Realized P&L
+$362
Unrealized P&L
-$535
Hit rate
68.9%
Resolved
436
Trades
34,994
lifetime
Volume
$150.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$990
9 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-26 21:35
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 77 days
Categories
Crypto
48% 39% +$1,069
Other
44% 46% -$951
Politics
3% 50% +$18
Sports
3% 33% +$222
Tech
2% 38% +$4
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
62 active days in 12wk • peak 863 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Base FDV above $2B one day after launch? Yes +1,518 $634 40¢ $615 -$20 09-24 06:13
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No -300 -$278 97¢ $-291 -$13 05-31 16:05
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027? Yes +1,000 $460 3¢ $33 -$426 06-25 20:37
Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +500 $130 6¢ $30 -$100 06-12 02:09
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +250 $19 4¢ $11 -$8 06-01 23:30
Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch? Yes +134 -$1 6¢ $8 +$9 08-15 21:04
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? No +65 $12 3¢ $2 -$10 06-01 12:11
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? Yes +2 -$12 3¢ $0 +$12 05-28 21:48
Base FDV above $4B one day after launch? Yes -0 -$21 38¢ $-0 +$21 06-12 05:31