august 4 2026	1	$4.1K	4,104	0	+4,104	Yes	+$4	08-03 00:38
ethereum above 1700 on august 15 2026	1	$4.1K	4,104	0	+4,104	Yes	+$4	08-15 00:41
ethereum above 1700 on august 13 2026	1	$4.1K	4,104	0	+4,104	Yes	+$4	08-13 00:00
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?	1	$4.0K	4,024	0	+4,024	No	+$24	05-24 00:21
ethereum above 1700 on august 11 2026	1	$4.0K	4,004	0	+4,004	Yes	+$4	08-11 00:00
will bitcoin dip to 62k on july 17	1	$4.0K	4,004	0	+4,004	No	+$4	07-18 01:45
ethereum above 1700 on august 6 2026	1	$4.0K	4,004	0	+4,004	Yes	+$4	08-06 00:13
ethereum above 1800 on august 20 2026	1	$4.0K	4,004	0	+4,004	Yes	+$4	08-20 00:02
bitcoin above 66k on august 21 2026	1	$4.0K	4,004	0	+4,004	Yes	+$4	08-20 23:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 08:17:13	Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1,906	100¢	$1,900	0xf091c7…
10-29 06:58:29	Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in October?	No	SELL	1,908	100¢	$1,906	0x773a86…
10-26 06:52:18	Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in October?	No	BUY	1,908	100¢	$1,900	0x073873…
10-25 06:28:12	Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 October 19-25?	No	BUY	1,902	100¢	$1,900	0x9fb3c0…
10-24 23:52:11	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on October 24?	No	BUY	1,903	100¢	$1,900	0x013b90…
10-23 06:39:20	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 23?	Yes	BUY	1,907	100¢	$1,900	0x0b7e76…
10-23 00:41:23	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on October 22?	No	BUY	1,902	100¢	$1,900	0xd54141…
10-22 08:45:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 22?	No	BUY	1,805	100¢	$1,800	0xd6c272…
10-22 00:05:57	Will Bitcoin reach $87,000 on October 21?	No	BUY	1,353	100¢	$1,350	0x87429c…
10-22 00:05:35	Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 21?	No	BUY	501	100¢	$500	0x7e846f…
10-20 23:56:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 21?	Yes	BUY	1,852	100¢	$1,850	0x57a013…
10-19 06:39:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 19?	Yes	BUY	1,805	100¢	$1,800	0x64680c…
10-19 00:06:20	Papertrade FDV above $25M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x15eb26…
10-19 00:06:02	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 on October 18?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5a03ab…
10-19 00:05:05	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on October 18?	No	BUY	1,852	100¢	$1,850	0x039b9c…
10-18 00:07:47	Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 on October 17?	No	BUY	291	100¢	$290	0x42297d…
10-18 00:07:30	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 on October 17?	No	BUY	741	100¢	$740	0x8b3fb8…
10-18 00:06:57	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on October 17?	No	BUY	861	100¢	$860	0x405b67…
10-15 05:09:05	bitcoin above 86k on october 15 2026	No	BUY	1,807	100¢	$1,800	0xfbb8d8…
10-14 23:58:07	standx fdv above 50m one day after launch	Yes	SELL	20	17¢	$3	0x079703…
10-14 23:57:45	will bitcoin reach 85k on october 14 2026	No	BUY	1,602	100¢	$1,600	0x78682e…
10-14 23:57:18	will ethereum reach 2600 on october 14 2026	No	BUY	190	100¢	$190	0x1f8162…
10-13 00:13:45	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on October 12?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2f590a…
10-13 00:13:33	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 on October 12?	No	BUY	1,802	100¢	$1,800	0x186540…
10-09 04:23:46	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on October 9?	No	BUY	300	100¢	$300	0x49f43c…
10-09 04:23:30	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in October?	No	SELL	301	100¢	$301	0x494f70…
10-09 04:22:46	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on October 9?	No	BUY	1,201	100¢	$1,200	0xaf9c08…
