Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$185

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

37.6%

Resolved

274

Trades

574

lifetime

Volume

$3.64K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-10-29

last 11-01 01:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

43% 40% -$8

Crypto

33% 40% -$169

Politics

24% 0% -$9

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 422 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?	5	$126	150	50	+100	Yes	-$6	10-29 21:37
Will Core CPI YoY be 2.6% in October?	6	$121	97	97	-0	open	—	10-30 05:14
Will Tim O'Hare win the 2026 Tarrant County Judge election?	3	$114	208	0	+208	open	—	10-30 04:34
Will Julia Stiles be eliminated in week 8 of Dancing With The Stars: Season 35?	3	$85	65	65	-0	open	—	10-29 05:57
Will Gemini Carbon be released between November 9 and November 15, 2026?	8	$78	84	84	+0	open	—	10-29 16:32
Will the lowest St. Louis river level be 3.00 ft or more by November 30?	4	$75	50	50	+0	open	—	11-01 00:39
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	3	$75	50	50	+0	open	—	10-29 19:20
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31?	2	$73	100	100	+0	open	—	10-31 03:14
Gemini Carbon released by November 9, 2026?	2	$70	47	47	+0	open	—	10-29 07:08
Government shutdown by December 31?	3	$62	65	65	+0	open	—	10-29 06:21
Will "Call of Duty: Modern Warfare 4" be the #1 Steam Weekly Top Seller for the week of October 27 - November 3, 2026?	6	$62	67	67	+0	open	—	10-29 14:08
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.15% before 2027?	2	$61	50	50	+0	open	—	10-29 13:58
Will Gemini Carbon debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 65% or higher?	3	$61	112	17	+96	open	—	10-29 10:38
Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Chihuahua Congress election?	6	$60	80	40	+40	open	—	10-30 23:17
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	3	$57	50	50	+0	Yes	-$9	11-01 01:41
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 9°C on October 31?	5	$55	52	42	+10	No	-$2	10-29 12:33
Will exactly 2 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed?	2	$55	42	42	+0	open	—	10-29 10:38
Trump declassifies new UFO files by November 30?	2	$55	100	0	+100	open	—	10-29 20:58
Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election be 24% or more?	2	$53	80	80	+0	open	—	10-30 11:28
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening week in 2026?	2	$48	55	55	+0	open	—	10-30 21:49
Will "Behemoth!" be nominated for Best Original Score at the 99th Academy Awards?	6	$47	100	100	+0	open	—	10-31 17:40
Will "Clayface" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 12m?	6	$43	48	48	+0	open	—	10-29 11:10
Will RZP-Zehut be in the next Israeli government?	2	$43	65	65	+0	open	—	10-29 05:35
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2028 elections?	3	$42	64	20	+44	open	—	10-29 20:41
Will Micron Q1 adjusted gross margin be between 85% and 87.5%?	2	$40	72	0	+72	open	—	10-30 14:52
Ilhan Omar federally charged by December 31?	4	$37	44	44	+0	open	—	10-30 18:57
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin by November 30, 2026?	2	$32	20	20	+0	open	—	10-31 02:17
Will PP win the most seats in the Balearic Islands in the 2026 Spanish general election?	2	$31	20	20	+0	open	—	10-31 05:07
Democratic Senate odds >68% on November 2?	2	$30	20	20	+0	open	—	10-29 11:22
Will DICK'S Sporting Goods Q3 Dick's business comparable sales growth be above 4%?	2	$28	20	20	+0	open	—	10-29 21:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 01:41:31	Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	SELL	4	0¢	$0	0xdbbaf8…
11-01 00:40:19	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut in the top 5 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	2	8¢	$0	0xf4c5dd…
11-01 00:40:04	Will Riz Ahmed be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	SELL	4	18¢	$1	0x5e4f40…
11-01 00:39:54	Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.50 and $5.00 on November 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	77¢	$1	0xb9dc5b…
11-01 00:39:46	Will Vox win the Ceuta seat in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	SELL	2	45¢	$1	0x898c99…
11-01 00:39:30	Will the lowest St. Louis river level be 3.00 ft or more by November 30?	No	SELL	4	88¢	$3	0xbc86e0…
10-31 22:37:39	Will the lowest St. Louis river level be 3.00 ft or more by November 30?	No	SELL	2	74¢	$2	0x5493d0…
10-31 22:02:22	Solana Up or Down - October 31, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	13	4¢	$1	0xc059fd…
10-31 22:02:22	Solana Up or Down - October 31, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	18¢	$1	0xb8099a…
10-31 22:02:16	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	58	6¢	$3	0x78322a…
10-31 22:00:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0x8d0d77…
10-31 22:00:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x5ae442…
10-31 21:59:12	XRP Up or Down - October 31, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xc0c36a…
10-31 21:39:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x61952d…
10-31 21:39:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x7c4b28…
10-31 21:38:03	Solana Up or Down - October 31, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x9f575b…
10-31 21:38:03	Solana Up or Down - October 31, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x9b4455…
10-31 21:37:01	Will the lowest St. Louis river level be 3.00 ft or more by November 30?	No	SELL	44	75¢	$33	0x6d85be…
10-31 21:36:57	Will the lowest St. Louis river level be 3.00 ft or more by November 30?	No	BUY	50	75¢	$37	0x5ea23d…
10-31 21:34:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x26439e…
10-31 21:34:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x42b542…
10-31 21:34:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x9238e7…
10-31 21:29:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x5f5bd5…
10-31 21:29:07	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x9ba39a…
10-31 21:24:13	Solana Up or Down - October 31, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xe79ab5…
10-31 21:24:13	Solana Up or Down - October 31, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xde8aae…
10-31 21:13:40	Solana Up or Down - October 31, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x7865ef…
10-31 21:02:21	Solana Up or Down - October 31, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	103	4¢	$4	0xd6653c…
10-31 21:02:21	XRP Up or Down - October 31, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x186071…
10-31 20:35:06	XRP Up or Down - October 31, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x4f93a8…
10-31 20:35:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x9320da…
10-31 20:35:04	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	29¢	$2	0x82a168…
