(anonymous) 0xb33c24…a5ddd1
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$68
Unrealized P&L
-$42
Hit rate
29.3%
Resolved
35
Trades
556
lifetime
Volume
$51.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$93
Open exposure
$30.4K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-28 04:55
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 11 days
Categories
Politics
47% — —
Sports
34% 53% -$66
Other
19% 0% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
36 active days in 12wk • peak 45 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? No +6,292 $6,167 99¢ $6.3K +$84 10-14 07:21
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +4,527 $4,436 98¢ $4.4K +$3 10-26 19:41
Will Houston Rockets win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +3,940 $3,845 92¢ $3.6K -$214 10-19 00:20
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +3,589 $3,306 92¢ $3.3K -$22 10-08 17:02
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +1,946 $1,766 91¢ $1.8K -$4 10-26 08:59
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +1,491 $1,434 95¢ $1.4K -$15 10-26 15:51
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +1,288 $1,261 98¢ $1.3K +$2 10-27 05:38
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +1,145 $1,075 95¢ $1.1K +$13 09-24 17:18
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? No +1,166 $1,096 92¢ $1.1K -$17 10-20 01:39
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +1,188 $1,031 86¢ $1.0K -$4 10-21 19:38
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026? No +1,009 $935 92¢ $933 -$2 10-17 17:23
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No +626 $608 97¢ $607 -$1 10-20 19:42
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? No +535 $521 97¢ $521 +$0 10-14 14:22
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? No +584 $518 88¢ $511 -$7 10-26 08:17
Iran leadership change by November 30? No +500 $467 92¢ $457 -$10 10-18 08:47
Will Houston Rockets win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +3,940 $102 8¢ $309 +$207 10-19 13:20
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +3,589 $282 8¢ $305 +$23 10-19 19:17
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +289 $283 98¢ $281 -$2 09-30 17:32
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +250 $232 94¢ $236 +$4 09-24 22:21
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +246 $218 90¢ $220 +$2 09-26 05:47
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes +1,188 $156 14¢ $160 +$4 10-22 23:45
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +1,528 $143 9¢ $144 +$1 10-25 02:12
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +1,166 $75 8¢ $87 +$12 10-14 19:26
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes +4,397 $88 2¢ $86 -$2 10-26 11:10
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026? Yes +1,009 $78 8¢ $76 -$2 10-11 01:41
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +1,145 $68 5¢ $57 -$11 09-30 14:45
Iran Nuke before 2027? Yes +1,173 $46 5¢ $56 +$10 10-26 00:05
Iran leadership change by November 30? Yes +500 $35 8¢ $42 +$7 10-20 11:23
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +6,292 $141 1¢ $41 -$100 10-16 16:40
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +246 $27 10¢ $25 -$2 09-24 18:31