10-09 04:22:28	Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	211	100¢	$210	0x7191f1…
10-09 04:22:09	Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,013	100¢	$1,008	0x1e8e99…
10-09 04:21:46	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on October 9?	No	BUY	300	100¢	$300	0x69f0fa…
10-08 00:37:49	Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x865f78…
10-08 00:37:26	Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x456c1e…
10-03 01:24:26	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?	No	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x756765…
10-03 01:23:59	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?	Yes	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xfff384…
10-03 00:14:12	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?	No	BUY	6,289	95¢	$6,000	0x41f323…
10-03 00:04:41	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x0364fe…
10-02 23:57:27	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in October?	No	BUY	301	99¢	$300	0xf778d3…
10-01 05:13:18	Concrete FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	2,202	100¢	$2,200	0xba9ee4…
10-01 05:12:59	Concrete FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	4,305	100¢	$4,300	0xef17b3…
09-28 06:55:42	will ethereum reach 3300 in september 2026	No	BUY	6,619	100¢	$6,600	0xfba236…
09-26 01:01:56	Will Ethereum reach $3,400 September 21-27?	No	BUY	6,612	100¢	$6,600	0xdcad44…
09-23 04:42:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 23?	Yes	BUY	6,513	100¢	$6,500	0x58dd4d…
09-22 23:55:23	Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 on September 22?	No	BUY	6,520	100¢	$6,500	0x9818a7…
09-22 00:23:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on September 22?	No	BUY	6,507	100¢	$6,500	0xafa99f…
09-22 00:22:27	Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0xe5619c…
09-21 00:07:01	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on September 21?	Yes	BUY	3,210	100¢	$3,200	0x00ba14…
09-21 00:06:16	Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on September 21?	No	BUY	3,353	100¢	$3,350	0xdce958…
09-20 12:39:13	Will Ethereum reach $3,200 September 14-20?	No	SELL	905	100¢	$904	0x804cc1…
09-20 09:51:46	Will Ethereum reach $3,200 September 14-20?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x7ad13a…
09-20 08:15:07	Will Ethereum reach $3,200 September 14-20?	No	SELL	1,500	100¢	$1,498	0x1ee557…
09-20 06:19:04	Will Ethereum reach $3,200 September 14-20?	No	SELL	201	100¢	$201	0x80fd05…
09-19 00:16:01	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on September 19?	Yes	BUY	3,904	100¢	$3,900	0x961bf1…
09-18 04:01:54	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on September 18?	Yes	BUY	3,904	100¢	$3,900	0xe03d54…
09-18 03:14:33	Will Ethereum reach $3,200 September 14-20?	No	SELL	3,926	100¢	$3,922	0x72d556…
09-17 05:26:58	Will Ethereum reach $3,200 September 14-20?	No	BUY	6,541	99¢	$6,500	0x04cd44…
09-16 23:58:19	will ethereum reach 2700 on september 16 2026	No	BUY	6,513	100¢	$6,500	0xdc9e27…
09-16 00:50:13	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 on September 15?	No	BUY	224	100¢	$224	0xe7969f…
09-16 00:39:43	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,800 and $2,900 on September 16?	No	BUY	1,269	100¢	$1,268	0xc41c75…
09-11 00:10:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 11?	No	BUY	4,905	100¢	$4,900	0x7d2a59…
09-11 00:10:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 11?	Yes	BUY	1,506	100¢	$1,500	0x32400b…
09-10 04:33:07	LAPTOP FDV above $10M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	465	100¢	$464	0x4fe9ef…