10-31 20:35:04	Solana Up or Down - October 31, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x74e6e7…
10-31 20:31:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x00af87…
10-31 20:30:37	Solana Up or Down - October 31, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x933f9b…
10-31 20:30:07	Solana Up or Down - October 31, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x48ca34…
10-31 20:30:06	XRP Up or Down - October 31, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x8f3aa3…
10-31 20:30:06	Solana Up or Down - October 31, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	42¢	$2	0x40f3ef…
10-31 20:30:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0xcefc62…
10-31 20:30:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xcaf7b2…
10-31 20:30:04	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x9e4fa2…
10-31 20:30:04	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	43¢	$2	0x3c6049…
10-31 20:28:37	Solana Up or Down - October 31, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	77¢	$4	0x43ee82…
10-31 20:25:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x3bda08…
10-31 20:25:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0xc7c7e4…
10-31 20:25:04	Solana Up or Down - October 31, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x043057…
10-31 19:52:48	Solana Up or Down - October 31, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xa48b12…
10-31 19:52:46	Solana Up or Down - October 31, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x6b67f7…
10-31 19:46:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xa17162…
10-31 19:46:01	XRP Up or Down - October 31, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0x256c5e…
10-31 19:45:51	Solana Up or Down - October 31, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$5	0x6e052b…
10-31 19:33:27	XRP Up or Down - October 31, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x506243…
10-31 19:27:31	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x3ba675…
10-31 19:24:42	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xc4f354…
10-31 19:12:49	Solana Up or Down - October 31, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x1ca8f6…
10-31 18:58:12	XRP Up or Down - October 31, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x05cc3f…
10-31 18:55:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x517044…
10-31 18:47:34	XRP Up or Down - October 31, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xe39d15…
10-31 18:47:34	XRP Up or Down - October 31, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xd95d4b…
10-31 17:40:37	Will "Behemoth!" be nominated for Best Original Score at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	SELL	8	16¢	$1	0x4f0ef3…
10-31 17:40:06	Will "Behemoth!" be nominated for Best Original Score at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	SELL	36	18¢	$6	0x92ef36…
10-31 17:39:36	Will "Behemoth!" be nominated for Best Original Score at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	SELL	31	17¢	$5	0x6c25df…
10-31 17:39:06	Will "Behemoth!" be nominated for Best Original Score at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	SELL	20	20¢	$4	0x6c53be…
10-31 17:38:34	Will "Behemoth!" be nominated for Best Original Score at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	SELL	5	21¢	$1	0x62ea2e…
10-31 16:27:55	Will "Behemoth!" be nominated for Best Original Score at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	100	29¢	$29	0x7a7e5b…
10-31 15:57:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	44¢	$4	0xf1e0e4…
10-31 15:52:45	Allstate (ALL) Q3 property-liability combined ratio 86% to 88%?	Yes	BUY	19	45¢	$9	0x36c0cd…
10-31 15:51:43	Allstate (ALL) Q3 property-liability combined ratio 86% to 88%?	No	BUY	19	67¢	$13	0xf8ac5e…
10-31 15:51:06	Solana Up or Down - October 31, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0xaf04cd…
10-31 15:50:21	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x519e17…
10-31 15:50:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0xda48bd…
10-31 15:50:03	Solana Up or Down - October 31, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x4feba9…
10-31 15:46:36	XRP Up or Down - October 31, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xac9bde…
10-31 15:45:54	Solana Up or Down - October 31, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x915eca…
10-31 15:45:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	11	36¢	$4	0xc20172…
10-31 15:42:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x73aeaf…
10-31 15:40:06	Solana Up or Down - October 31, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xb1f70f…
10-31 15:31:04	Solana Up or Down - October 31, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x1ca585…
10-31 15:30:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xb21b58…
10-31 15:27:40	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xf82ee2…
10-31 15:16:06	Solana Up or Down - October 31, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	37¢	$2	0x26f840…
10-31 15:15:06	Solana Up or Down - October 31, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x2c56ba…
10-31 15:15:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x235be7…
10-31 15:01:15	Solana Up or Down - October 31, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x67aef9…
10-31 15:01:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xf5a34b…
10-31 15:00:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x88ac24…
10-31 15:00:09	Solana Up or Down - October 31, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x504b8f…
10-31 15:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xd0c6aa…
10-31 15:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x206ff3…
10-31 14:30:18	Solana Up or Down - October 31, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x243355…
10-31 14:30:09	XRP Up or Down - October 31, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x82bd5c…
10-31 14:30:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xf52e9f…
10-31 14:15:13	XRP Up or Down - October 31, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x80e1d3…
10-31 14:15:13	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x7568a8…
10-31 14:15:13	Solana Up or Down - October 31, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x0c53b7…
10-31 14:15:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x050c17…
10-31 14:07:13	XRP Up or Down - October 31, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0xcbc420…
10-31 14:05:07	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x15519b…
10-31 14:04:09	XRP Up or Down - October 31, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xcdb09d…
10-31 14:03:54	XRP Up or Down - October 31, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	14	16¢	$2	0x9b487f…