09-10 00:28:30	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on September 10?	No	BUY	6,034	99¢	$6,000	0xc86ee3…
09-10 00:27:10	Will Ethereum reach $2,800 on September 9?	No	BUY	398	100¢	$398	0x47551a…
09-10 00:26:00	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in September?	No	BUY	48	99¢	$48	0x1fd400…
09-10 00:25:25	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in September?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xd69740…
09-05 05:17:06	Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	80	95¢	$76	0xa733e8…
09-02 00:38:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 2?	No	BUY	6,009	100¢	$6,000	0x230296…
09-02 00:04:30	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on September 2?	No	BUY	491	100¢	$491	0x381d3c…
09-01 01:28:03	will solana reach 110 in august 2026 from august 28	No	BUY	991	100¢	$990	0xc9e2ad…
08-31 04:38:37	bitcoin above 84k on august 31 2026	No	BUY	1,201	100¢	$1,200	0x959919…
08-31 00:00:22	will ethereum dip to 2200 august 24 30 2026	No	BUY	1,202	100¢	$1,200	0xd92f5a…
08-29 12:58:21	will ethereum reach 3100 in august 2026	No	SELL	1,214	100¢	$1,213	0xacff25…
08-29 08:09:18	will ethereum reach 3100 in august 2026	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x353d83…
08-29 07:21:39	will ethereum reach 3100 in august 2026	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0xa6d1d6…
08-29 07:19:03	will ethereum reach 3100 in august 2026	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x94baab…
08-29 07:15:48	will ethereum reach 3100 in august 2026	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x82af25…
08-28 23:58:21	Will Solana reach $150 in August?	No	BUY	1,142	100¢	$1,140	0x06db19…
08-28 23:57:45	will ethereum reach 3100 in august 2026	No	BUY	968	100¢	$966	0xf7594c…
08-28 21:54:49	will ethereum reach 3100 in august 2026	No	SELL	68	100¢	$68	0xbb5a66…
08-28 21:45:57	will ethereum reach 3100 in august 2026	No	SELL	75	100¢	$75	0xc8d808…
08-28 21:29:48	will ethereum reach 3100 in august 2026	No	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0x05ad23…
08-28 21:23:28	will ethereum reach 3100 in august 2026	No	SELL	72	100¢	$72	0xb48d61…
08-28 21:16:13	will ethereum reach 3100 in august 2026	No	SELL	62	100¢	$62	0x335909…
08-28 21:09:21	will ethereum reach 3100 in august 2026	No	SELL	73	100¢	$73	0xf0a616…
08-28 21:04:07	will ethereum reach 3100 in august 2026	No	SELL	57	100¢	$57	0xfaf1e6…
08-28 20:56:40	will ethereum reach 3100 in august 2026	No	SELL	86	100¢	$86	0xac91a0…
08-28 20:51:45	will ethereum reach 3100 in august 2026	No	SELL	92	100¢	$92	0x20d328…
08-28 20:51:07	will ethereum reach 3100 in august 2026	No	SELL	58	100¢	$58	0xefb039…
08-28 20:45:03	will ethereum reach 3100 in august 2026	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x46a082…
08-28 20:43:27	will ethereum reach 3100 in august 2026	No	SELL	74	100¢	$74	0x46c2b7…
08-28 20:19:03	will ethereum reach 3100 in august 2026	No	SELL	90	100¢	$90	0x5827b7…
08-28 20:15:07	will ethereum reach 3100 in august 2026	No	SELL	72	100¢	$72	0x9b6f6a…
08-28 20:13:00	will ethereum reach 3100 in august 2026	No	SELL	51	100¢	$51	0xa20d07…
08-28 20:02:31	will ethereum reach 3100 in august 2026	No	SELL	73	100¢	$73	0x034b22…
08-28 20:02:10	will ethereum reach 3100 in august 2026	No	SELL	68	100¢	$68	0x88e169…
08-28 19:58:04	will ethereum reach 3100 in august 2026	No	SELL	79	100¢	$79	0x7cc6d4…
08-28 19:42:51	will ethereum reach 3100 in august 2026	No	SELL	48	100¢	$48	0x8add9c…
08-28 19:42:45	will ethereum reach 3100 in august 2026	No	SELL	49	100¢	$49	0x9c2298…
08-28 19:04:46	will ethereum reach 3100 in august 2026	No	SELL	39	100¢	$39	0x6b9f9a…
08-28 18:58:01	will ethereum reach 3100 in august 2026	No	SELL	93	100¢	$93	0xae9a31…